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1415 Longhorn
C- Composite 50.32
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.6/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,000

1415 Longhorn · Floresville, TX 78114
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,366 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 207 Days on market
Built 1981 10,062 sqft lot $131/sqft · 14% below area Est $207k · 14% under ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 1415 Longhorn Dr, a 4-bedroom, 2-bath home in the quiet Longridge Heights community of Floresville. This 1,366 sq ft single-story property offers an eat-in kitchen, a comfortable living area, and a layout with plenty of potential. The home does need some TLC, making it a great opportunity for buyers ready to take on a project and add their own personal touch. Outside, you'll find a fully fenced backyard with mature trees, a large deck, and multiple storage sheds. All appliances-including the washer, dryer, stove, dishwasher, and refrigerator-will remain. Located minutes from schools, shopping, and downtown Floresville, this home offers peaceful living with convenient access to town.

Key facts

  • Large deck
  • Eat-in kitchen
  • 0.23 acre lot

Tags

EAT-IN KITCHENFULLY FENCED BACKYARDLARGE DECKMULTIPLE STORAGE SHEDSCONVENIENT ACCESS TO TOWN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $179k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $73 ($880/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $179k).
  • Recommended offer: $158k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 1.9% in Floresville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#681 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D+, health & safety D+, amenities F.
  • Floresville ISD (town): math 32% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #504 of 826 in TX (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 297 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 135 units permitted in Wilson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wilson County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 207 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $157,520 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 207 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
6.78%
Cash-on-cash
1.76%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$207,224
List price
$179,000
Delta
-13.62%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1312 Longhorn 0.11mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,239 (-9%) 14mo $234,990 $190 59
1410 Longbranch 0.14mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,176 (-14%) 7mo $199,000 $169 55
1930 Sutherland Springs Rd 0.48mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (+5%) 11mo $165,000 $115 55
107 Windcrest 0.48mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,412 (+3%) 19mo $230,000 $163 51
111 Windcrest 0.50mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,278 (-6%) 12mo $279,900 $219 51
809 8th 0.50mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,197 (-12%) 4mo $175,000 $146 43
1115 Plum St 0.55mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,216 (-11%) 15mo $60,000 $49 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.4%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-24,238
Equity at exit
$26,689
10-year hold
IRR
-4.4%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-14,697
Equity at exit
$15,477

Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78114

Home prices YoY
-27.3%
Active inventory
297
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,803 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$939
Tax from tax record
$338 /mo · $4,056/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$379
Net cashflow
$73

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,710
Max offer price $179,000
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $175 -5% $124 +0% $73 +5% $23 +10% $-28
Rent -10% $-69 -5% $2 +0% $73 +5% $145 +10% $216
Rate -1.0pp $163 -0.5pp $119 base $73 +0.5pp $27 +1.0pp $-20

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,750
Closing costs
$5,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1224 Plum St Floresville, TX 3.0 2.0 1450 $1,723 $1.19 5d 1 0.44mi
809 8th St Floresville, TX 3.0 1.0 1197 $1,600 $1.34 25d 1 0.51mi
925 6th St Floresville, TX 4.0 1.0 1329 $1,850 $1.39 12d 1 0.81mi
1005 3rd St Floresville, TX 3.0 2.0 1198 $1,550 $1.29 3d 1 0.94mi
849 County Road 302 Unit A Floresville, TX 3.0 2.0 1216 $1,850 $1.52 13d 1 1.06mi
1408 8th St Floresville, TX 3.0 1.5 1262 $1,500 $1.19 3d 1 1.22mi
197 Middle Green Loop Floresville, TX 3.0 2.0 1600 $1,995 $1.25 9d 1 1.38mi
144 Hogans Aly Floresville, TX 3.0 2.0 1396 $1,850 $1.33 25d 1 1.47mi
144 Hogans Aly Floresville, TX 3.0 2.0 1452 $1,825 $1.26 12d 1 1.47mi
132 Avena Grv Floresville, TX 4.0 2.0 1667 $2,000 $1.20 25d 1 1.48mi
121 Legendary Trail Loop Floresville, TX 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,895 $1.26 16d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $179,000 Active 207 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $179,000 Active 204 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $179,000 Active 203 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $179,000 Active 202 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $179,000 Active 201 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $179,000 Active 199 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $179,000 Active 195 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $179,000 Active 194 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $179,000 Active 193 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $179,000 Active 190 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $179,000 Active 189 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $179,000 Active 188 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $179,000 Active 187 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $179,000 Active 186 DOM
  15. 2026-03-17
    price $179,000 702-char remark
    Show marketing remark (702 chars)

