5427 Tourmaline Way · Fulshear, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.1/30.0
- ARV discount +9.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$324,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The spacious two-story Coleman C floor plan from the Magnolia Collection by Lennar features a large front porch which opens to an inviting entry foyer. The foyer leads to a lovely open island kitchen which adjoins a casual dining room and a generous family room with backyard access. The first floor master bedroom features an en suite master bathroom with a standing shower, private toilet enclosure, and an oversized walk-in master closet. The first floor also features a secondary bedroom with a walk-in closet, and a full bathroom. The second floor features an oversized game room, two additional secondary bedrooms, and a full bathroom.
Key facts
- Dual vanities
- Island kitchen
- Front porch
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Association-managed pool (association amenity)
- HOA & community: Homeowners association (Associa Principal Management Grou); Annual association fee of $900 (covers common areas and recreation facilities); Community pool; Playground; Trails
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Driveway; Garage with automatic door opener
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Built in 2021; Slab foundation; Composition roof
- Construction: Brick and cement siding construction
- Exterior features: Fenced backyard; Porch; Backs to greenbelt/park; Subdivision setting
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free-standing range; Gas oven; Gas range; Microwave; Oven; Refrigerator; Disposal
- Bedrooms: 8 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Flooring: Carpet; Plank; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central air (electric)
- Interior features: Granite counters; Kitchen island; Window treatments; Kitchen/dining combo; Living/dining room
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $325k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-130 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $302k (7.1% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $325k).
- Recommended offer: $302k (7.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.2% in Fulshear — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#430 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Lamar CISD (suburban): math 50% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #116 of 826 in TX (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Huggins El (math 61% / reading 63%, grade B, #321 of 4,322 statewide, top 8%, 893 students, 23% FRL); Dean Leaman J H School (math 59% / reading 56%, grade B, #206 of 1,662 statewide, top 13%, 2,191 students, 32% FRL); Fulshear H S (math 52% / reading 70%, grade C+, #258 of 1,632 statewide, top 16%, 2,464 students, 30% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 1014 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 12,093 units permitted in Fort Bend County in 2024 (815 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,349/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($84k/yr) (locally 20% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fort Bend County population projected at +75% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($320k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.72%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $339,984
- List price
- $324,900
- Delta
- -0.29%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5711 Sunland Trl | 0.34mi | 4/3.0 | 2,402 (+2%) | 1mo | $391,990 | $163 | 81 |
| 32215 Sunbeam Dr | 0.40mi | 4/3.0 | 2,417 (+2%) | 1mo | $364,990 | $151 | 77 |
| 5727 Daylight Cv | 0.44mi | 4/3.0 | 2,412 (+2%) | 3mo | $310,000 | $129 | 74 |
| 32407 Sunbeam Dr | 0.54mi | 4/3.0 | 2,353 (-0%) | 2mo | $352,990 | $150 | 73 |
| 32107 Morning Luster Ct | 0.52mi | 4/3.0 | 2,402 (+2%) | 1mo | $369,990 | $154 | 72 |
| 32511 Midsummer Dr | 0.54mi | 4/2.5 | 2,342 (-1%) | 1mo | $350,990 | $150 | 71 |
| 32503 Midsummer Dr | 0.53mi | 4/2.5 | 2,342 (-1%) | 1mo | $324,990 | $139 | 71 |
| 32447 Sunbeam Dr | 0.61mi | 4/2.5 | 2,342 (-1%) | 2mo | $326,990 | $140 | 66 |
| 32455 Sunbeam Dr | 0.63mi | 4/2.5 | 2,342 (-1%) | 2mo | $329,990 | $141 | 66 |
| 32919 Turning Springs Dr | 0.53mi | 4/2.5 | 2,260 (-4%) | 4mo | $334,900 | $148 | 63 |
| 32127 Morning Luster Ct | 0.51mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,677 (+13%) | 1mo | $389,990 | $146 | 48 |
| 32223 Sunbeam Dr | 0.41mi | 5/4.0 (+1) | 2,697 (+14%) | 0mo | $379,990 | $141 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.23×
- Total profit
- $-70,383
- Equity at exit
- $48,444
- IRR
- -33.1%
- Equity multiple
- -0.19×
- Total profit
- $-108,373
- Equity at exit
- $28,091
Cash invested: $90,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77423
- Rents YoY
- -1.0%
- Active inventory
- 1014
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,349 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,704
- Tax from tax record
- −$862 /mo · $10,344/yr
- Insurance
- −$135
- HOA
- −$75
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$703
- Net cashflow
- $-130
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $54 | -5% $-38 | +0% $-130 | +5% $-222 | +10% $-314 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-395 | -5% $-263 | +0% $-130 | +5% $2 | +10% $134 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $33 | -0.5pp $-48 | base $-130 | +0.5pp $-214 | +1.0pp $-300 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $81,225
- Closing costs
- $9,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5462 Grand View Dr Unit 1568482P Pattison, TX | 5.0 | 3.5 | 2992 | $3,732 | $1.25 | 0d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 5222 Wyatt James Ln Brookshire, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2487 | $3,250 | $1.31 | 14d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 33002 Franklin Brooks Dr Pattison, TX | 4.0 | 3.5 | 3255 | $4,385 | $1.35 | 0d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 31043 Vintage Creek Ln Fulshear, TX | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2800 | $3,300 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 31123 Brightwell Bnd Fulshear, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2400 | $2,400 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 7302 New Pecan Dr Fulshear, TX | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2844 | $3,299 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 1.30mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $75 · $900/yr
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21statusdays on market $324,900 Pending 18 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $324,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $324,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $324,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $324,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $324,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $324,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $324,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $324,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-04pricedays on market $324,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $339,000 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $339,000 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $339,000 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $339,000 Active 247 DOM
-
2025-09-26$339,000 Active 962-char remark
-
2022-01-18soldstatus Sold 641-char remark
Show marketing remark (641 chars)
The spacious two-story Coleman C floor plan from the Magnolia Collection by Lennar features a large front porch which opens to an inviting entry foyer. The foyer leads to a lovely open island kitchen which adjoins a casual dining room and a generous family room with backyard access. The first floor master bedroom features an en suite master bathroom with a standing shower, private toilet enclosure, and an oversized walk-in master closet. The first floor also features a secondary bedroom with a walk-in closet, and a full bathroom. The second floor features an oversized game room, two additional secondary bedrooms, and a full bathroom.
