425 S 2nd St · Ames, IA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.9/10.0
- Livability +4.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$28,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
2 Bedroom, 2 Bathroom 1974 Marshfield mobile home 896 square feet Width: 16 & acirc; & euro; & trade; Length: 56 & acirc; & euro; & trade; HVAC: Central Air- New AC installed: 2020, Furnace serviced 2025 Water heater: 2019 New energy-efficient windows: 2020 Heat-tape and insulation replaced: 2020 Asking $28,000 or best offer. Appliances included. Washer/Dryer: 2015 Refrigerator: 2021 Dishwasher: 2003 Gas stove/oven Lot Rent: $486 Water/Internet included in lot rent. Gas + Electric are typically $80- $150/month, depending on the time of year. Beautiful corner lot, you cannot get any closer than this to a bus stop or to the tailgating lots! Includes a deck and she
Key facts
- New shower
- Tornado shelter
- Jacuzzi tub
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath other listed at $28k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $619 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $28k).
- Recommended offer: $27k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 32.8% vs local median 2.2% in Ames — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 93/100 on livability (#2 in IA, #21 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: employment C-.
- Ames Community School District (urban): math 70% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #147 of 289 in IA (top 51%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 183 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 196 units permitted in Story County in 2024 (34 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $194 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $840 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Story County population projected at +54% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.7% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($27k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.67% ✓
- Cap rate
- 32.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 94.73%
- DSCR
- 5.22
- GRM
- 2.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.69% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 95.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.41×
- Total profit
- $34,577
- Equity at exit
- $4,175
- IRR
- 97.9%
- Equity multiple
- 11.16×
- Total profit
- $79,626
- Equity at exit
- $2,421
Cash invested: $7,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50010
- Rents YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 183
- Price-to-rent
- 2.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,028 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$147
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$35 /mo · $420/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$216
- Net cashflow
- $619
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $638 | -5% $629 | +0% $619 | +5% $609 | +10% $600 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $538 | -5% $578 | +0% $619 | +5% $660 | +10% $700 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $633 | -0.5pp $626 | base $619 | +0.5pp $612 | +1.0pp $604 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,000
- Closing costs
- $840
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 216 S Kellogg Ave Ames, IA | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1087 | $1,050 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 908 Douglas Ave Ames, IA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 881 | $1,085 | $1.23 | 44d | 2 | 0.65mi |
| 405 E 6th St Unit 4 Ames, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $850 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
Listing history 15 events
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2026-06-16status $28,000 Under Contract 35 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $28,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $28,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $28,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $28,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $28,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $28,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $28,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $28,000 Active 24 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $28,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $28,000 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $28,000 Active 21 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $28,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $28,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-05-12$28,000 Active 2454-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,340
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,568
- − Property taxes
- −$420
- − Insurance
- −$140
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$987
- − Management
- −$987
- − Depreciation
- −$815
- Taxable income
- $7,423
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,782
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,645/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This property requires significant repairs and updates to its exterior, interior, and landscaping to improve its condition and value.
Repairs flagged
- Major exterior siding — Peeling and in need of repair.
- Major roof — Visible damage and may need replacement.
- Major flooring — Worn and may need replacement.
- Major interior walls/paint — Needs freshening and touch-up.
- Major bathrooms — Outdated and may need updates.
- Major kitchen — Outdated and may need updates.
- Major landscaping — Overgrown and may need trimming and maintenance.
Value-add opportunities
- Both New exterior siding — Improves curb appeal and adds value.
- Both New roof — Fixes major issue and adds value.
- Both New flooring — Improves living space and adds value.
- Both Paint and interior updates — Freshens up the interior and adds value.
- Both Bathroom updates — Modernizes the bathrooms and adds value.
- Both Kitchen updates — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value.
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Improves curb appeal and adds value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| exterior siding · Peeling and in need of repair. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| roof · Visible damage and may need replacement. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| flooring · Worn and may need replacement. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| interior walls/paint · Needs freshening and touch-up. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| bathrooms · Outdated and may need updates. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| kitchen · Outdated and may need updates. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| landscaping · Overgrown and may need trimming and maintenance. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 7 items | $105,000–350,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both New exterior siding — Improves curb appeal and adds value. ↑
- Both New roof — Fixes major issue and adds value. ↑
- Both New flooring — Improves living space and adds value. ↑
- Both Paint and interior updates — Freshens up the interior and adds value. ↑
- Both Bathroom updates — Modernizes the bathrooms and adds value. ↑
- Both Kitchen updates — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value. ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Improves curb appeal and adds value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ames Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1903540
- Math proficiency
- 70% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 72% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,790
- Composite
- 59.22/100
- National rank
- #941
- State rank
- #147 of 289 in IA
Livability — Ames
- Score
- 93/100
- State rank
- #2
- US rank
- #21
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ames, IA
- County
- Story County · 66,757 people
- City population
- 66,757
- Metro
- Ames, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,799
- Household income
- $65,398
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1523.0
Population outlook (Story County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 115,493 people
- By 2030
- 126,820 · +9.8%
- By 2040
- 150,771 · +30.5%
- By 2050
- 177,915 · +54.0%
- By 2075
- 255,370 · +121.1%
- By 2100
- 316,429 · +174.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Asian 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 6% Iranian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · China, Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Chinese 3% Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Story
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.4% · R 44.0% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: 16.2pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+17.3 2016: D+12.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+16.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -121.78%
- Current HPI
- 170.4215
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.69%
- Metro
- Ames, IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Pending — FSBO.com
- 2026-05-12 Listed $28,000 FSBO.com
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…