472 6th Ave · Manilla, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +8.4/10.0
- Schools +6.5/10.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Motivated Seller! Come into this beautifully maintained 3 bedroom, 2 bath charmer with 2,260 sq ft of warm, inviting living space. Featuring gorgeous hardwood floors, an eat-in kitchen, and a formal dining room with fireplace, this home blends vintage elegance with everyday comfort. The primary suite upstairs boasts a cozy sunroom retreat, while a bonus room and enclosed porch offer even more flexible space. Enjoy entertaining on the generously sized deck, and play safely in the fully fenced front yard. Recent updates include a new roof (2019) and water heater (2023). With endless charm throughout, this home offers the perfect mix of character, space, and small-town serenity.
Key facts
- Sunny corner lot
- Gorgeous wood floors
- Built 1890
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $83 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $102k (10.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $102k (10.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#680 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Ikm-Manning Community School District (rural): math 75% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #58 of 289 in IA (top 20%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Zoned schools: Ikm-Manning Middle School (math 78% / reading 80%, grade A+, #42 of 246 statewide, top 17%, 284 students, 35% FRL); Ikm-Manning High School (math 67% / reading 82%, grade B+, #89 of 336 statewide, top 30%, 196 students, 39% FRL).
- Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Crawford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (6.7% local appreciation)).
- Crawford County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (6.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.11%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $155,940
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 407 9th Ave | 0.18mi | 3/2.5 | 2,184 (-3%) | 13mo | $150,000 | $69 | 71 |
| 848 Main St | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 2,240 (-1%) | 13mo | $68,000 | $30 | 67 |
| 432 Highway 45 | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,986 (-12%) | 19mo | $185,000 | $93 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.73% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.35×
- Total profit
- $43,553
- Equity at exit
- $77,675
- IRR
- 18.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.81×
- Total profit
- $122,783
- Equity at exit
- $145,755
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 51454
- Home prices YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 7
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,025 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$75 /mo · $902/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$215
- Net cashflow
- $83
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-03-31soldstatus $118,000 Closed 684-char remark
Show marketing remark (684 chars)
Motivated Seller! Come into this beautifully maintained 3 bedroom, 2 bath charmer with 2,260 sq ft of warm, inviting living space. Featuring gorgeous hardwood floors, an eat-in kitchen, and a formal dining room with fireplace, this home blends vintage elegance with everyday comfort. The primary suite upstairs boasts a cozy sunroom retreat, while a bonus room and enclosed porch offer even more flexible space. Enjoy entertaining on the generously sized deck, and play safely in the fully fenced front yard. Recent updates include a new roof (2019) and water heater (2023). With endless charm throughout, this home offers the perfect mix of character, space, and small-town serenity.
-
2026-02-24status Pending
Show marketing remark (684 chars)
Motivated Seller! Come into this beautifully maintained 3 bedroom, 2 bath charmer with 2,260 sq ft of warm, inviting living space. Featuring gorgeous hardwood floors, an eat-in kitchen, and a formal dining room with fireplace, this home blends vintage elegance with everyday comfort. The primary suite upstairs boasts a cozy sunroom retreat, while a bonus room and enclosed porch offer even more flexible space. Enjoy entertaining on the generously sized deck, and play safely in the fully fenced front yard. Recent updates include a new roof (2019) and water heater (2023). With endless charm throughout, this home offers the perfect mix of character, space, and small-town serenity.
-
2026-02-24status Pending 684-char remark
Show marketing remark (684 chars)
Motivated Seller! Come into this beautifully maintained 3 bedroom, 2 bath charmer with 2,260 sq ft of warm, inviting living space. Featuring gorgeous hardwood floors, an eat-in kitchen, and a formal dining room with fireplace, this home blends vintage elegance with everyday comfort. The primary suite upstairs boasts a cozy sunroom retreat, while a bonus room and enclosed porch offer even more flexible space. Enjoy entertaining on the generously sized deck, and play safely in the fully fenced front yard. Recent updates include a new roof (2019) and water heater (2023). With endless charm throughout, this home offers the perfect mix of character, space, and small-town serenity.
-
2026-02-15price $115,000
Show marketing remark (684 chars)
Motivated Seller! Come into this beautifully maintained 3 bedroom, 2 bath charmer with 2,260 sq ft of warm, inviting living space. Featuring gorgeous hardwood floors, an eat-in kitchen, and a formal dining room with fireplace, this home blends vintage elegance with everyday comfort. The primary suite upstairs boasts a cozy sunroom retreat, while a bonus room and enclosed porch offer even more flexible space. Enjoy entertaining on the generously sized deck, and play safely in the fully fenced front yard. Recent updates include a new roof (2019) and water heater (2023). With endless charm throughout, this home offers the perfect mix of character, space, and small-town serenity.
