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2509 Mckinley St
B- Composite 67.94
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$39,900

2509 Mckinley St · St. Albans, WV 25177
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 796 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1947 4,356 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This house is an investors dream with so much potential. 2 bed, 1 bath, flat fenced yard. Great opportunity. Full unfinished basement with washer/dryer hookups. Sold as, seller will make no repairs. Great location in St. Albans.

Key facts

  • Flat fenced yard
  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • Built 1947

Tags

FLAT FENCED YARDFULL UNFINISHED BASEMENTGREAT LOCATION IN ST ALBANS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Single-story
  • Construction: Aluminum siding and plaster exterior; Composition/shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Porch; Fenced yard

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms (bedrooms and living areas combined)
  • Flooring: Other flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Insulated windows; Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $291 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($846 rent vs $40k).
  • Cap rate 16.7% vs local median 4.9% in St. Albans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Kanawha County Schools (suburban): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #17 of 55 in WV (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Alban Elementary School (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #148 of 377 statewide, top 49%, 253 students, 0% FRL); Hayes Middle School (math 24% / reading 39%, grade F, #52 of 109 statewide, top 49%, 436 students, 0% FRL); Saint Albans High School (math 32% / reading 57%, grade F, #11 of 110 statewide, top 11%, 993 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 116 active listings in the ZIP; 103 units permitted in Kanawha County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kanawha County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $29k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $39,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.12%
Cap rate
16.72%
Cash-on-cash
37.24%
DSCR
2.66
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$114,624
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2326 Monroe Ave 0.26mi 3/1.0 (+1) 800 (+0%) 4mo $115,000 $144 79
2501 Harrison Ave 0.11mi 2/1.0 816 (+2%) 19mo $47,000 $58 75
2614 Washington Ave 0.20mi 2/1.0 875 (+10%) 1mo $135,000 $154 73
2237 Cleveland Ave 0.37mi 2/1.0 840 (+6%) 2mo $112,500 $134 72
2231 Washington Ave 0.37mi 2/1.0 768 (-4%) 7mo $129,900 $169 71
2313 Mckinley Ave 0.24mi 2/1.0 816 (+2%) 23mo $127,500 $156 66
2121 Wilson Ave 0.43mi 2/1.0 720 (-10%) 8mo $90,000 $125 58
2361 Cleveland Ave 0.23mi 2/1.0 896 (+13%) 14mo $129,150 $144 56
1915 Wilson Ave 0.73mi 2/1.0 798 (+0%) 13mo $70,000 $88 55
2404 Adams Ave 0.10mi 3/1.0 (+1) 912 (+15%) 22mo $145,000 $159 48
215 Alameda St 0.46mi 2/1.0 902 (+13%) 24mo $125,500 $139 36
2115 Lincoln Ave 0.45mi 2/1.0 912 (+15%) 23mo $123,000 $135 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.2%
Equity multiple
2.09×
Total profit
$12,152
Equity at exit
$5,949
10-year hold
IRR
33.9%
Equity multiple
4.11×
Total profit
$34,764
Equity at exit
$3,450

Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 25177

Home prices YoY
-16.6%
Active inventory
116
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$846 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$209
Tax from tax record
$96 /mo · $1,148/yr
Insurance
$17
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$178
Net cashflow
$291

Break-even live

Break-even rent $477
Max offer price $39,900
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,975
Closing costs
$1,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-04
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-20
    listed $39,900 Active
  3. 1984-11-16
    soldstatus $29,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,148 · $96/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,148 · $96/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,150
− Mortgage interest
−$2,235
− Property taxes
−$1,148
− Insurance
−$866
− Repairs & maintenance
−$812
− Management
−$812
− Depreciation
−$1,161
Taxable income
$3,116
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$748
After-tax cash flow
$2,746/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kanawha County Schools
NCES district ID
5400600
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$44,329
Composite
29.35/100
National rank
#6540
State rank
#17 of 55 in WV

Livability — St. Albans

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Albans, WV
Population (ZIP)
23,211

Population outlook (Kanawha County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
178,946 people
By 2030
172,906 · -3.4%
By 2040
159,874 · -10.7%
By 2050
148,148 · -17.2%
By 2075
123,257 · -31.1%
By 2100
96,454 · -46.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 5% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Kanawha

2024 margin
R (+17.4) · D 40.2% · R 57.6% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-17.0pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -17.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+17.4 2020: R+14.7 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+11.9 2008: R+0.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -36.96%
Current HPI
185.502
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+37.6% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Pending KVBOR
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $39,900 KVBOR
  • 1984-11-16 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,148 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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