3137 Texas St · Montgomery, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- ARV discount +3.2/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Must have appointment. TENANT OCCUPIED
Key facts
- Garage
- Built 1955
- Listed 402 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $69k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $407 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $69k).
- Recommended offer: $61k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.4% vs local median 6.0% in Montgomery — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime F.
- Montgomery County (urban): math 9% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #106 of 129 in AL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 67 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 65% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 460 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($32k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 402 days — a 12% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $69k implies a 53% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 402 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.54% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.26%
- DSCR
- 2.12
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $63,030
- List price
- $69,000
- Delta
- 9.47%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3127 Texas St | 0.02mi | 3/1.0 | 1,260 (-2%) | 8mo | $70,000 | $56 | 85 |
| 3216 Texas St | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 | 1,353 (+5%) | 1mo | $40,000 | $30 | 84 |
| 1827 Austin St | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,376 (+7%) | 8mo | $56,000 | $41 | 74 |
| 1949 Johnson St | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,296 (+0%) | 2mo | $57,000 | $44 | 69 |
| 1805 Texas Ct | 0.22mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,353 (+5%) | 5mo | $62,500 | $46 | 68 |
| 1833 Midway St | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,175 (-9%) | 1mo | $64,900 | $55 | 68 |
| 3452 Harris St | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 1,400 (+8%) | 1mo | $35,000 | $25 | 67 |
| 3129 Cabot St | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,099 (-15%) | 1mo | $17,501 | $16 | 63 |
| 1641 N Yarbrough Ct | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,215 (-6%) | 8mo | $75,000 | $62 | 62 |
| 3025 Baffin Dr | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 1,146 (-11%) | 6mo | $50,000 | $44 | 54 |
| 132 Amanda Ln | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,118 (-13%) | 1mo | $45,000 | $40 | 47 |
| 231 Shelly Ct | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (-7%) | 9mo | $59,000 | $49 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.05% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.88×
- Total profit
- $16,945
- Equity at exit
- $10,288
- IRR
- 30.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.98×
- Total profit
- $57,642
- Equity at exit
- $5,966
Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36107
- Home prices YoY
- -10.9%
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 67
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,064 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$362
- Tax from tax record
- −$43 /mo · $518/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$223
- Net cashflow
- $407
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,250
- Closing costs
- $2,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 37 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3329 Texas St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 3050 Willena Ave Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1466 | $985 | $0.67 | 21d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 3114 Cotton St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,100 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 1817 Texas Ct Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,050 | $1.14 | 21d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 2107 Yarbrough Cir Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $925 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 2111 Yarbrough St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $795 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 3452 Harris St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,150 | $0.82 | 21d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 3042 George B Edmondson Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $860 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 3008 Cabot St Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,150 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 218 Broadway St Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $895 | $0.93 | 14d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 2056 Midway St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1110 | $985 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1653 N Yarbrough Ct Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1130 | $950 | $0.84 | 21d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 298 Broadway St Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $900 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2076 Midway St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1068 | $1,000 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 2019 Amos St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1134 | $985 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 216 Gardendale Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $850 | $0.94 | 21d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 2001 Speigle St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1260 | $1,035 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 3613 Erwin Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 4029 Chelsea Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 2503 Skyline Ave Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1015 | $1,150 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 207 Destin St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 966 | $695 | $0.72 | 21d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 16 Garden St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1008 | $775 | $0.77 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1324 Federal Dr Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 204 W Park Ave Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1145 | $850 | $0.74 | 21d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3 Rotary St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1131 | $925 | $0.82 | 21d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 942 Parkwood Ct Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1752 | $1,299 | $0.74 | 14d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1024 Grenada Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1144 | $1,125 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2822 Sumter Ave Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1617 | $1,300 | $0.80 | 21d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2814 Ashley Ave Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1683 | $1,350 | $0.80 | 14d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 740 Coliseum Blvd Unit 740A Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $895 | $0.81 | 14d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 105 Dyas Ct Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $1,095 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 2769 Pelzer Ave Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1608 | $1,325 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 700 Coliseum Blvd Unit 700D Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 911 | $895 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 517 N Florida St Unit B Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $750 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 2023 Windsor Ave Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 889 | $895 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2122 Windsor Ave Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1052 | $725 | $0.69 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 508 Glenmore Rd Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1135 | $1,000 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,000 Active 402 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,000 Active 401 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,000 Active 400 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,000 Active 399 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $69,000 Active 397 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,000 Active 396 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $69,000 Active 394 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,000 Active 393 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,000 Active 392 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,000 Active 391 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $69,000 Active 387 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,000 Active 386 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,000 Active 385 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,000 Active 384 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $69,000 Active 383 DOM
-
2026-05-06status Active 38-char remark
Show marketing remark (38 chars)
Must have appointment. TENANT OCCUPIED
-
2025-09-03price $69,000 38-char remark
Show marketing remark (38 chars)
Must have appointment. TENANT OCCUPIED
-
2025-06-25price $73,000 38-char remark
Show marketing remark (38 chars)
Must have appointment. TENANT OCCUPIED
-
2025-05-08$79,000 Active 38-char remark
Show marketing remark (38 chars)
Must have appointment. TENANT OCCUPIED
-
2022-10-31soldstatus $45,000
-
2022-10-28soldstatus $45,000 88-char remark
Show marketing remark (88 chars)
Rental property with long term tenant renting for $655 per month. Must have appointment.
-
2022-09-22$49,975 88-char remark
Show marketing remark (88 chars)
Rental property with long term tenant renting for $655 per month. Must have appointment.
-
2004-06-21soldstatus $38,000
-
2004-03-19$41,400
-
2001-12-07soldstatus $52,000
-
2001-01-09$52,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $518 · $43/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $518 · $43/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,765
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,865
- − Property taxes
- −$518
- − Insurance
- −$345
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,021
- − Management
- −$1,021
- − Depreciation
- −$2,007
- Taxable income
- $3,987
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$957
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,922/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Montgomery County
- NCES district ID
- 0102430
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,902
- Composite
- 17.24/100
- National rank
- #9093
- State rank
- #106 of 129 in AL
Livability — Montgomery
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #138
- US rank
- #13416
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Montgomery, AL
- County
- Montgomery County · 190,016 people
- City population
- 175,913
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,001
- Household income
- $32,492
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 642.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 224,008 people
- By 2030
- 221,460 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 214,179 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 204,912 · -8.5%
- By 2075
- 177,821 · -20.6%
- By 2100
- 145,134 · -35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 43% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 20%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Iranian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 13%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+30.7) · D 64.8% · R 34.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: 30.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+30.7 2020: D+31.5 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+24.3 2008: D+19.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -18.16%
- Current HPI
- 147.8065
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.05%
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+32.7% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Relisted — MAAR
- 2025-09-03 Price Changed $69,000 MAAR
- 2025-06-25 Price Changed $73,000 MAAR
- 2025-05-08 Listed $79,000 MAAR
- 2022-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2022-10-28 Sold (MLS) $45,000 MAAR
- 2022-09-22 Listed $49,975 MAAR
- 2004-06-21 Sold (MLS) $38,000 MAAR
- 2004-03-19 Listed $41,400 MAAR
- 2001-12-07 Sold (MLS) $52,000 MAAR
- 2001-01-09 Listed $52,000 MAAR
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $518 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…