-
2021-10-18status Pending 641-char remark
Show marketing remark (641 chars)
The spacious two-story Coleman C floor plan from the Magnolia Collection by Lennar features a large front porch which opens to an inviting entry foyer. The foyer leads to a lovely open island kitchen which adjoins a casual dining room and a generous family room with backyard access. The first floor master bedroom features an en suite master bathroom with a standing shower, private toilet enclosure, and an oversized walk-in master closet. The first floor also features a secondary bedroom with a walk-in closet, and a full bathroom. The second floor features an oversized game room, two additional secondary bedrooms, and a full bathroom.
-
2021-10-05price $325,050 641-char remark
Show marketing remark (641 chars)
The spacious two-story Coleman C floor plan from the Magnolia Collection by Lennar features a large front porch which opens to an inviting entry foyer. The foyer leads to a lovely open island kitchen which adjoins a casual dining room and a generous family room with backyard access. The first floor master bedroom features an en suite master bathroom with a standing shower, private toilet enclosure, and an oversized walk-in master closet. The first floor also features a secondary bedroom with a walk-in closet, and a full bathroom. The second floor features an oversized game room, two additional secondary bedrooms, and a full bathroom.
-
2021-09-23$330,000 Active 641-char remark
Show marketing remark (641 chars)
The spacious two-story Coleman C floor plan from the Magnolia Collection by Lennar features a large front porch which opens to an inviting entry foyer. The foyer leads to a lovely open island kitchen which adjoins a casual dining room and a generous family room with backyard access. The first floor master bedroom features an en suite master bathroom with a standing shower, private toilet enclosure, and an oversized walk-in master closet. The first floor also features a secondary bedroom with a walk-in closet, and a full bathroom. The second floor features an oversized game room, two additional secondary bedrooms, and a full bathroom.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $10,344 · $862/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $10,344 · $862/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $40,191
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,199
- − Property taxes
- −$10,344
- − Insurance
- −$1,624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,215
- − Management
- −$3,215
- − HOA
- −$900
- − Depreciation
- −$9,452
- Taxable loss
- −$6,759
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,622
- After-tax cash flow
- $59/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This two-story home is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It has a good exterior, interior, and appliances. The home is move-in ready and has a good curb appeal.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and can increase property value
- Rental Clean gutters — Keeps property in good condition and reduces maintenance costs
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and can increase property value ↑
- Rental Clean gutters — Keeps property in good condition and reduces maintenance costs ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lamar CISD
- NCES district ID
- 4826580
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $75,213
- Composite
- 46.43/100
- National rank
- #2452
- State rank
- #116 of 826 in TX
Livability — Fulshear
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #430
- US rank
- #8901
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Waller County · 18,767 people
- City population
- 41,324
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,767
- Household income
- $84,490
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 20.0
Population outlook (Fort Bend County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,004,526 people
- By 2030
- 1,153,104 · +14.8%
- By 2040
- 1,453,718 · +44.7%
- By 2050
- 1,753,781 · +74.6%
- By 2075
- 2,455,772 · +144.5%
- By 2100
- 2,930,528 · +191.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 41% White 41% Black 14% Two or more races 13% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 30% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, China, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Spanish 32% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fort Bend
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 47.9% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.0pp toward D · 2008: -2.4pp · 2024: 1.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.6 2020: D+10.6 2016: D+6.6 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+2.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -125.28%
- Current HPI
- 204.8709
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.01%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-1.5% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-06-03 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-06-03 Listed $324,900 HARMLS
- 2025-09-26 Listed $339,000 HARMLS
- 2022-01-18 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2021-10-18 Pending — HARMLS
- 2021-10-05 Price Changed $325,050 HARMLS
- 2021-09-23 Listed $330,000 HARMLS
Property tax history
-2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $10,344 · -1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…