5008 Lynch Dr · North Little Rock, AR
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.78%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 11.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.9/30.0
- DSCR +8.7/10.0
- ARV discount +8.1/15.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Ready for investors!
Key facts
- Immediate cash flow
- Performing rental
- Established tenant
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Parking pads
- Utilities: Public sewer; Public water; Municipal electric (Entergy)
- Home design: Frame construction
- Construction: Architectural shingle roof; Crawl space and pier foundation; Frame exterior; Built on a 0.15-acre lot
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing stove; Dishwasher
- Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 half bath
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric cooling
- Interior features: Carpet and luxury vinyl flooring; Level interior layout
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $168 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 5.1% in North Little Rock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#24 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- N. Little Rock School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #191 of 238 in AR (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.58%
- DSCR
- 1.47
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $96,280
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 424 Healy St | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,122 (-3%) | 4mo | $34,000 | $30 | 78 |
| 5216 Lynch Dr | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,081 (-7%) | 2mo | $85,000 | $79 | 71 |
| 928 Healy St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,196 (+3%) | 5mo | $52,000 | $43 | 71 |
| 4600 Atkins St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,214 (+5%) | 2mo | $45,000 | $37 | 70 |
| 4509 Haywood St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,130 (-3%) | 3mo | $130,000 | $115 | 70 |
| 4909 School St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,252 (+8%) | 2mo | $78,000 | $62 | 65 |
| 412 Middle St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,289 (+11%) | 6mo | $173,000 | $134 | 59 |
| 418 Mills St | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 | 996 (-14%) | 9mo | $45,000 | $45 | 58 |
| 804 Water St | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (-13%) | 7mo | $84,000 | $83 | 57 |
| 5603 Alpha St | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 1,002 (-14%) | 10mo | $106,500 | $106 | 51 |
| 4913 Page Mill Rd | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,260 (+9%) | 3mo | $127,000 | $101 | 49 |
| 4705 Goodwin Cir | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,002 (-14%) | 7mo | $120,000 | $120 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-4,665
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.37×
- Total profit
- $9,833
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72117
- Home prices YoY
- -30.4%
- Active inventory
- 78
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,070 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$73 /mo · $878/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$225
- Net cashflow
- $168
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 306 Boggs St North Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $850 | $0.85 | 23d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 607 Prothro St North Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 779 | $825 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 5204 Alpha St North Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 753 | $850 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 515 Middle St North Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $850 | $0.95 | 14d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 4701 Atkins St North Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 892 | $925 | $1.04 | 19d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 717 Greenlea Dr North Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,095 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 4820 Haywood St North Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1223 | $1,595 | $1.30 | 14d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 4911 School St North Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1223 | $1,595 | $1.30 | 14d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 817 Greenlea Dr North Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,195 | $1.31 | 23d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 4912 School St North Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $950 | $0.90 | 23d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 908 Greenlea Dr North Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,300 | $1.43 | 21d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 4716 School St North Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1347 | $1,150 | $0.85 | 43d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 4007 Rogers St North Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1157 | $1,595 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 3 Neal Pl North Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1144 | $975 | $0.85 | 23d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3 Neal Pl North Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1144 | $975 | $0.85 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2107 Muldrow Dr North Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,015 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 6612 Whippoorwill Ln North Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 952 | $1,075 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 6617 Whippoorwill Ln North Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 952 | $995 | $1.05 | 23d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 814 N G St North Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $1,100 | $0.86 | 23d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 211 Crockett St North Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $850 | $0.77 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $95,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $95,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $95,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $95,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-14statusdays on market $95,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $95,000 New Listing 6 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $95,000 New Listing 4 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $95,000 New Listing 3 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $95,000 New Listing 2 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07$95,000 New Listing 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $878 · $73/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $878 · $73/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,841
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$878
- − Insurance
- −$1,272
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,027
- − Management
- −$1,027
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $551
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$132
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,884/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- N. Little Rock School District
- NCES district ID
- 0510680
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,325
- Composite
- 19.69/100
- National rank
- #8728
- State rank
- #191 of 238 in AR
Livability — North Little Rock
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #24
- US rank
- #5452
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Little Rock, AR
- City population
- 55,470
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,339
Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,378 people
- By 2030
- 423,720 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 435,182 · +4.8%
- By 2050
- 440,904 · +6.1%
- By 2075
- 445,521 · +7.3%
- By 2100
- 419,173 · +0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 63% White 24% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.1) · D 59.8% · R 37.7% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +10.6pp toward D · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.1 2020: D+22.5 2016: D+17.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -53.78%
- Current HPI
- 123.3727
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
||
Price history
+102.1% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Listed $95,000 CARMLS
- 2026-03-31 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2026-03-06 Rental Removed $995 CARMLS
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $118,000 CARMLS
- 2026-02-20 Price Changed $995 CARMLS
- 2026-02-13 Price Changed $1,050 CARMLS
- 2026-02-10 Price Changed $120,000 CARMLS
- 2026-01-22 Price Changed $1,095 CARMLS
- 2026-01-13 Price Changed $122,000 CARMLS
- 2026-01-10 Listed for Rent $1,100 CARMLS
- 2026-01-07 Rental Removed $1,100 CARMLS
- 2025-12-15 Listed $124,000 CARMLS
- 2025-11-14 Price Changed $1,100 CARMLS
- 2025-10-23 Listed for Rent $1,150 CARMLS
- 2025-10-11 Rental Removed $1,150 CARMLS
- 2025-08-20 Listed for Rent $1,150 CARMLS
- 2023-12-08 Sold (Public Records) $120,500 Public Records
- 2023-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $122,500 Public Records
- 2023-02-08 Sold (MLS) $122,500 CARMLS
- 2022-12-01 Pending — CARMLS
- 2022-12-01 Listed $122,500 CARMLS
- 2022-07-12 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2022-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.7%/yrLatest (2025): $878 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…