1623 SW 10th Ave #1001 · Aberdeen, SD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,342 – $2,492
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
16x80 Duchess mobile home built in 2010 featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Located on a nice corner lot with a parking pad, storage shed, and large deck that is partially covered with steps and a ramp. Beautiful wood floors in the living room and kitchen. New roof and skirting in 2022. Lot rent is $375.00 a month, which includes Water, Sewer and Garbage. Refrigerator, stove, dishwasher, washer, and dryer all stay. Clean, and Move-in ready!
Key facts
- Large deck
- Storage shed
- New skirting
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $570 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.1% vs local median 2.9% in Aberdeen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#7 in SD, #1,411 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
- Aberdeen School District 06-1 (town): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #33 of 59 in SD (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 174 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 86 units permitted in Brown County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Brown County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 128 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 128 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.84% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 34.87%
- DSCR
- 2.55
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $48,218
- List price
- $70,000
- Delta
- 55.52%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1623 SW 10th Ave | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,188 (-2%) | 9mo | $35,000 | $29 | 89 |
| 612 (#9) S 12th St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (0%) | 21mo | $25,000 | $21 | 64 |
| 617 S 10th St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (0%) | 20mo | $55,000 | $45 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.27×
- Total profit
- $24,928
- Equity at exit
- $10,437
- IRR
- 37.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.49×
- Total profit
- $68,408
- Equity at exit
- $6,052
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Dakota
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 57401
- Active inventory
- 174
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,290 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$54 /mo · $643/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$271
- Net cashflow
- $570
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 928 S 9th St Aberdeen, SD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 818 | $1,500 | $1.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1116 S Main St Aberdeen, SD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,020 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $70,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-18price $70,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $74,989 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $74,989 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $74,989 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $74,989 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $74,989 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $74,989 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $74,989 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $74,989 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $74,989 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $74,989 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $74,989 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $74,989 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $74,989 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $74,989 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $74,989 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-05-05price $74,989 449-char remark
Show marketing remark (449 chars)
16x80 Duchess mobile home built in 2010 featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Located on a nice corner lot with a parking pad, storage shed, and large deck that is partially covered with steps and a ramp. Beautiful wood floors in the living room and kitchen. New roof and skirting in 2022. Lot rent is $375.00 a month, which includes Water, Sewer and Garbage. Refrigerator, stove, dishwasher, washer, and dryer all stay. Clean, and Move-in ready!
-
2026-03-27price $78,489 449-char remark
Show marketing remark (449 chars)
16x80 Duchess mobile home built in 2010 featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Located on a nice corner lot with a parking pad, storage shed, and large deck that is partially covered with steps and a ramp. Beautiful wood floors in the living room and kitchen. New roof and skirting in 2022. Lot rent is $375.00 a month, which includes Water, Sewer and Garbage. Refrigerator, stove, dishwasher, washer, and dryer all stay. Clean, and Move-in ready!
-
2026-02-11$81,199 Active 449-char remark
Show marketing remark (449 chars)
16x80 Duchess mobile home built in 2010 featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Located on a nice corner lot with a parking pad, storage shed, and large deck that is partially covered with steps and a ramp. Beautiful wood floors in the living room and kitchen. New roof and skirting in 2022. Lot rent is $375.00 a month, which includes Water, Sewer and Garbage. Refrigerator, stove, dishwasher, washer, and dryer all stay. Clean, and Move-in ready!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SD · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $643 · $54/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $917 · $76/mo
- Expected delta
- +$274/yr (+$23/mo · 42.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,483
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$643
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,239
- − Management
- −$1,239
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $6,056
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,453
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,381/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Aberdeen School District 06-1
- NCES district ID
- 4602070
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,230
- Composite
- 42.27/100
- National rank
- #3273
- State rank
- #33 of 59 in SD
Livability — Aberdeen
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #7
- US rank
- #1411
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Aberdeen, SD
- County
- Brown County · 31,939 people
- City population
- 31,939
- Metro
- Aberdeen, SD
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,939
- Household income
- $68,835
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1220.0
Population outlook (Brown County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 43,830 people
- By 2030
- 46,663 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 52,852 · +20.6%
- By 2050
- 59,898 · +36.7%
- By 2075
- 82,750 · +88.8%
- By 2100
- 112,639 · +157.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Two or more races 6% Native American 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 12% Scotch-Irish 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, South Korea, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Brown
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+26.8) · D 35.6% · R 62.5% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: -26.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+26.8 2020: R+23.0 2016: R+25.8 2012: R+6.7 2008: D+5.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -224.77%
- Current HPI
- 185.713
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Aberdeen, SD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.70%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities | 1 | $1B |
|
||
Price history
-7.6% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $74,989 ABOR
- 2026-03-27 Price Changed $78,489 ABOR
- 2026-02-11 Listed $81,199 ABOR
Property tax history
-0.5%/yrLatest (2025): $643 · -2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…