8501 Mcallister Dr · Tillmans Corner, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.9/30.0
- ARV discount +10.3/15.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$162,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
USDA ELIGIBLE, 100% FINANCING FOR THOSE WHO QUALIFY. Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home nestled on a spacious corner lot in McDonald Estates! A great opportunity for first-time homebuyers, savvy investors, or those ready to downsize without giving up a convenient location. Priced under 170k, this home combines affordability with convenience. Enjoy easy access to the interstate—just minutes away—while still having plenty of outdoor space for pets, gardening, or entertaining. Inside, you’ll find an open floor plan with an eat-in kitchen that flows seamlessly into the living room, complete with a cozy brick fireplace—perfect for relaxing evenings at home. The fenced-in backyard adds both privacy and functionality. With a little TLC, this home has great bones and endless potential to truly make it your own—whether you're looking for a primary residence or an income-producing investment property. Due to the updates needed, it is priced accordingly. Don’t miss this opportunity—schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Cozy brick fireplace
- Eat-in kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $162k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $315 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $160k (1.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $152k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 5.0% in Tillmans Corner — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#260 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 250 active listings in the ZIP; 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($152k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $82k; list at $162k implies a 98% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.33%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $172,683
- List price
- $162,000
- Delta
- -6.19%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8550 Mcadams Dr S | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,192 (+4%) | 0mo | $212,000 | $178 | 89 |
| 8609 Mcallister Dr | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,144 (0%) | 4mo | $179,000 | $156 | 89 |
| 8385 Lake Ponchartrain Dr | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (-6%) | 3mo | $120,000 | $111 | 71 |
| 8461 Lake Tahoe Dr | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,269 (+11%) | 5mo | $90,000 | $71 | 63 |
| 8401 Stratford Dr | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,228 (+7%) | 15mo | $206,000 | $168 | 62 |
| 6441 Mcadams Dr W | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,274 (+11%) | 13mo | $130,000 | $102 | 62 |
| 8230 Old Pascagoula Rd | 0.40mi | 3/1.5 | 1,296 (+13%) | 4mo | $170,000 | $131 | 53 |
| 6230 Hunters Pointe Dr E | 0.45mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,085 (-5%) | 14mo | $62,000 | $57 | 53 |
| 6900 Red Lane Cir | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 | 1,224 (+7%) | 6mo | $156,000 | $127 | 52 |
| 8309 Lake Helen Dr N | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,302 (+14%) | 18mo | $182,500 | $140 | 48 |
| 8525 Hunters Pointe Dr N | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,051 (-8%) | 23mo | $59,000 | $56 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-6,272
- Equity at exit
- $24,155
- IRR
- 6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.44×
- Total profit
- $20,048
- Equity at exit
- $14,007
Cash invested: $45,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36582
- Home prices YoY
- -19.1%
- Active inventory
- 250
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,605 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$850
- Tax from tax record
- −$36 /mo · $428/yr
- Insurance
- −$68
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$337
- Net cashflow
- $315
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,500
- Closing costs
- $4,860
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $162,000 Pending 78 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $162,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $162,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $162,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $162,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $162,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $162,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-03-20$162,000 Active 1072-char remark
Show marketing remark (1072 chars)
USDA ELIGIBLE, 100% FINANCING FOR THOSE WHO QUALIFY. Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home nestled on a spacious corner lot in McDonald Estates! A great opportunity for first-time homebuyers, savvy investors, or those ready to downsize without giving up a convenient location. Priced under 170k, this home combines affordability with convenience. Enjoy easy access to the interstate—just minutes away—while still having plenty of outdoor space for pets, gardening, or entertaining. Inside, you’ll find an open floor plan with an eat-in kitchen that flows seamlessly into the living room, complete with a cozy brick fireplace—perfect for relaxing evenings at home. The fenced-in backyard adds both privacy and functionality. With a little TLC, this home has great bones and endless potential to truly make it your own—whether you're looking for a primary residence or an income-producing investment property. Due to the updates needed, it is priced accordingly. Don’t miss this opportunity—schedule your showing today!
-
2020-05-20soldstatus $81,900
-
2020-05-19soldstatus $81,900 690-char remark
Show marketing remark (690 chars)
Almost everything is like-new in this cute little ranch that is move-in ready. All it needs is your personal touches to be perfect! In 2016, the windows, roof, and HVAC were replaced. The wiring was updated and the flooring in the hallway and bedrooms was replaced to LVT. New light fixtures and paint at that time. The septic was pumped 3/2019. Huge fenced in backyard on a corner lot. This home is located just off the interstate with easy access to downtown Mobile, MS, shopping, hospitals, schools, or wherever. This is a great deal for anyone looking in this price point as all the big ticket expenses have already been replaced. Make an appointment to see this today before it's gone!
-
2020-05-19soldstatus $81,900
Show marketing remark (690 chars)
Almost everything is like-new in this cute little ranch that is move-in ready. All it needs is your personal touches to be perfect! In 2016, the windows, roof, and HVAC were replaced. The wiring was updated and the flooring in the hallway and bedrooms was replaced to LVT. New light fixtures and paint at that time. The septic was pumped 3/2019. Huge fenced in backyard on a corner lot. This home is located just off the interstate with easy access to downtown Mobile, MS, shopping, hospitals, schools, or wherever. This is a great deal for anyone looking in this price point as all the big ticket expenses have already been replaced. Make an appointment to see this today before it's gone!
-
2019-09-15$81,900 690-char remark
Show marketing remark (690 chars)
Almost everything is like-new in this cute little ranch that is move-in ready. All it needs is your personal touches to be perfect! In 2016, the windows, roof, and HVAC were replaced. The wiring was updated and the flooring in the hallway and bedrooms was replaced to LVT. New light fixtures and paint at that time. The septic was pumped 3/2019. Huge fenced in backyard on a corner lot. This home is located just off the interstate with easy access to downtown Mobile, MS, shopping, hospitals, schools, or wherever. This is a great deal for anyone looking in this price point as all the big ticket expenses have already been replaced. Make an appointment to see this today before it's gone!
-
2005-03-17soldstatus $82,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $428 · $36/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $664 · $55/mo
- Expected delta
- +$237/yr (+$20/mo · 55.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,255
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,075
- − Property taxes
- −$428
- − Insurance
- −$810
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,540
- − Management
- −$1,540
- − Depreciation
- −$4,713
- Taxable income
- $1,149
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$276
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,503/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mobile County
- NCES district ID
- 0102370
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,455
- Composite
- 22.9/100
- National rank
- #8002
- State rank
- #81 of 129 in AL
Livability — Tillmans Corner
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #260
- US rank
- #18090
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Mobile County · 246,577 people
- City population
- 14,550
- Metro
- Mobile, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,705
- Household income
- $64,763
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 431.0
Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,303 people
- By 2030
- 411,755 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 399,670 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 382,616 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 337,353 · -18.8%
- By 2100
- 283,391 · -31.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Black 18% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mobile
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.61%
- Current HPI
- 209.7621
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Mobile, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+97.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-20 Listed $162,000 GCMLS AL
- 2020-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $81,900 Public Records
- 2020-05-19 Sold (MLS) $81,900 GCMLS AL
- 2020-05-19 Sold (MLS) $81,900 BCAR
- 2019-09-15 Listed $81,900 BCAR
- 2005-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $82,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-7.4%/yrLatest (2025): $428 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…