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509 Heineman Blvd
C+ Composite 62.6
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.6/15.0
  • DSCR +8.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$70,000

509 Heineman Blvd · Mansfield, OH 44903
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,022 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 18 Days on market
Built 1900 1,742 sqft lot $68/sqft · at area comps Est $73k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located at 509 Heineman Blvd, Mansfield, OH 44903, this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers approximately 1,022 sq ft of living space with a functional layout, including one bedroom on the main floor. The home features a full basement providing additional storage and flexibility, along with a living room fireplace that adds character to the space. Included appliances are the oven and refrigerator. Conveniently located near local amenities and major routes in Mansfield. PLEASE ALLOW 48 HOURS for response to any offers

Key facts

  • Full basement
  • 1,742 sq ft lot
  • Built 1900

Tags

FULL BASEMENTLIVING ROOM FIREPLACE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Two levels; Built in 1900; No shared/common walls
  • Construction: Built in 1900
  • Exterior features: Other foundation

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom on the main level
  • Flooring: Other flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window unit cooling
  • Interior features: Fireplace (1) with full basement; Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $177 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($836 rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $69k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 4.3% in Mansfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#224 in OH, #3,525 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime D-, amenities D-.
  • Mansfield City (urban): math 24% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #590 of 656 in OH (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 122 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 145 units permitted in Richland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Richland County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $43k; list at $70k implies a 63% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $68,950 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
9.32%
Cash-on-cash
10.82%
DSCR
1.48
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$73,427
List price
$70,000
Delta
-4.67%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
230 Rae Ave 0.25mi 2/1.5 1,024 (+0%) 3mo $149,900 $146 84
10 Gray Ct 0.07mi 2/1.0 924 (-10%) 2mo $21,300 $23 79
444 W 6th St 0.28mi 3/1.0 (+1) 994 (-3%) 1mo $79,000 $79 77
190 Dawson Ave 0.57mi 2/1.0 1,044 (+2%) 2mo $151,000 $145 68
269 Parkway Dr 0.36mi 2/1.0 964 (-6%) 7mo $90,000 $93 68
460 W Dickson 0.09mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,100 (+8%) 10mo $84,000 $76 68
797 Burton Ave 0.56mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,019 (-0%) 10mo $95,000 $93 60
194 Rowland Ave 0.17mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,152 (+13%) 9mo $130,000 $113 59
135 Fairlawn Ave 0.67mi 3/1.0 (+1) 990 (-3%) 0mo $105,000 $106 58
447 Spayer Ln 0.31mi 3/1.0 (+1) 875 (-14%) 1mo $105,000 $120 56
371 Bell St 0.68mi 2/1.0 1,080 (+6%) 6mo $49,000 $45 53
587 Springmill St 0.69mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,001 (-2%) 11mo $75,000 $75 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.1%
Equity multiple
1.00×
Total profit
$-73
Equity at exit
$10,437
10-year hold
IRR
9.6%
Equity multiple
1.74×
Total profit
$14,484
Equity at exit
$6,052

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44903

Home prices YoY
-27.7%
Active inventory
122
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$836 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax est. 1.5%
$88 /mo · $1,050/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$176
Net cashflow
$177

Break-even live

Break-even rent $612
Max offer price $70,000
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $225 -5% $201 +0% $177 +5% $153 +10% $128
Rent -10% $111 -5% $144 +0% $177 +5% $210 +10% $243
Rate -1.0pp $212 -0.5pp $195 base $177 +0.5pp $159 +1.0pp $140

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
38 Baldwin Ave Apt 3 Mansfield, OH 1.0 1.0 800 $800 $1.00 44d 1 0.30mi
46 Bartley Ave Unit 46 1/2 Mansfield, OH 1.0 1.0 800 $750 $0.94 44d 1 0.31mi
454 Parnell Dr Mansfield, OH 2.0 1.0 757 $795 $1.05 44d 1 0.66mi
750 Burns St Unit A6 Mansfield, OH 2.0 1.0 960 $950 $0.99 44d 1 0.86mi
640 King St Mansfield, OH 1.0–3.0 1.0 938 $938 $1.00 44d 11 0.88mi
776 King St Unit B7 Mansfield, OH 2.0 1.0 960 $950 $0.99 44d 1 0.93mi
520 Lida St Mansfield, OH 3.0 1.0 1300 $850 $0.65 44d 1 1.04mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $70,000 Active 18 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $70,000 Active 17 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $70,000 Active 16 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $70,000 Active 15 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $70,000 Active 14 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $70,000 Active 12 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $70,000 Active 11 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $70,000 Active 8 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $70,000 Active 7 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $70,000 Active 6 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $70,000 Active 3 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $70,000 Active 2 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on marketlisting id $70,000 Active 1 DOM
    Show marketing remark (516 chars)

    Located at 509 Heineman Blvd, Mansfield, OH 44903, this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers approximately 1,022 sq ft of living space with a functional layout, including one bedroom on the main floor. The home features a full basement providing additional storage and flexibility, along with a living room fireplace that adds character to the space. Included appliances are the oven and refrigerator. Conveniently located near local amenities and major routes in Mansfield. PLEASE ALLOW 48 HOURS for response to any offers

  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $70,000 Active 52 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $70,000 Active 51 DOM
  16. 2026-04-10
    listed $70,000 Active 579-char remark
  17. 2024-09-06
    soldstatus $43,000 Closed 967-char remark
  18. 2024-08-27
    status Pending 967-char remark
  19. 2024-08-20
    price $49,900 967-char remark
  20. 2024-08-05
    price $52,500 967-char remark
  21. 2024-07-26
    listed $54,900 Active 967-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,033
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$1,050
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$803
− Management
−$803
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$1,070
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$257
After-tax cash flow
$1,864/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mansfield City
NCES district ID
3904429
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$32,435
Composite
23.25/100
National rank
#7934
State rank
#590 of 656 in OH

Livability — Mansfield

Score
76/100
State rank
#224
US rank
#3525

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mansfield, OH
County
Richland · 128,966 people
City population
16,349
Metro
Mansfield, OH
Population (ZIP)
26,804
Household income
$65,421
Rent vs Own
27.7% rent · 72.3% own
Severe rent burden
9.5

Population outlook (Richland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
115,577 people
By 2030
111,669 · -3.4%
By 2040
103,323 · -10.6%
By 2050
95,135 · -17.7%
By 2075
76,719 · -33.6%
By 2100
57,188 · -50.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Two or more races 9% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Iranian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Richland

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.3) · D 28.4% · R 70.8%
2008→2024 swing
-28.8pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -42.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.3 2020: R+39.7 2016: R+37.5 2012: R+20.1 2008: R+13.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -92.50%
Current HPI
241.9342
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+27.5% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $70,000 MARMLS
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $70,000 CBRMLS
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $70,000 MLSNOW
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $70,000 MARMLS
  • 2024-09-06 Sold (MLS) $43,000 MARMLS
  • 2024-08-27 Pending MARMLS
  • 2024-08-20 Price Changed $49,900 MARMLS
  • 2024-08-05 Price Changed $52,500 MARMLS
  • 2024-07-26 Listed $54,900 MARMLS

Property tax history

-18.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $53 · -4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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