Fourplex
102-06 27th Ave · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$849,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Rare opportunity to acquire a 4-family rent-stabilized corner property in the heart of East Elmhurst. The building consists of four apartments that have been registered with DHCR and features a desirable unit mix of one 2-bedroom apartment, two 1-bedroom apartments, and a legal 1-bedroom basement apartment. Two units are currently occupied, and two units will be vacant at closing, providing immediate occupancy and future income potential subject to applicable rent stabilization regulations. Situated on a residential block near shopping, restaurants, schools, public transportation, LaGuardia Airport, major highways, and neighborhood amenities, this property presents a unique opportunity to o
Key facts
- Four apartments
- Multifamily asset
- Residential block
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Private detached parking; Total of 4 parking spaces; 2-car garage
- Security: Fire escape
- Utilities: Con-Edison electric; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected
- Home design: Quadruplex; Actual property condition
- Construction: Frame construction; Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Frame construction with vinyl siding; Fenced lot; Corner lot; Near public transit; Not waterfront; Fire escape
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen(s)
- Bedrooms: Three 1-bedroom units; One 2-bedroom unit
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood
- Bathrooms: Four full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Natural gas heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Entrance foyer; Finished full basement; Unfinished attic
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1×2bd/1.0ba + 3×1bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $849k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($41k/yr) — positive. Per door: $847/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($12k rent vs $849k).
- Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: 109 active listings in the ZIP; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $25k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $238k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 9 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.10%
- DSCR
- 1.76
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.33×
- Total profit
- $78,323
- Equity at exit
- $126,589
- IRR
- 17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.46×
- Total profit
- $346,615
- Equity at exit
- $73,406
Cash invested: $237,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11369
- Home prices YoY
- -26.6%
- Active inventory
- 109
- Price-to-rent
- 21.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $11,657 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,452
- Tax from tax record
- −$1,016 /mo · $12,187/yr
- Insurance
- −$354
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,448
- Net cashflow
- $3,387
Break-even live
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 2 | 1 | $3,281 |
| 3× units | 1 | 1 | $8,376 |
| #2 | 1 | 1 | $2,792 |
| #3 | 1 | 1 | $2,792 |
| #4 | 1 | 1 | $2,792 |
| Total (4 units) | $11,657 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $212,250
- Closing costs
- $25,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $849,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $849,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $849,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $849,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $849,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-10remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-10$849,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $12,187 · $1,016/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $13,267 · $1,106/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,081/yr (+$90/mo · 8.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $139,884
- − Mortgage interest
- −$47,557
- − Property taxes
- −$12,187
- − Insurance
- −$4,245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$11,191
- − Management
- −$11,191
- − Depreciation
- −$24,698
- Taxable income
- $28,815
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$6,916
- After-tax cash flow
- $33,734/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,354
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 59% Black 17% Two or more races 14% Asian 14% White 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1% Lithuanian 1% Estonian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 53% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 28% English-only · Spanish 56% Other Indo-European 6% Chinese 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -134.70%
- Current HPI
- 371.5179
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
-43.4% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $849,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-01 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-01 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-07-02 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-16 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-01 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-08 Listed $1,250,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-07-05 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-07-01 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-06-10 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-04-15 Listed $1,250,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-04-06 Coming Soon — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-12-09 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-03-27 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-03-25 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-09-19 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-08-01 Price Changed $1,299,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-07-05 Listed $1,499,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+5.8%/yrLatest (2025): $12,187 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…