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1976 N East Ave #58
B Composite 74.97
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$70,000

1976 N East Ave #58 · Vineland, NJ 08360
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,000 sqft · SingleFamily · 54 Days on market
Built 1989 Fair condition Est $89k · 21% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Home is well maintained, and all appliances are included. Gas stove, refrigerator, washer, dryer and 2 window air conditioners. The home consists of an open floor plan, between the kitchen and living room. There is an attached porch and shed for storage.

Key facts

  • Built 1989
  • Listed 54 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property manager present; Not in a federal flood zone; Estimated 1,000 finished above-grade square feet
  • HOA & community: Land lease with monthly land lease payment ($819); Land lease years remaining: 100; Ground rent paid annually

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service (average $48/month); Natural gas for heating and hot water (average gas $66/month)
  • Home design: Manufactured home; Estimated year built; Model: SKYLINE; 24 ft wide by 60 ft long
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Above-grade and below-grade structures
  • Exterior features: Ground rent exists (annual payment); Two or more access exits; Located in Cedarcrest Village

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven/range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Ceiling fans and window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Open floor plan; Eat-in kitchen; Ceiling fans
  • Laundry & utility: Electric dryer; Washer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $845 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 20.8% vs local median 4.5% in Vineland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#363 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Vineland Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #418 of 472 in NJ (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Marie Durand Elementary School (math 6% / reading 34%, grade F, #990 of 1,303 statewide, top 76%, 475 students, 1% FRL); Veterans Memorial Middle (math 7% / reading 38%, grade F, #379 of 431 statewide, top 89%, 638 students, 0% FRL); Vineland Senior High School (math 10% / reading 34%, grade F, #346 of 399 statewide, top 88%, 2,780 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 53% district-wide (53 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 176 active listings in the ZIP; 216 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cumberland County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $50k; 40% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $67,900 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.40%
Cap rate
20.78%
Cash-on-cash
51.73%
DSCR
3.30
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$89,000
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1976 N East Ave Unit 115 (DARLENE DRIVE) 0.00mi 2/1.0 1,000 (0%) 22mo $50,000 $50 82
1976 Ne Ave #263 0.00mi 2/2.0 970 (-3%) 22mo $86,500 $89 73
1976 N East Ave #238 0.04mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,000 (0%) 21mo $85,000 $85 71
1976 N East Ave Ave #8 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,088 (+9%) 22mo $79,000 $73 63
456 E Wheat Rd 0.31mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,008 (+1%) 23mo $315,000 $313 60
1704 N Valley Ave 0.51mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,092 (+9%) 2mo $314,000 $288 54
768 E Garden Rd #6 0.74mi 2/2.0 1,100 (+10%) 18mo $165,000 $150 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
49.6%
Equity multiple
3.17×
Total profit
$42,498
Equity at exit
$10,437
10-year hold
IRR
55.1%
Equity multiple
6.43×
Total profit
$106,407
Equity at exit
$6,052

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08360

Active inventory
176
Price-to-rent
3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,682 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax est. 1.5%
$88 /mo · $1,050/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$353
Net cashflow
$845

Break-even live

Break-even rent $612
Max offer price $70,000
Occupancy floor 45%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $893 -5% $869 +0% $845 +5% $821 +10% $797
Rent -10% $712 -5% $779 +0% $845 +5% $911 +10% $978
Rate -1.0pp $880 -0.5pp $863 base $845 +0.5pp $827 +1.0pp $808

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $70,000 Active 54 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $70,000 Active 52 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $70,000 Active 51 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $70,000 Active 50 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $70,000 Active 49 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $70,000 Active 48 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $70,000 Active 46 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $70,000 Active 45 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $70,000 Active 43 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $70,000 Active 42 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $70,000 Active 41 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $70,000 Active 40 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    remarks 699-char remark
  14. 2026-06-03
    pricedays on market $70,000 Active 36 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $80,000 Active 35 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $80,000 Active 34 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 33 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $80,000 Active 32 DOM
  19. 2026-04-28
    listed $80,000 Active
  20. 2022-11-21
    soldstatus $49,900 Closed 254-char remark
    Show marketing remark (254 chars)

    Home is well maintained, and all appliances are included. Gas stove, refrigerator, washer, dryer and 2 window air conditioners. The home consists of an open floor plan, between the kitchen and living room. There is an attached porch and shed for storage.

  21. 2022-10-19
    status Pending 254-char remark
    Show marketing remark (254 chars)

    Home is well maintained, and all appliances are included. Gas stove, refrigerator, washer, dryer and 2 window air conditioners. The home consists of an open floor plan, between the kitchen and living room. There is an attached porch and shed for storage.

  22. 2022-09-22
    listed $49,900 Active 254-char remark
    Show marketing remark (254 chars)

    Home is well maintained, and all appliances are included. Gas stove, refrigerator, washer, dryer and 2 window air conditioners. The home consists of an open floor plan, between the kitchen and living room. There is an attached porch and shed for storage.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,183
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$1,050
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,615
− Management
−$1,615
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$9,596
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,303
After-tax cash flow
$7,836/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Cosmetic rehab

This charming 2-bedroom home is move-in ready with minor cosmetic updates needed to enhance its curb appeal and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor exterior siding — Light wear
  • Minor flooring — Worn carpet
  • Minor interior walls — Painted walls, some wear

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal
  • Rental Replace carpet — Improves comfort and reduces maintenance
  • Resale Touch up paint — Enhances overall appearance

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
exterior siding · Light wear Minor $500–3,000
flooring · Worn carpet Minor $500–3,000
interior walls · Painted walls, some wear Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $1,500–9,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal
  • Rental Replace carpet — Improves comfort and reduces maintenance
  • Resale Touch up paint — Enhances overall appearance

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Vineland Public School District
NCES district ID
3416800
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$51,168
Composite
19.17/100
National rank
#8819
State rank
#418 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Vineland

Score
66/100
State rank
#363
US rank
#12180

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Vineland, NJ
County
Cumberland County · 80,266 people
City population
45,038
Metro
Vineland-Bridgeton, NJ
Population (ZIP)
45,038
Household income
$65,359
Rent vs Own
34.7% rent · 65.3% own
Severe rent burden
1328.0

Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
152,743 people
By 2030
150,373 · -1.6%
By 2040
146,881 · -3.8%
By 2050
142,653 · -6.6%
By 2075
129,468 · -15.2%
By 2100
107,456 · -29.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 51% White 32% Two or more races 17% Black 11% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 33% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Subsaharan African 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
59% English-only · Spanish 37% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.6% · R 51.3% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-25.4pp toward R · 2008: 21.6pp · 2024: -3.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.8 2020: D+6.0 2016: D+5.3 2012: D+23.1 2008: D+21.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -320.06%
Current HPI
278.786
Rent YoY
Metro
Vineland-Bridgeton, NJ
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+60.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $80,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-11-21 Sold (MLS) $49,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-10-19 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-09-22 Listed $49,900 BRIGHT MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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