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472 6th Ave
C+ Composite 64.55
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +8.4/10.0
  • Schools +6.5/10.0
  • DSCR +5.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$115,000

472 6th Ave · Manilla, IA 51454
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 2,260 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 42 Days on market
Built 1890 Est $156k · 26% under ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Motivated Seller! Come into this beautifully maintained 3 bedroom, 2 bath charmer with 2,260 sq ft of warm, inviting living space. Featuring gorgeous hardwood floors, an eat-in kitchen, and a formal dining room with fireplace, this home blends vintage elegance with everyday comfort. The primary suite upstairs boasts a cozy sunroom retreat, while a bonus room and enclosed porch offer even more flexible space. Enjoy entertaining on the generously sized deck, and play safely in the fully fenced front yard. Recent updates include a new roof (2019) and water heater (2023). With endless charm throughout, this home offers the perfect mix of character, space, and small-town serenity.

Key facts

  • Sunny corner lot
  • Gorgeous wood floors
  • Built 1890

Tags

TWO STORY FAMILY HOMESUNNY CORNER LOTGORGEOUS WOOD FLOORS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $83 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $102k (10.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $102k (10.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#680 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Ikm-Manning Community School District (rural): math 75% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #58 of 289 in IA (top 20%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Zoned schools: Ikm-Manning Middle School (math 78% / reading 80%, grade A+, #42 of 246 statewide, top 17%, 284 students, 35% FRL); Ikm-Manning High School (math 67% / reading 82%, grade B+, #89 of 336 statewide, top 30%, 196 students, 39% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Crawford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (6.7% local appreciation)).
  • Crawford County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (6.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $102,488 (10.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
7.16%
Cash-on-cash
3.11%
DSCR
1.14
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$155,940
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
407 9th Ave 0.18mi 3/2.5 2,184 (-3%) 13mo $150,000 $69 71
848 Main St 0.30mi 2/1.0 (-1) 2,240 (-1%) 13mo $68,000 $30 67
432 Highway 45 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,986 (-12%) 19mo $185,000 $93 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.73% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.6%
Equity multiple
2.35×
Total profit
$43,553
Equity at exit
$77,675
10-year hold
IRR
18.6%
Equity multiple
4.81×
Total profit
$122,783
Equity at exit
$145,755

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 51454

Home prices YoY
3.5%
Active inventory
7
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,025 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$75 /mo · $902/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$215
Net cashflow
$83

Break-even live

Break-even rent $919
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-03-31
    soldstatus $118,000 Closed 684-char remark
    Show marketing remark (684 chars)

    Motivated Seller! Come into this beautifully maintained 3 bedroom, 2 bath charmer with 2,260 sq ft of warm, inviting living space. Featuring gorgeous hardwood floors, an eat-in kitchen, and a formal dining room with fireplace, this home blends vintage elegance with everyday comfort. The primary suite upstairs boasts a cozy sunroom retreat, while a bonus room and enclosed porch offer even more flexible space. Enjoy entertaining on the generously sized deck, and play safely in the fully fenced front yard. Recent updates include a new roof (2019) and water heater (2023). With endless charm throughout, this home offers the perfect mix of character, space, and small-town serenity.

  2. 2026-02-24
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (684 chars)

    Motivated Seller! Come into this beautifully maintained 3 bedroom, 2 bath charmer with 2,260 sq ft of warm, inviting living space. Featuring gorgeous hardwood floors, an eat-in kitchen, and a formal dining room with fireplace, this home blends vintage elegance with everyday comfort. The primary suite upstairs boasts a cozy sunroom retreat, while a bonus room and enclosed porch offer even more flexible space. Enjoy entertaining on the generously sized deck, and play safely in the fully fenced front yard. Recent updates include a new roof (2019) and water heater (2023). With endless charm throughout, this home offers the perfect mix of character, space, and small-town serenity.

  3. 2026-02-24
    status Pending 684-char remark
    Show marketing remark (684 chars)

    Motivated Seller! Come into this beautifully maintained 3 bedroom, 2 bath charmer with 2,260 sq ft of warm, inviting living space. Featuring gorgeous hardwood floors, an eat-in kitchen, and a formal dining room with fireplace, this home blends vintage elegance with everyday comfort. The primary suite upstairs boasts a cozy sunroom retreat, while a bonus room and enclosed porch offer even more flexible space. Enjoy entertaining on the generously sized deck, and play safely in the fully fenced front yard. Recent updates include a new roof (2019) and water heater (2023). With endless charm throughout, this home offers the perfect mix of character, space, and small-town serenity.

  4. 2026-02-15
    price $115,000
    Show marketing remark (684 chars)

    Motivated Seller! Come into this beautifully maintained 3 bedroom, 2 bath charmer with 2,260 sq ft of warm, inviting living space. Featuring gorgeous hardwood floors, an eat-in kitchen, and a formal dining room with fireplace, this home blends vintage elegance with everyday comfort. The primary suite upstairs boasts a cozy sunroom retreat, while a bonus room and enclosed porch offer even more flexible space. Enjoy entertaining on the generously sized deck, and play safely in the fully fenced front yard. Recent updates include a new roof (2019) and water heater (2023). With endless charm throughout, this home offers the perfect mix of character, space, and small-town serenity.