    Welcome to 1415 Longhorn Dr, a 4-bedroom, 2-bath home in the quiet Longridge Heights community of Floresville. This 1,366 sq ft single-story property offers an eat-in kitchen, a comfortable living area, and a layout with plenty of potential. The home does need some TLC, making it a great opportunity for buyers ready to take on a project and add their own personal touch. Outside, you'll find a fully fenced backyard with mature trees, a large deck, and multiple storage sheds. All appliances-including the washer, dryer, stove, dishwasher, and refrigerator-will remain. Located minutes from schools, shopping, and downtown Floresville, this home offers peaceful living with convenient access to town.

  16. 2026-02-04
    price $185,000 702-char remark
    Show marketing remark (702 chars)

    Welcome to 1415 Longhorn Dr, a 4-bedroom, 2-bath home in the quiet Longridge Heights community of Floresville. This 1,366 sq ft single-story property offers an eat-in kitchen, a comfortable living area, and a layout with plenty of potential. The home does need some TLC, making it a great opportunity for buyers ready to take on a project and add their own personal touch. Outside, you'll find a fully fenced backyard with mature trees, a large deck, and multiple storage sheds. All appliances-including the washer, dryer, stove, dishwasher, and refrigerator-will remain. Located minutes from schools, shopping, and downtown Floresville, this home offers peaceful living with convenient access to town.

  17. 2026-01-07
    price $197,000 702-char remark
    Show marketing remark (702 chars)

    Welcome to 1415 Longhorn Dr, a 4-bedroom, 2-bath home in the quiet Longridge Heights community of Floresville. This 1,366 sq ft single-story property offers an eat-in kitchen, a comfortable living area, and a layout with plenty of potential. The home does need some TLC, making it a great opportunity for buyers ready to take on a project and add their own personal touch. Outside, you'll find a fully fenced backyard with mature trees, a large deck, and multiple storage sheds. All appliances-including the washer, dryer, stove, dishwasher, and refrigerator-will remain. Located minutes from schools, shopping, and downtown Floresville, this home offers peaceful living with convenient access to town.

  18. 2025-11-26
    listed $205,000 New 702-char remark
    Show marketing remark (702 chars)

    Welcome to 1415 Longhorn Dr, a 4-bedroom, 2-bath home in the quiet Longridge Heights community of Floresville. This 1,366 sq ft single-story property offers an eat-in kitchen, a comfortable living area, and a layout with plenty of potential. The home does need some TLC, making it a great opportunity for buyers ready to take on a project and add their own personal touch. Outside, you'll find a fully fenced backyard with mature trees, a large deck, and multiple storage sheds. All appliances-including the washer, dryer, stove, dishwasher, and refrigerator-will remain. Located minutes from schools, shopping, and downtown Floresville, this home offers peaceful living with convenient access to town.

  19. 2021-07-21
    soldstatus
  20. 2021-07-15
    soldstatus Sold 674-char remark
    Show marketing remark (674 chars)

    Come home to small town living close to the hub of Floresville. Established family neighborhood close the hub of everything in Floresville. Home is landscaped with plenty of yard space for those cookouts and family gatherings. Fenced all around so the pets have lots of room. One of the only 4 bedrooms in this subdivision. Large living area with alcove for the reader in your family to have a space to retreat. Split bedroom plan. HVAC is under John Wayne service contract. 2008: HVAC replaced with flex ducts, vents, attic insulation and UV lights and surge protection breaker. Dual pane tilt windows are another feature. See info in additional docs about features.

