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4 Grinnell Ave 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 71.62
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,900

4 Grinnell Ave · Massena, NY 13662
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,492 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 78 Days on market
Built 1910 7,500 sqft lot $60/sqft · 24% below area Est $118k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

The two-unit house boasts two 2-bedroom, 1 bathroom with carpet and vinyl flooring, complemented by tile flooring in the bathrooms. Shared laundry hookups in the basement offers convenience. A spacious backyard provides outdoor living space. Each tenant covers their utilities except for water, sewer, and trash. With separate electrical and water meters, this property offers versatility as is or can be converted into luxurious single-family home. This property presents versatility and income-generating opportunities. Call today for your private showing.

Key facts

  • 7,500 sq ft lot
  • Built 1910
  • Listed 78 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $89,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$117,785) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $243 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $85k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 5.3% in Massena — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#330 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, crime D-, commute F.
  • Massena Central School District (town): math 43% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #456 of 590 in NY (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 171 active listings in the ZIP; 215 units permitted in St. Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $84,506 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.32%
Cap rate
9.54%
Cash-on-cash
11.59%
DSCR
1.52
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$117,785
List price
$89,900
Delta
-23.67%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
41, 41 1/2 Douglas Rd 0.62mi 4/2.0 1,664 (+12%) 6mo $85,000 $51 47
44 Glenn St 0.29mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,700 (+14%) 21mo $61,000 $36 41
50 & 50 1/2 Parker Ave 0.57mi 5/3.5 (+1) 1,600 (+7%) 12mo $167,000 $104 41
150 Maple St 0.74mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,500 (+0%) 24mo $63,000 $42 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.0%
Equity multiple
1.04×
Total profit
$983
Equity at exit
$13,404
10-year hold
IRR
10.7%
Equity multiple
1.84×
Total profit
$21,061
Equity at exit
$7,773

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13662

Home prices YoY
-6.4%
Active inventory
171
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,191 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$189 /mo · $2,265/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$250
Net cashflow
$243

Break-even live

Break-even rent $883
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 75%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,900 Active 78 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,900 Active 77 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,900 Active 76 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,900 Active 75 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,900 Active 73 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $89,900 Active 72 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,900 Active 69 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,900 Active 68 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,900 Active 67 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $89,900 Active 63 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,900 Active 62 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,900 Active 61 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,900 Active 60 DOM
  14. 2026-04-01
    listed $89,900 Active 558-char remark
    Show marketing remark (558 chars)

    The two-unit house boasts two 2-bedroom, 1 bathroom with carpet and vinyl flooring, complemented by tile flooring in the bathrooms. Shared laundry hookups in the basement offers convenience. A spacious backyard provides outdoor living space. Each tenant covers their utilities except for water, sewer, and trash. With separate electrical and water meters, this property offers versatility as is or can be converted into luxurious single-family home. This property presents versatility and income-generating opportunities. Call today for your private showing.

  15. 2018-10-25
    soldstatus $80,000
  16. 2002-02-07
    soldstatus $40,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,265 · $189/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,265 · $189/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 21% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,291
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$2,265
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,143
− Management
−$1,143
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$1,639
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$393
After-tax cash flow
$2,525/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Massena Central School District
NCES district ID
3618660
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$42,610
Composite
38.75/100
National rank
#4123
State rank
#456 of 590 in NY

Livability — Massena

Score
73/100
State rank
#330
US rank
#5449

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Massena, NY
City population
15,737
Population (ZIP)
15,737

Population outlook (St. Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
110,027 people
By 2030
107,455 · -2.3%
By 2040
100,492 · -8.7%
By 2050
94,254 · -14.3%
By 2075
80,175 · -27.1%
By 2100
63,140 · -42.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 12% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Lawrence

2024 margin
R (+18.0) · D 41.0% · R 59.0%
2008→2024 swing
-34.3pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -18.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.0 2020: R+11.7 2016: R+10.8 2012: D+16.6 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -16.77%
Current HPI
243.4674
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+124.8% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $89,900 SLCMLS
  • 2018-10-25 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
  • 2002-02-07 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,265 · -1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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