  5. 2026-02-15
    price $115,000 684-char remark
    Show marketing remark (684 chars)

    Motivated Seller! Come into this beautifully maintained 3 bedroom, 2 bath charmer with 2,260 sq ft of warm, inviting living space. Featuring gorgeous hardwood floors, an eat-in kitchen, and a formal dining room with fireplace, this home blends vintage elegance with everyday comfort. The primary suite upstairs boasts a cozy sunroom retreat, while a bonus room and enclosed porch offer even more flexible space. Enjoy entertaining on the generously sized deck, and play safely in the fully fenced front yard. Recent updates include a new roof (2019) and water heater (2023). With endless charm throughout, this home offers the perfect mix of character, space, and small-town serenity.

  6. 2026-01-13
    listed $125,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (684 chars)

    Motivated Seller! Come into this beautifully maintained 3 bedroom, 2 bath charmer with 2,260 sq ft of warm, inviting living space. Featuring gorgeous hardwood floors, an eat-in kitchen, and a formal dining room with fireplace, this home blends vintage elegance with everyday comfort. The primary suite upstairs boasts a cozy sunroom retreat, while a bonus room and enclosed porch offer even more flexible space. Enjoy entertaining on the generously sized deck, and play safely in the fully fenced front yard. Recent updates include a new roof (2019) and water heater (2023). With endless charm throughout, this home offers the perfect mix of character, space, and small-town serenity.

  7. 2026-01-13
    listed $125,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (684 chars)

    Motivated Seller! Come into this beautifully maintained 3 bedroom, 2 bath charmer with 2,260 sq ft of warm, inviting living space. Featuring gorgeous hardwood floors, an eat-in kitchen, and a formal dining room with fireplace, this home blends vintage elegance with everyday comfort. The primary suite upstairs boasts a cozy sunroom retreat, while a bonus room and enclosed porch offer even more flexible space. Enjoy entertaining on the generously sized deck, and play safely in the fully fenced front yard. Recent updates include a new roof (2019) and water heater (2023). With endless charm throughout, this home offers the perfect mix of character, space, and small-town serenity.

  8. 2026-01-13
    listed $125,000 Active 684-char remark
    Show marketing remark (684 chars)

    Motivated Seller! Come into this beautifully maintained 3 bedroom, 2 bath charmer with 2,260 sq ft of warm, inviting living space. Featuring gorgeous hardwood floors, an eat-in kitchen, and a formal dining room with fireplace, this home blends vintage elegance with everyday comfort. The primary suite upstairs boasts a cozy sunroom retreat, while a bonus room and enclosed porch offer even more flexible space. Enjoy entertaining on the generously sized deck, and play safely in the fully fenced front yard. Recent updates include a new roof (2019) and water heater (2023). With endless charm throughout, this home offers the perfect mix of character, space, and small-town serenity.

  9. 2025-12-02
    price $130,000
  10. 2025-11-22
    listed $130,000,000 Active
  11. 2025-09-27
    listed $130,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$902 · $75/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,354 · $113/mo
Expected delta
+$452/yr (+$38/mo · 50.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,299
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$902
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$984
− Management
−$984
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable loss
−$933
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$224
After-tax cash flow
$1,226/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ikm-Manning Community School District
NCES district ID
1914880
Math proficiency
75% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
78% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$49,285
Composite
64.68/100
National rank
#524
State rank
#58 of 289 in IA

Livability — Manilla

Score
63/100
State rank
#680
US rank
#15748

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Manilla, IA
Population (ZIP)
1,399

Population outlook (Crawford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
17,186 people
By 2030
17,322 · +0.8%
By 2040
17,948 · +4.4%
By 2050
18,955 · +10.3%
By 2075
22,130 · +28.8%
By 2100
25,483 · +48.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 5% Portuguese 5% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Crawford

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.5) · D 27.8% · R 71.3%
2008→2024 swing
-48.6pp toward R · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: -43.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.5 2020: R+36.8 2016: R+38.2 2012: R+8.2 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.73%
Current HPI
199.6247
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.2% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-31 Sold (MLS) $118,000 IAR
  • 2026-02-24 Pending SWIAR
  • 2026-02-24 Pending IAR
  • 2026-02-15 Price Changed $115,000 SWIAR
  • 2026-02-15 Price Changed $115,000 IAR
  • 2026-01-13 Listed $125,000 SWIAR
  • 2026-01-13 Listed $125,000 SWIAR
  • 2026-01-13 Listed $125,000 IAR
  • 2025-12-02 Price Changed $130,000 IAR
  • 2025-11-22 Listed $130,000,000 IAR
  • 2025-09-27 Listed $130,000 SWIAR

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $902 · -3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…