  21. 2021-06-15
    status Pending 674-char remark
    Show marketing remark (674 chars)

    Come home to small town living close to the hub of Floresville. Established family neighborhood close the hub of everything in Floresville. Home is landscaped with plenty of yard space for those cookouts and family gatherings. Fenced all around so the pets have lots of room. One of the only 4 bedrooms in this subdivision. Large living area with alcove for the reader in your family to have a space to retreat. Split bedroom plan. HVAC is under John Wayne service contract. 2008: HVAC replaced with flex ducts, vents, attic insulation and UV lights and surge protection breaker. Dual pane tilt windows are another feature. See info in additional docs about features.

  22. 2021-05-31
    historical Active Option 674-char remark
    Show marketing remark (674 chars)

    Come home to small town living close to the hub of Floresville. Established family neighborhood close the hub of everything in Floresville. Home is landscaped with plenty of yard space for those cookouts and family gatherings. Fenced all around so the pets have lots of room. One of the only 4 bedrooms in this subdivision. Large living area with alcove for the reader in your family to have a space to retreat. Split bedroom plan. HVAC is under John Wayne service contract. 2008: HVAC replaced with flex ducts, vents, attic insulation and UV lights and surge protection breaker. Dual pane tilt windows are another feature. See info in additional docs about features.

  23. 2021-05-22
    listed $185,000 New 674-char remark
    Show marketing remark (674 chars)

    Come home to small town living close to the hub of Floresville. Established family neighborhood close the hub of everything in Floresville. Home is landscaped with plenty of yard space for those cookouts and family gatherings. Fenced all around so the pets have lots of room. One of the only 4 bedrooms in this subdivision. Large living area with alcove for the reader in your family to have a space to retreat. Split bedroom plan. HVAC is under John Wayne service contract. 2008: HVAC replaced with flex ducts, vents, attic insulation and UV lights and surge protection breaker. Dual pane tilt windows are another feature. See info in additional docs about features.

  24. 2001-04-18
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,056 · $338/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,056 · $338/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,639
− Mortgage interest
−$10,027
− Property taxes
−$4,056
− Insurance
−$895
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,731
− Management
−$1,731
− Depreciation
−$5,207
Taxable loss
−$2,008
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$482
After-tax cash flow
$1,362/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Floresville ISD
NCES district ID
4819350
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$59,736
Composite
30.44/100
National rank
#6234
State rank
#504 of 826 in TX

Livability — Floresville

Score
65/100
State rank
#681
US rank
#12747

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Floresville, TX
County
Wilson County · 24,283 people
City population
24,283
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
Population (ZIP)
24,283
Household income
$88,087
Rent vs Own
16.6% rent · 83.4% own
Severe rent burden
400.0

Population outlook (Wilson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
58,434 people
By 2030
63,912 · +9.4%
By 2040
74,704 · +27.8%
By 2050
85,024 · +45.5%
By 2075
111,025 · +90.0%
By 2100
126,692 · +116.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Hispanic (51%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 51% White 44% Two or more races 23% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 46%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
71% English-only · Spanish 27% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wilson

2024 margin
Solid R (+53.7) · D 22.9% · R 76.6%
2008→2024 swing
-19.8pp toward R · 2008: -33.9pp · 2024: -53.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+53.7 2020: R+48.4 2016: R+47.8 2012: R+43.0 2008: R+33.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -79.16%
Current HPI
210.9474
Rent YoY
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.2% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-17 Price Changed $179,000 LERA
  • 2026-02-04 Price Changed $185,000 LERA
  • 2026-01-07 Price Changed $197,000 LERA
  • 2025-11-26 Listed $205,000 LERA
  • 2021-07-21 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-07-15 Sold (MLS) LERA
  • 2021-06-15 Pending LERA
  • 2021-05-31 Contingent LERA
  • 2021-05-22 Listed $185,000 LERA
  • 2001-04-18 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,056 · -6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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