-
2026-02-15price $115,000 684-char remark
Show marketing remark (684 chars)
Motivated Seller! Come into this beautifully maintained 3 bedroom, 2 bath charmer with 2,260 sq ft of warm, inviting living space. Featuring gorgeous hardwood floors, an eat-in kitchen, and a formal dining room with fireplace, this home blends vintage elegance with everyday comfort. The primary suite upstairs boasts a cozy sunroom retreat, while a bonus room and enclosed porch offer even more flexible space. Enjoy entertaining on the generously sized deck, and play safely in the fully fenced front yard. Recent updates include a new roof (2019) and water heater (2023). With endless charm throughout, this home offers the perfect mix of character, space, and small-town serenity.
-
2026-01-13$125,000 Active
Show marketing remark (684 chars)
Motivated Seller! Come into this beautifully maintained 3 bedroom, 2 bath charmer with 2,260 sq ft of warm, inviting living space. Featuring gorgeous hardwood floors, an eat-in kitchen, and a formal dining room with fireplace, this home blends vintage elegance with everyday comfort. The primary suite upstairs boasts a cozy sunroom retreat, while a bonus room and enclosed porch offer even more flexible space. Enjoy entertaining on the generously sized deck, and play safely in the fully fenced front yard. Recent updates include a new roof (2019) and water heater (2023). With endless charm throughout, this home offers the perfect mix of character, space, and small-town serenity.
-
2026-01-13$125,000 Active
Show marketing remark (684 chars)
Motivated Seller! Come into this beautifully maintained 3 bedroom, 2 bath charmer with 2,260 sq ft of warm, inviting living space. Featuring gorgeous hardwood floors, an eat-in kitchen, and a formal dining room with fireplace, this home blends vintage elegance with everyday comfort. The primary suite upstairs boasts a cozy sunroom retreat, while a bonus room and enclosed porch offer even more flexible space. Enjoy entertaining on the generously sized deck, and play safely in the fully fenced front yard. Recent updates include a new roof (2019) and water heater (2023). With endless charm throughout, this home offers the perfect mix of character, space, and small-town serenity.
-
2026-01-13$125,000 Active 684-char remark
Show marketing remark (684 chars)
Motivated Seller! Come into this beautifully maintained 3 bedroom, 2 bath charmer with 2,260 sq ft of warm, inviting living space. Featuring gorgeous hardwood floors, an eat-in kitchen, and a formal dining room with fireplace, this home blends vintage elegance with everyday comfort. The primary suite upstairs boasts a cozy sunroom retreat, while a bonus room and enclosed porch offer even more flexible space. Enjoy entertaining on the generously sized deck, and play safely in the fully fenced front yard. Recent updates include a new roof (2019) and water heater (2023). With endless charm throughout, this home offers the perfect mix of character, space, and small-town serenity.
-
2025-12-02price $130,000
-
2025-11-22$130,000,000 Active
-
2025-09-27$130,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $902 · $75/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,354 · $113/mo
- Expected delta
- +$452/yr (+$38/mo · 50.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,299
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$902
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$984
- − Management
- −$984
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable loss
- −$933
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$224
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,226/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ikm-Manning Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1914880
- Math proficiency
- 75% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 78% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,285
- Composite
- 64.68/100
- National rank
- #524
- State rank
- #58 of 289 in IA
Livability — Manilla
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #680
- US rank
- #15748
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Manilla, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,399
Population outlook (Crawford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 17,186 people
- By 2030
- 17,322 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 17,948 · +4.4%
- By 2050
- 18,955 · +10.3%
- By 2075
- 22,130 · +28.8%
- By 2100
- 25,483 · +48.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 5% Portuguese 5% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Crawford
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.5) · D 27.8% · R 71.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -48.6pp toward R · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: -43.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.5 2020: R+36.8 2016: R+38.2 2012: R+8.2 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.73%
- Current HPI
- 199.6247
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
||
Price history
-9.2% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-31 Sold (MLS) $118,000 IAR
- 2026-02-24 Pending — SWIAR
- 2026-02-24 Pending — IAR
- 2026-02-15 Price Changed $115,000 SWIAR
- 2026-02-15 Price Changed $115,000 IAR
- 2026-01-13 Listed $125,000 SWIAR
- 2026-01-13 Listed $125,000 SWIAR
- 2026-01-13 Listed $125,000 IAR
- 2025-12-02 Price Changed $130,000 IAR
- 2025-11-22 Listed $130,000,000 IAR
- 2025-09-27 Listed $130,000 SWIAR
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $902 · -3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…