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3613 Sahar Lake Dr
D+ Composite 49.12
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.9/15.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.2/10.0

$400,855

3613 Sahar Lake Dr · Corpus Christi, TX 78380
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,045 sqft · Land · 356 Days on market
Built 2025 6,604 sqft lot $196/sqft · at area comps Est $414k · at est. $50/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The Eureka plan is a single-story, 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home with approximately 2,045 square feet of living space. Just through the foyer is an open-concept kitchen, living, and dining room with windows looking onto a covered porch. The island kitchen features a corner pantry and a stainless-steel gas range. Just off the foyer are bedrooms 2, 3 & 4, right next to the large laundry room. The spacious Bedroom 1 suite is located off the living room and includes a large walk-in closet and a relaxing spa-like bathroom with double vanity and a spacious walk-in closet. You’ll enjoy added security in your new D. R. Horton home with our Home is Connected features. With D. R. Horton's simple buying process and ten-year limited warranty, there's no reason to wait! (Prices, plans, dimensions, specifications, features, incentives, and availability are subject to change without notice obligation. )

Key facts

  • Open-concept kitchen
  • Walk-in closet
  • Corner pantry

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT KITCHENCORNER PANTRYSTAINLESS-STEEL GAS RANGELARGE LAUNDRY ROOMWALK-IN CLOSETSPA-LIKE BATHROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $401k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $244 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $334k (16.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $334k (16.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 3.6% in Corpus Christi — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#66 in TX, #2,404 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Calallen ISD (urban): math 42% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #249 of 826 in TX (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 185 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,397 units permitted in Nueces County in 2024 (47 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Nueces County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 356 days — a 12% lower offer ($353k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $334,500 (16.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 356 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
7.02%
Cash-on-cash
2.60%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$413,942
List price
$400,855
Delta
-3.16%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.2%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-49,621
Equity at exit
$59,769
10-year hold
IRR
-3.2%
Equity multiple
0.79×
Total profit
$-23,956
Equity at exit
$34,659

Cash invested: $112,239 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78380

Home prices YoY
-1.9%
Active inventory
185
Price-to-rent
10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,345 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,102
Tax from tax record
$80 /mo · $958/yr
Insurance
$167
HOA
$50
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$702
Net cashflow
$244

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,037
Max offer price $400,855
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $470 -5% $357 +0% $244 +5% $130 +10% $17
Rent -10% $-21 -5% $111 +0% $244 +5% $376 +10% $508
Rate -1.0pp $445 -0.5pp $346 base $244 +0.5pp $140 +1.0pp $34

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$100,214
Closing costs
$12,026
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4510 Thoreau Cir Corpus Christi, TX 3.0 2.5 2577 $3,345 $1.30 45d 1 1.38mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$50 · $600/yr
Likely covers
gassecurity

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    days on market $400,855 Active 356 DOM
  2. 2026-06-14
    days on market $400,855 Active 354 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $400,855 Active 353 DOM
  4. 2026-06-10
    days on market $400,855 Active 351 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $400,855 Active 350 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $400,855 Active 349 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $400,855 Active 348 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $400,855 Active 344 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $400,855 Active 343 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $400,855 Active 342 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $400,855 Active 341 DOM
  12. 2026-05-30
    days on market $400,855 Active 340 DOM
  13. 2025-10-06
    status Active 910-char remark
    Show marketing remark (910 chars)

    The Eureka plan is a single-story, 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home with approximately 2,045 square feet of living space. Just through the foyer is an open-concept kitchen, living, and dining room with windows looking onto a covered porch. The island kitchen features a corner pantry and a stainless-steel gas range. Just off the foyer are bedrooms 2, 3 & 4, right next to the large laundry room. The spacious Bedroom 1 suite is located off the living room and includes a large walk-in closet and a relaxing spa-like bathroom with double vanity and a spacious walk-in closet. You’ll enjoy added security in your new D. R. Horton home with our Home is Connected features. With D. R. Horton's simple buying process and ten-year limited warranty, there's no reason to wait! (Prices, plans, dimensions, specifications, features, incentives, and availability are subject to change without notice obligation. )

  14. 2025-08-28
    status Pending 910-char remark
    Show marketing remark (910 chars)

