400 W Main St · Belle Plaine, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$194,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Massive Potential on a Corner Lot | 5-Bed Historic Opportunity Bring your vision and tools to this expansive 5-bedroom, 1-bath home in the heart of Belle Plaine. Built in 1900, this residence sits on a generous 14,375 sq. ft. lot, offering significant space for outdoor living, gardening, or future expansion. While the home requires a total renovation, the bones and scale provide a rare canvas for investors or DIY enthusiasts looking to restore a piece of local history. Property Highlights: Spacious Layout: 5 bedrooms offer plenty of flexibility for a large family, home offices, or creative spaces. Large Lot: Nearly a third of an acre with mature trees and ample room for recreation. Detache
Key facts
- Generous lot
- Prime location
- Corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car garage
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Natural gas
- Home design: Residential property; One and one-half story
- Construction: Block foundation; Wood exterior
- Exterior features: Wood exterior; Lot roughly 0.33 acres (approx. 100 x 142)
Interior
- Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central air
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; Block foundation
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $195k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $232 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $194k (0.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $194k (0.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 2.1% in Belle Plaine — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#125 in MN, #2,843 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Belle Plaine Public School District (town): math 43% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #103 of 301 in MN (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 106 active listings in the ZIP; 699 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (84 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Scott County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.11%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-16,773
- Equity at exit
- $29,060
- IRR
- 1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $4,468
- Equity at exit
- $16,851
Cash invested: $54,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56011
- Home prices YoY
- -22.1%
- Active inventory
- 106
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,942 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,022
- Tax from tax record
- −$198 /mo · $2,378/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$408
- Net cashflow
- $232
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,725
- Closing costs
- $5,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $194,900 Coming Soon 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-17$194,900 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,378 · $198/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,378 · $198/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,301
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,917
- − Property taxes
- −$2,378
- − Insurance
- −$974
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,864
- − Management
- −$1,864
- − Depreciation
- −$5,670
- Taxable loss
- −$367
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$88
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,878/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Belle Plaine Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2704050
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $72,851
- Composite
- 44.1/100
- National rank
- #2870
- State rank
- #103 of 301 in MN
Livability — Belle Plaine
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #125
- US rank
- #2843
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Belle Plaine, MN
- City population
- 9,672
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,672
Population outlook (Scott County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 165,899 people
- By 2030
- 177,290 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 199,019 · +20.0%
- By 2050
- 216,883 · +30.7%
- By 2075
- 256,099 · +54.4%
- By 2100
- 276,434 · +66.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 3% Black 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 9% Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 2%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Scott
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+8.5) · D 44.8% · R 53.3% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.7pp toward D · 2008: -11.2pp · 2024: -8.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+8.5 2020: R+6.6 2016: R+15.4 2012: R+14.8 2008: R+11.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -67.57%
- Current HPI
- 238.8921
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Coming Soon $194,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2026): $2,378 · +12.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…