172 Olive Rd · Trotwood, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.1/30.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow located on Olive Rd in Trotwood, just off the SR-49 connector with quick access to I-35. Whether you're commuting or exploring the area, you’ll appreciate being only 5 minutes west to New Lebanon and 5 minutes east to Downtown Dayton. This home offers a comfortable and practical layout with two bedrooms, a full bath, and inviting living space that feels easy to settle into. The classic bungalow design, featuring a blend of brick and siding, adds character, while the yard provides a manageable outdoor space. Inside, you’ll find solid wood hickory cabinets and a thoughtfully updated interior, with the kitchen, bathroom, and carpe
Key facts
- Shed with loft
- Updated interior
- Brick and siding
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Offered for sale
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Home design: One-story brick home; Slab foundation
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Residential zoning
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (approx. 9 x 13); Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Adjacent dining area (approx. 9 x 5)
- Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms (approx. 8 x 12 and 10 x 11)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating; Window cooling units
- Interior features: Six total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (approx. 11 x 10)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $218 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $108k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 6.5% in Trotwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,014 in OH) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
- Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($37k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.49%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $67,375
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6112 Carmin Ave | 0.05mi | 3/1.0 | 875 (0%) | 2mo | $40,100 | $46 | 96 |
| 6236 Carmin Ave | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 875 (0%) | 4mo | $79,000 | $90 | 87 |
| 277 N Northampton Ave | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 864 (-1%) | 10mo | $127,200 | $147 | 80 |
| 6208 Lorimer St | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 875 (0%) | 17mo | $47,000 | $54 | 78 |
| 119 N Northampton Ave | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 840 (-4%) | 21mo | $100,000 | $119 | 67 |
| 157 Drexel Ave | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 864 (-1%) | 12mo | $66,560 | $77 | 62 |
| 255 Miller Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 | 912 (+4%) | 17mo | $97,000 | $106 | 53 |
| 163 Drexel Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 744 (-15%) | 8mo | $57,500 | $77 | 48 |
| 174 Miller Ave | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 918 (+5%) | 18mo | $17,000 | $19 | 47 |
| 29 S Lansdowne Ave | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 798 (-9%) | 22mo | $29,500 | $37 | 42 |
| 6171 Forestdale Ave | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 972 (+11%) | 14mo | $58,000 | $60 | 32 |
| 217 Parsons Ave | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 760 (-13%) | 19mo | $12,000 | $16 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.06% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-2,804
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.66×
- Total profit
- $20,222
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45417
- Home prices YoY
- -32.3%
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 135
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,104 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$31 /mo · $377/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$232
- Net cashflow
- $218
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6229 Carmin Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $995 | $1.14 | 19d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 308 Bricker Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 865 | $950 | $1.10 | 2d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 5336 Rockport Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,025 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 126 Bluecrest Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,000 | $1.19 | 14d | 1 | 1.18mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $110,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $110,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $110,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09price $110,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $120,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $120,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-18$120,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $377 · $31/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,047 · $87/mo
- Expected delta
- +$669/yr (+$56/mo · 177.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,246
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$377
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,060
- − Management
- −$1,060
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $838
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$201
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,414/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dayton City
- NCES district ID
- 3904384
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,688
- Composite
- 12.94/100
- National rank
- #9579
- State rank
- #641 of 656 in OH
Livability — Trotwood
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #1014
- US rank
- #20073
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Trotwood, OH
- County
- Montgomery County · 459,541 people
- City population
- 164,387
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,186
- Household income
- $36,945
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1822.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 523,241 people
- By 2030
- 514,948 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 493,378 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 469,639 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 418,360 · -20.0%
- By 2100
- 353,315 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 71% White 20% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -92.43%
- Current HPI
- 193.4175
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.06%
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Listed $120,000 Dayton MLS
Property tax history
-9.6%/yrLatest (2025): $377 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…