    The Eureka plan is a single-story, 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home with approximately 2,045 square feet of living space. Just through the foyer is an open-concept kitchen, living, and dining room with windows looking onto a covered porch. The island kitchen features a corner pantry and a stainless-steel gas range. Just off the foyer are bedrooms 2, 3 & 4, right next to the large laundry room. The spacious Bedroom 1 suite is located off the living room and includes a large walk-in closet and a relaxing spa-like bathroom with double vanity and a spacious walk-in closet. You’ll enjoy added security in your new D. R. Horton home with our Home is Connected features. With D. R. Horton's simple buying process and ten-year limited warranty, there's no reason to wait! (Prices, plans, dimensions, specifications, features, incentives, and availability are subject to change without notice obligation. )

  15. 2025-05-29
    price $400,855 910-char remark
    Show marketing remark (910 chars)

    The Eureka plan is a single-story, 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home with approximately 2,045 square feet of living space. Just through the foyer is an open-concept kitchen, living, and dining room with windows looking onto a covered porch. The island kitchen features a corner pantry and a stainless-steel gas range. Just off the foyer are bedrooms 2, 3 & 4, right next to the large laundry room. The spacious Bedroom 1 suite is located off the living room and includes a large walk-in closet and a relaxing spa-like bathroom with double vanity and a spacious walk-in closet. You’ll enjoy added security in your new D. R. Horton home with our Home is Connected features. With D. R. Horton's simple buying process and ten-year limited warranty, there's no reason to wait! (Prices, plans, dimensions, specifications, features, incentives, and availability are subject to change without notice obligation. )

  16. 2025-05-16
    listed $400,155 Active 910-char remark
    Show marketing remark (910 chars)

    The Eureka plan is a single-story, 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home with approximately 2,045 square feet of living space. Just through the foyer is an open-concept kitchen, living, and dining room with windows looking onto a covered porch. The island kitchen features a corner pantry and a stainless-steel gas range. Just off the foyer are bedrooms 2, 3 & 4, right next to the large laundry room. The spacious Bedroom 1 suite is located off the living room and includes a large walk-in closet and a relaxing spa-like bathroom with double vanity and a spacious walk-in closet. You’ll enjoy added security in your new D. R. Horton home with our Home is Connected features. With D. R. Horton's simple buying process and ten-year limited warranty, there's no reason to wait! (Prices, plans, dimensions, specifications, features, incentives, and availability are subject to change without notice obligation. )

  17. 2024-10-01
    historical
  18. 2023-10-10
    listed $80,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$958 · $80/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,336 · $611/mo
Expected delta
+$6,378/yr (+$531/mo · 665.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$40,140
− Mortgage interest
−$22,454
− Property taxes
−$958
− Insurance
−$2,004
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,211
− Management
−$3,211
− HOA
−$600
− Depreciation
−$11,661
Taxable loss
−$3,960
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$950
After-tax cash flow
$3,873/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Calallen ISD
NCES district ID
4812420
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$73,780
Composite
39.25/100
National rank
#4004
State rank
#249 of 826 in TX

Livability — Corpus Christi

Score
78/100
State rank
#66
US rank
#2404

Category grades

Amenities C Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Corpus Christi, TX
City population
296,836
Population (ZIP)
23,752

Population outlook (Nueces County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
418,037 people
By 2030
447,123 · +7.0%
By 2040
505,911 · +21.0%
By 2050
567,522 · +35.8%
By 2075
729,686 · +74.6%
By 2100
847,087 · +102.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (76%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 76% Two or more races 38% White 23%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 71%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
52% English-only · Spanish 47%

Political lean MEDSL · Nueces

2024 margin
R (+11.5) · D 43.8% · R 55.3%
2008→2024 swing
-7.1pp toward R · 2008: -4.4pp · 2024: -11.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.5 2020: R+2.9 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+4.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -5.51%
Current HPI
286.19
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+401.1% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2025-10-06 Relisted CBMLS
  • 2025-08-28 Pending CBMLS
  • 2025-05-29 Price Changed $400,855 CBMLS
  • 2025-05-16 Listed $400,155 CBMLS
  • 2024-10-01 Delisted CBMLS
  • 2023-10-10 Listed $80,000 CBMLS

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $958 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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