1130 White Rock Rd #115 · El Dorado Hills, CA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 9/10 · Severe
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 25 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 30 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +10.5/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this charming home in the sought after Sunset Estates Park. Featuring 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and over 1,200 square feet of comfortable living space, this property offers the perfect blend of convenience and functionality in a desirable park setting just minutes from town center, shopping, dining, and easy freeway access. The spacious primary suite is a true retreat with a large bedroom, walk-in closet, and a tastefully updated en-suite bathroom, while the additional bedrooms provide flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. Enjoy outdoor living on the covered deck perfect for relaxing or entertaining along with a generously sized yard and the added privacy of a corner u
Key facts
- Covered deck
- Corner unit location
- Covered carport
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in El Dorado County, El Dorado Hills (postal code 95762)
- Financial info: Land lease amount listed (not applicable if land lease is No)
- HOA & community: No homeowners association; Not a senior community; No land lease
Exterior
- Parking: Attached covered parking; Off-street parking; Guest parking available
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Internet available; 220V outlet in laundry
- Home design: Manufactured in park (double wide); Built in 2003
- Construction: Composition roof; Wood skirting; Fleetwood manufactured home
- Exterior features: Fence; Storage / shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Free standing gas range; Free standing refrigerator; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Microwave; Breakfast area; Pantry closet; Dining/living combo
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Double sinks; Tile finishes; Shower stall(s)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Open beam ceiling in living area; Attached deck; Porch; Storage area (exterior storage/shed)
- Laundry & utility: Washer included; Dryer included; Washer/Dryer hookups; Laundry located inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $180k).
- Recommended offer: $177k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.7% vs local median 2.2% in El Dorado Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#530 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, schools A, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- El Dorado Union High (suburban): math 44% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #89 of 517 in CA (top 17%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 636 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 437 units permitted in El Dorado County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- El Dorado County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.75% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 33.63%
- DSCR
- 2.50
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $192,867
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1130 White Rock Rd #119 | 0.03mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-1%) | 1mo | $199,000 | $166 | 91 |
| 1130 White Rock Rd #15 | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 1,120 (-8%) | 5mo | $229,000 | $204 | 81 |
| 1130 White Rock Rd #103 | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,214 (+0%) | 15mo | $190,000 | $157 | 81 |
| 1130 White Rock Rd #46 | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (-9%) | 13mo | $175,000 | $159 | 70 |
| 1130 White Rock Rd #31 | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,041 (-14%) | 8mo | $159,900 | $154 | 68 |
| 1130 White Rock Rd #106 | 0.18mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,053 (-13%) | 6mo | $91,000 | $86 | 60 |
| 1130 - 4601 White Rock Rd #66 | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,065 (-12%) | 24mo | $180,000 | $169 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.41% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.15×
- Total profit
- $57,855
- Equity at exit
- $26,838
- IRR
- 35.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.30×
- Total profit
- $166,111
- Equity at exit
- $15,563
Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95762
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 636
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,150 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$944
- Tax from tax record
- −$57 /mo · $681/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$661
- Net cashflow
- $1,346
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,448 | -5% $1,397 | +0% $1,346 | +5% $1,295 | +10% $1,244 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,097 | -5% $1,222 | +0% $1,346 | +5% $1,471 | +10% $1,595 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,437 | -0.5pp $1,392 | base $1,346 | +0.5pp $1,299 | +1.0pp $1,252 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,000
- Closing costs
- $5,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2100 Valley View Pkwy El Dorado Hills, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 948 | $3,021 | $3.19 | 0d | 14 | 0.18mi |
| 2230 Valley View Pkwy El Dorado Hills, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1044 | $2,735 | $2.62 | 0d | 5 | 0.32mi |
| 444 Lone Spur Dr Folsom, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1468 | $2,850 | $1.94 | 12d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 300 Moon Cir #333 Folsom, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1031 | $2,145 | $2.08 | 0d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $681 · $57/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,368 · $114/mo
- Expected delta
- +$687/yr (+$57/mo · 100.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 25 unhealthy d/yr today · 30 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,796
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,083
- − Property taxes
- −$681
- − Insurance
- −$1,697
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,024
- − Management
- −$3,024
- − Depreciation
- −$5,236
- Taxable income
- $14,051
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,372
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,781/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- El Dorado Union High
- NCES district ID
- 0612070
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 69% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $78,936
- Composite
- 50.84/100
- National rank
- #1798
- State rank
- #89 of 517 in CA
Livability — El Dorado Hills
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #530
- US rank
- #17760
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- El Dorado Hills, CA
- County
- El Dorado County · 144,198 people
- City population
- 47,657
- Metro
- Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,657
- Household income
- $165,467
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 553.0
Population outlook (El Dorado County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 191,666 people
- By 2030
- 193,662 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 192,583 · +0.5%
- By 2050
- 185,904 · -3.0%
- By 2075
- 169,543 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 139,623 · -27.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Asian 13% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 10% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Portuguese 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · El Dorado
- 2024 margin
- R (+12.0) · D 42.6% · R 54.6% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.5pp toward R · 2008: -10.5pp · 2024: -12.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+12.0 2020: R+8.8 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+18.2 2008: R+10.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -437.07%
- Current HPI
- 277.683
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.41%
- Metro
- Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Property tax history
-0.0%/yrLatest (2023): $681 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…