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1783 8th Ave
B- Composite 66.87
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.5/30.0
  • 1% rule +9.7/10.0
  • DSCR +9.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$120,000

1783 8th Ave · Newport, MN 55055
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,020 sqft · Condo public records · 26 Days on market
Built 1983 $250/mo HOA · 14% of rent ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

IMMACULATE CONDO-NEWER EVERYTHING INCLUDING APPLIANCES, FLOOR COVERINGS, HEAT, AIR, LIGHTING, 6-PANEL OAK DOORS WITH OAK TRIM. ONLY ONE AVAILABLE IN DEVELOPMENT. GREAT BUY-WON'T LAST!

Key facts

  • $250 HOA
  • Garage
  • Built 1983

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot about 0.84 acres (dimensions ~188 x 195)
  • HOA & community: Self-managed association (contact: Steve Gardner); Monthly association fee $250; Association fee covers hazard insurance, lawn care, grounds maintenance, parking, sewer, snow removal, and water

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking lot; Detached garage stall dimensions 10x22 (1 garage space listed, 2 garage stall number)
  • Utilities: City water (connected); City sewer (connected); Natural gas
  • Home design: Attached residential property; One level; Main level finished area 1,008 (living area listed as 1,008); Entry/facing details not provided
  • Construction: Frame construction; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Built features include foundation area 1,008
  • Exterior features: Vinyl exterior

Interior

  • Kitchen: Cooktop; Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Wall-mounted cooling unit(s)
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Paneled doors; Cooktop, Dishwasher, Disposal, Microwave, Range, Refrigerator
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in common area

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $318 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $118k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 2.9% in Newport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#111 in MN, #2,533 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute C-, amenities F.
  • South Washington County School District (suburban): math 52% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #40 of 301 in MN (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,405 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (121 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Washington County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $95k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $118,200 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.47%
Cap rate
9.47%
Cash-on-cash
11.36%
DSCR
1.51
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.8%
Equity multiple
1.03×
Total profit
$989
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
10.5%
Equity multiple
1.82×
Total profit
$27,671
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55055

Home prices YoY
-24.6%
Active inventory
41
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,766 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$148 /mo · $1,776/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$250
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$371
Net cashflow
$318

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,364
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1761 8th Ave Newport, MN 3.0 1.0 900 $1,900 $2.11 18d 1 0.03mi
1743 8th Ave Unit 1 Newport, MN 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,850 $1.68 43d 1 0.03mi
1650 10th Ave Newport, MN 1.0–2.0 1.0 700 $1,425 $2.04 2d 4 0.25mi
1624 10th Ave Newport, MN 2.0 1.0 750 $1,425 $1.90 18d 1 0.28mi
275 Red Rock Xing Newport, MN 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 965 $2,000 $2.07 1d 40 0.46mi
1340 8th Ave Unit 3 Newport, MN 2.0 1.0 700 $1,100 $1.57 5d 1 0.59mi
630 7th Ave Newport, MN 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,700 $1.55 24d 1 1.06mi
1615 Concord St S South Saint Paul, MN 3.0 2.0 1500 $2,200 $1.47 1d 1 1.40mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$250 · $3,000/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-05-05
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-23
    historical Contingent - Subject to Statutory Rescission
  3. 2026-04-10
    listed $120,000 Active
  4. 2026-04-09
    historical $120,000
  5. 2010-11-12
    soldstatus $95,000
  6. 2008-07-22
    soldstatus $91,800
  7. 2008-07-08
    soldstatus $91,800 183-char remark
    Show marketing remark (183 chars)

    IMMACULATE CONDO-NEWER EVERYTHING INCLUDING APPLIANCES, FLOOR COVERINGS, HEAT, AIR, LIGHTING, 6-PANEL OAK DOORS WITH OAK TRIM. ONLY ONE AVAILABLE IN DEVELOPMENT. GREAT BUY-WON'T LAST!

  8. 2008-06-18
    historical 183-char remark
    Show marketing remark (183 chars)

    IMMACULATE CONDO-NEWER EVERYTHING INCLUDING APPLIANCES, FLOOR COVERINGS, HEAT, AIR, LIGHTING, 6-PANEL OAK DOORS WITH OAK TRIM. ONLY ONE AVAILABLE IN DEVELOPMENT. GREAT BUY-WON'T LAST!

  9. 2008-03-26
    listed $99,900 183-char remark
    Show marketing remark (183 chars)

    IMMACULATE CONDO-NEWER EVERYTHING INCLUDING APPLIANCES, FLOOR COVERINGS, HEAT, AIR, LIGHTING, 6-PANEL OAK DOORS WITH OAK TRIM. ONLY ONE AVAILABLE IN DEVELOPMENT. GREAT BUY-WON'T LAST!

  10. 2008-03-24
    historical
  11. 2008-01-11
    listed $104,900
  12. 2007-07-20
    soldstatus $80,000
  13. 2007-07-20
    soldstatus $85,000
  14. 2006-04-27
    soldstatus $80,000
  15. 2006-04-19
    historical
  16. 2004-06-09
    listed $95,888
  17. 1996-12-10
    soldstatus $130,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,776 · $148/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,776 · $148/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,195
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$1,776
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,696
− Management
−$1,696
− HOA
−$3,000
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable income
$2,215
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$532
After-tax cash flow
$3,285/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
South Washington County School District
NCES district ID
2733810
Math proficiency
52% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$88,285
Composite
51.8/100
National rank
#1670
State rank
#40 of 301 in MN

Livability — Newport

Score
78/100
State rank
#111
US rank
#2533

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C- Cost of living B Crime A+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Newport, MN
City population
4,460
Population (ZIP)
4,460

Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
278,554 people
By 2030
290,465 · +4.3%
By 2040
310,014 · +11.3%
By 2050
324,118 · +16.4%
By 2075
362,697 · +30.2%
By 2100
381,491 · +37.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Hispanic / Latino 12% Asian 9% Two or more races 6% Black 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 12% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Dominican Republic, United Kingdom
Languages at home
88% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 7% Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Washington

2024 margin
Lean D (+8.9) · D 53.5% · R 44.6% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
+4.6pp toward D · 2008: 4.3pp · 2024: 8.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+8.9 2020: D+9.2 2016: D+1.9 2012: D+0.8 2008: D+4.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -71.66%
Current HPI
220.2825
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.7% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-23 Contingent NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $120,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-09 Coming Soon $120,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-11-12 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
  • 2008-07-22 Sold (Public Records) $91,800 Public Records
  • 2008-07-08 Sold (MLS) $91,800 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-06-18 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-03-26 Listed $99,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-03-24 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-01-11 Listed $104,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-07-20 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
  • 2007-07-20 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
  • 2006-04-27 Sold (MLS) $80,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-04-19 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-06-09 Listed $95,888 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1996-12-10 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,776 · +12.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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