1783 8th Ave · Newport, MN
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.5/30.0
- 1% rule +9.7/10.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
IMMACULATE CONDO-NEWER EVERYTHING INCLUDING APPLIANCES, FLOOR COVERINGS, HEAT, AIR, LIGHTING, 6-PANEL OAK DOORS WITH OAK TRIM. ONLY ONE AVAILABLE IN DEVELOPMENT. GREAT BUY-WON'T LAST!
Key facts
- $250 HOA
- Garage
- Built 1983
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot about 0.84 acres (dimensions ~188 x 195)
- HOA & community: Self-managed association (contact: Steve Gardner); Monthly association fee $250; Association fee covers hazard insurance, lawn care, grounds maintenance, parking, sewer, snow removal, and water
Exterior
- Parking: Parking lot; Detached garage stall dimensions 10x22 (1 garage space listed, 2 garage stall number)
- Utilities: City water (connected); City sewer (connected); Natural gas
- Home design: Attached residential property; One level; Main level finished area 1,008 (living area listed as 1,008); Entry/facing details not provided
- Construction: Frame construction; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Built features include foundation area 1,008
- Exterior features: Vinyl exterior
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop; Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Wall-mounted cooling unit(s)
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Paneled doors; Cooktop, Dishwasher, Disposal, Microwave, Range, Refrigerator
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in common area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $318 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $118k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 2.9% in Newport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#111 in MN, #2,533 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute C-, amenities F.
- South Washington County School District (suburban): math 52% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #40 of 301 in MN (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,405 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (121 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washington County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $95k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.47% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.36%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $989
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 10.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.82×
- Total profit
- $27,671
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55055
- Home prices YoY
- -24.6%
- Active inventory
- 41
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,766 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$148 /mo · $1,776/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$250
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$371
- Net cashflow
- $318
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1761 8th Ave Newport, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,900 | $2.11 | 18d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 1743 8th Ave Unit 1 Newport, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,850 | $1.68 | 43d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 1650 10th Ave Newport, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,425 | $2.04 | 2d | 4 | 0.25mi |
| 1624 10th Ave Newport, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,425 | $1.90 | 18d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 275 Red Rock Xing Newport, MN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 965 | $2,000 | $2.07 | 1d | 40 | 0.46mi |
| 1340 8th Ave Unit 3 Newport, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,100 | $1.57 | 5d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 630 7th Ave Newport, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1615 Concord St S South Saint Paul, MN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,200 | $1.47 | 1d | 1 | 1.40mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $250 · $3,000/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-05-05status Pending
-
2026-04-23historical Contingent - Subject to Statutory Rescission
-
2026-04-10$120,000 Active
-
2026-04-09historical $120,000
-
2010-11-12soldstatus $95,000
-
2008-07-22soldstatus $91,800
-
2008-07-08soldstatus $91,800 183-char remark
Show marketing remark (183 chars)
IMMACULATE CONDO-NEWER EVERYTHING INCLUDING APPLIANCES, FLOOR COVERINGS, HEAT, AIR, LIGHTING, 6-PANEL OAK DOORS WITH OAK TRIM. ONLY ONE AVAILABLE IN DEVELOPMENT. GREAT BUY-WON'T LAST!
-
2008-06-18historical 183-char remark
Show marketing remark (183 chars)
IMMACULATE CONDO-NEWER EVERYTHING INCLUDING APPLIANCES, FLOOR COVERINGS, HEAT, AIR, LIGHTING, 6-PANEL OAK DOORS WITH OAK TRIM. ONLY ONE AVAILABLE IN DEVELOPMENT. GREAT BUY-WON'T LAST!
-
2008-03-26$99,900 183-char remark
Show marketing remark (183 chars)
IMMACULATE CONDO-NEWER EVERYTHING INCLUDING APPLIANCES, FLOOR COVERINGS, HEAT, AIR, LIGHTING, 6-PANEL OAK DOORS WITH OAK TRIM. ONLY ONE AVAILABLE IN DEVELOPMENT. GREAT BUY-WON'T LAST!
-
2008-03-24historical
-
2008-01-11$104,900
-
2007-07-20soldstatus $80,000
-
2007-07-20soldstatus $85,000
-
2006-04-27soldstatus $80,000
-
2006-04-19historical
-
2004-06-09$95,888
-
1996-12-10soldstatus $130,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,776 · $148/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,776 · $148/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,195
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$1,776
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,696
- − Management
- −$1,696
- − HOA
- −$3,000
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $2,215
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$532
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,285/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- South Washington County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2733810
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $88,285
- Composite
- 51.8/100
- National rank
- #1670
- State rank
- #40 of 301 in MN
Livability — Newport
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #111
- US rank
- #2533
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Newport, MN
- City population
- 4,460
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,460
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 278,554 people
- By 2030
- 290,465 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 310,014 · +11.3%
- By 2050
- 324,118 · +16.4%
- By 2075
- 362,697 · +30.2%
- By 2100
- 381,491 · +37.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Hispanic / Latino 12% Asian 9% Two or more races 6% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 12% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Dominican Republic, United Kingdom
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 7% Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+8.9) · D 53.5% · R 44.6% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.6pp toward D · 2008: 4.3pp · 2024: 8.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+8.9 2020: D+9.2 2016: D+1.9 2012: D+0.8 2008: D+4.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -71.66%
- Current HPI
- 220.2825
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
||
Price history
-7.7% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-23 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-10 Listed $120,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-09 Coming Soon $120,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-11-12 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
- 2008-07-22 Sold (Public Records) $91,800 Public Records
- 2008-07-08 Sold (MLS) $91,800 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-06-18 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-03-26 Listed $99,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-03-24 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-01-11 Listed $104,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-07-20 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
- 2007-07-20 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 2006-04-27 Sold (MLS) $80,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-04-19 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-06-09 Listed $95,888 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1996-12-10 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,776 · +12.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…