43 Labelle St · Jackson, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 14.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$44,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 7,500 sq ft lot
- 3 parking spots
- Built 1955
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Three parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available and connected; Electricity available; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 150
- Exterior features: Composition roof
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: No central cooling
- Interior features: Accessible entrance; Accessible full bathroom; Three total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $537 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
- Recommended offer: $40k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.7% vs local median 3.5% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#216 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
- Madison County (urban): math 10% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #131 of 139 in TN (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 253 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 247 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $310 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 164 days — a 12% lower offer ($40k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 164 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 51.28%
- DSCR
- 3.28
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.19% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 51.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.33×
- Total profit
- $29,241
- Equity at exit
- $6,695
- IRR
- 57.7%
- Equity multiple
- 7.32×
- Total profit
- $79,403
- Equity at exit
- $3,882
Cash invested: $12,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38301
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 253
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,026 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$235
- Tax from tax record
- −$19 /mo · $229/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$215
- Net cashflow
- $537
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $563 | -5% $550 | +0% $537 | +5% $524 | +10% $512 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $456 | -5% $497 | +0% $537 | +5% $578 | +10% $618 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $560 | -0.5pp $549 | base $537 | +0.5pp $526 | +1.0pp $514 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,225
- Closing costs
- $1,347
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $44,900 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $44,900 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $44,900 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $44,900 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $44,900 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $44,900 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $44,900 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $44,900 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $44,900 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $44,900 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $44,900 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $44,900 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $44,900 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $44,900 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $44,900 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $44,900 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $44,900 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-03-22price $44,900
-
2026-01-03$49,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $229 · $19/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $319 · $27/mo
- Expected delta
- +$90/yr (+$7/mo · 39.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 14% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,311
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,515
- − Property taxes
- −$229
- − Insurance
- −$224
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$985
- − Management
- −$985
- − Depreciation
- −$1,306
- Taxable income
- $6,066
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,456
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,991/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison County
- NCES district ID
- 4702580
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,015
- Composite
- 11.74/100
- National rank
- #9687
- State rank
- #131 of 139 in TN
Livability — Jackson
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #216
- US rank
- #16488
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jackson, TN
- County
- Madison County · 87,024 people
- City population
- 87,024
- Metro
- Jackson, TN
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,536
- Household income
- $43,227
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1701.0
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 95,952 people
- By 2030
- 94,264 · -1.8%
- By 2040
- 89,607 · -6.6%
- By 2050
- 84,133 · -12.3%
- By 2075
- 72,215 · -24.7%
- By 2100
- 62,062 · -35.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 50% White 42% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Serbian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.2) · D 40.3% · R 58.5% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.4pp toward D · 2008: -21.6pp · 2024: -18.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.2 2020: R+12.9 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+8.9 2008: R+21.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -112.26%
- Current HPI
- 162.2273
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.19%
- Metro
- Jackson, TN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $72B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
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| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
-10.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-22 Price Changed $44,900 CWTAR
- 2026-01-03 Listed $49,900 CWTAR
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $229 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…