916 Sommerfield Dr · Houston, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.2/15.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming & Versatile Home in a Desirable Houston Neighborhood!Welcome to this well-maintained 4 bedroom, 1 bath home situated on a spacious corner lot in one of Houston's most desirable areas. This property offers both comfort and opportunity, making it perfect for a variety of buyers. Inside, you'll find a large, functional kitchen with plenty of space for cooking and gathering, along with an updated bathroom that adds a fresh, modern touch. The home has been very well cared for and is move-in ready. The 4th bedroom offers incredible flexibility, featuring a kitchenette and private space that could easily be converted into a mother-in-law suite or separate living quarters. With the potential to add a second bathroom, this area could become a rental unit, guest suite, or private retreat--giving you multiple income or living options. Conveniently located close to schools, shopping, and just a short drive to the Mark Twain National Forest, Big Piney River, and Current River, this home combines in-town living with easy access to some of the area's best outdoor recreation. Don't miss this opportunity to own a property with both charm and potential!If you want, I can also:
Key facts
- Close to schools
- Spacious corner lot
- Close to shopping
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Cable available; Propane (leased)
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story / single level; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Corner lot; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing electric oven; Refrigerator; Disposal; Exhaust fan
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Forced air heating (propane); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Disposal; Exhaust fan; Electric water heater; Living room fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $102 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $138k (13.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $138k (13.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 4.0% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 53/100 on livability (#824 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Houston R-I (rural): math 24% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #266 of 324 in MO (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Houston Elem. (math 34% / reading 39%, grade F, #656 of 1,115 statewide, top 59%, 432 students, 55% FRL); Houston Middle (math 20% / reading 34%, grade F, #306 of 391 statewide, top 80%, 206 students, 55% FRL); Houston High (math 12% / reading 52%, grade F, #356 of 521 statewide, top 71%, 374 students, 41% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Texas County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Texas County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.74%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $158,939
- List price
- $159,900
- Delta
- 6.90%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-19,451
- Equity at exit
- $23,842
- IRR
- -2.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-8,765
- Equity at exit
- $13,825
Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65483
- Home prices YoY
- -8.5%
- Active inventory
- 90
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,377 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$81 /mo · $967/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$289
- Net cashflow
- $102
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $193 | -5% $148 | +0% $102 | +5% $57 | +10% $12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-7 | -5% $48 | +0% $102 | +5% $157 | +10% $211 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $183 | -0.5pp $143 | base $102 | +0.5pp $61 | +1.0pp $19 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,975
- Closing costs
- $4,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $159,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $159,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $159,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $159,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $159,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $159,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $159,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $159,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $159,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $159,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $159,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-04-16$169,900 Active 1192-char remark
Show marketing remark (1192 chars)
Charming & Versatile Home in a Desirable Houston Neighborhood!Welcome to this well-maintained 4 bedroom, 1 bath home situated on a spacious corner lot in one of Houston's most desirable areas. This property offers both comfort and opportunity, making it perfect for a variety of buyers. Inside, you'll find a large, functional kitchen with plenty of space for cooking and gathering, along with an updated bathroom that adds a fresh, modern touch. The home has been very well cared for and is move-in ready. The 4th bedroom offers incredible flexibility, featuring a kitchenette and private space that could easily be converted into a mother-in-law suite or separate living quarters. With the potential to add a second bathroom, this area could become a rental unit, guest suite, or private retreat--giving you multiple income or living options. Conveniently located close to schools, shopping, and just a short drive to the Mark Twain National Forest, Big Piney River, and Current River, this home combines in-town living with easy access to some of the area's best outdoor recreation. Don't miss this opportunity to own a property with both charm and potential!If you want, I can also:
-
2025-07-09price $189,900
-
2025-04-09$199,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $967 · $81/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,551 · $129/mo
- Expected delta
- +$584/yr (+$49/mo · 60.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,526
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,957
- − Property taxes
- −$967
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,322
- − Management
- −$1,322
- − Depreciation
- −$4,652
- Taxable loss
- −$1,493
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$358
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,585/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston R-I
- NCES district ID
- 2914840
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,169
- Composite
- 25.88/100
- National rank
- #7344
- State rank
- #266 of 324 in MO
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 53/100
- State rank
- #824
- US rank
- #24484
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,607
Population outlook (Texas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 24,648 people
- By 2030
- 23,981 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 22,840 · -7.3%
- By 2050
- 21,832 · -11.4%
- By 2075
- 19,481 · -21.0%
- By 2100
- 16,634 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Danish 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Tagalog/Filipino 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Texas
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+71.7) · D 13.8% · R 85.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.7pp toward R · 2008: -35.1pp · 2024: -71.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+71.7 2020: R+68.6 2016: R+65.4 2012: R+44.1 2008: R+35.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -20.78%
- Current HPI
- 224.0504
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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Price history
-20.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $159,900 SOMO
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $159,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-19 Listed $169,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-16 Listed $169,900 SOMO
- 2025-07-09 Price Changed $189,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-09 Listed $199,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $967 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…