187 W Main St · Hancock, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +9.9/10.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Hancock Village home, close to shopping, walking distance to schools, library and center of town , where there are activities. Has lots of possibilities as a rental or as a primary residence. Come take a look.
Key facts
- Close to shopping
- 5,663 sq ft lot
- Built 1905
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $338 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 2.4% in Hancock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#454 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, crime A-; Watch: schools D+, amenities D, commute F.
- Hancock Central School District (rural): math 40% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #649 of 755 in NY (top 86%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 57 active listings in the ZIP; 66 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $12k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Delaware County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $38k; list at $110k implies a 193% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.16%
- DSCR
- 1.59
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $208,650
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77 Vestal Ave | 0.18mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,660 (+3%) | 7mo | $215,000 | $130 | 73 |
| 24814 State Highway 97 | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,700 (+6%) | 12mo | $150,000 | $88 | 50 |
| 28 Berger St | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,400 (-13%) | 8mo | $160,000 | $114 | 32 |
| 473 Perkins Rd | 0.65mi | 4/3.0 | 1,766 (+10%) | 22mo | $375,000 | $212 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.65×
- Total profit
- $81,498
- Equity at exit
- $99,097
- IRR
- 29.3%
- Equity multiple
- 8.25×
- Total profit
- $223,226
- Equity at exit
- $213,706
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13783
- Home prices YoY
- 2.9%
- Active inventory
- 57
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,495 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$221 /mo · $2,650/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$314
- Net cashflow
- $338
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $400 | -5% $369 | +0% $338 | +5% $307 | +10% $276 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $220 | -5% $279 | +0% $338 | +5% $397 | +10% $456 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $393 | -0.5pp $366 | base $338 | +0.5pp $309 | +1.0pp $280 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-03-12status Pending
-
2026-03-12$110,000 Active
-
2026-03-07status Pending
-
2026-01-29$110,000 Active
-
2004-01-21soldstatus $37,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,650 · $221/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,650 · $221/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥92°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,944
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$2,650
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,436
- − Management
- −$1,436
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $2,511
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$603
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,451/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hancock Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3613560
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,208
- Composite
- 35.99/100
- National rank
- #9539
- State rank
- #649 of 755 in NY
Livability — Hancock
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #454
- US rank
- #7935
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hancock, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,200
Population outlook (Delaware County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 42,668 people
- By 2030
- 40,337 · -5.5%
- By 2040
- 35,514 · -16.8%
- By 2050
- 31,265 · -26.7%
- By 2075
- 24,455 · -42.7%
- By 2100
- 19,529 · -54.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3% Two or more races 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Serbian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Delaware
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.8) · D 40.1% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: -5.2pp · 2024: -19.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.8 2020: R+18.4 2016: R+29.2 2012: R+9.6 2008: R+5.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 13.62%
- Current HPI
- 484.0977
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+193.3% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-12 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-12 Listed $110,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-07 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-01-29 Listed $110,000 UNYREIS
- 2004-01-21 Sold (Public Records) $37,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,650 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…