1134 N Barclay St · Waterloo, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great opportunity in a good neighborhood close to Gates Park! Three bedrooms, dining room, and full bathroom on main floor. Double garage on a nice sized lot. * * 24 hour notice for all showings- tenant occupied.
Key facts
- Full bathroom
- Double garage
- Nice sized lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-space carport
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; R-4 zoning
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof
- Exterior features: Concrete road access
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; No fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-7 ($-86/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $124k (1.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $100k (20.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $100k (20.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.2% in Waterloo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#74 in IA, #1,589 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Waterloo Community School District (urban): math 50% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #276 of 289 in IA (top 96%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Cunningham School (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #601 of 616 statewide, top 98%, 376 students, 90% FRL); George Washington Carver Academy (math 36% / reading 43%, grade F, #240 of 246 statewide, top 98%, 442 students, 91% FRL); East High School (math 39% / reading 58%, grade D, #317 of 336 statewide, top 94%, 1,022 students, 73% FRL) — zoned schools average 85% FRL vs 58% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 40% at this address vs 52% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Waterloo Community School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 99 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 59% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 287 units permitted in Black Hawk County in 2024 (67 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Black Hawk County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $125k implies a 317% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.24%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $73,968
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 233 Oliver St | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 | 1,006 (-6%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $124 | 80 |
| 319 Oliver St St | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 | 964 (-10%) | 3mo | $55,000 | $57 | 74 |
| 68 E Parker St St | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,046 (-2%) | 2mo | $82,000 | $78 | 69 |
| 427 Hope Ave | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,036 (-3%) | 3mo | $134,900 | $130 | 63 |
| 324 Sumner St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 1,011 (-6%) | 2mo | $66,500 | $66 | 63 |
| 211 Boston Ave Ave | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 932 (-13%) | 2mo | $90,100 | $97 | 59 |
| 324 Bates St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,092 (+2%) | 6mo | $135,000 | $124 | 57 |
| 533 Reed St | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,076 (+0%) | 1mo | $60,000 | $56 | 57 |
| 126 Hope Avenue Ave | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 1,185 (+10%) | 6mo | $56,000 | $47 | 56 |
| 235 Jackson St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,056 (-2%) | 6mo | $25,000 | $24 | 55 |
| 406 Oneida St St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,028 (-4%) | 6mo | $60,000 | $58 | 54 |
| 2811 E 4th St St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,189 (+11%) | 3mo | $82,000 | $69 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.67% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-16,918
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.04×
- Total profit
- $1,474
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50703
- Rents YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 99
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $997 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$88 /mo · $1,050/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$209
- Net cashflow
- $-7
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $64 | -5% $28 | +0% $-7 | +5% $-43 | +10% $-78 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-86 | -5% $-47 | +0% $-7 | +5% $32 | +10% $72 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $56 | -0.5pp $25 | base $-7 | +0.5pp $-40 | +1.0pp $-72 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 401 Charles St Waterloo, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1276 | $995 | $0.78 | 45d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 306 Charles St Waterloo, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 916 | $925 | $1.01 | 45d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 203 Reed St Waterloo, IA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1492 | $1,200 | $0.80 | 23d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 613 Hope Ave Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 812 | $795 | $0.98 | 45d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 214 Edwards St Waterloo, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $825 | $0.72 | 23d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 919 Oneida St Waterloo, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1144 | $930 | $0.81 | 45d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 314 Conger St Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $875 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1148 Columbia St Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $850 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 401 Argyle St Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $800 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1125 Ackermant St Waterloo, IA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1202 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 23d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 739 Sherman Ave Waterloo, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $925 | $1.06 | 45d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 405 W Donald St Waterloo, IA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,000 | $1.14 | 23d | 4 | 1.09mi |
| 425 Glenwood St Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 846 | $825 | $0.98 | 23d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 661 Dawson St Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $895 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 311 E 3rd St Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1154 | $1,500 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2014 Clearview St Evansdale, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 708 | $795 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 520 Lafayette St Unit A Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $750 | $0.94 | 45d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 823 Glenwood St Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 999 | $895 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 910 Mulberry St Apt 3 Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $695 | $0.65 | 23d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 216 Courtland St Apt 1 Waterloo, IA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $825 | $0.72 | 23d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1107 Mulberry St Waterloo, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1248 | $950 | $0.76 | 23d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1911 Springview St Evansdale, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $875 | $0.91 | 45d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 2014 Springview St Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $975 | $0.92 | 23d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 824 Sycamore St Unit 824-09 Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1054 | $1,250 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 920-928 Sycamore St Unit 920-07 Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1054 | $1,250 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 924 Sycamore St #1 Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1054 | $1,250 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 1720 Franklin St Waterloo, IA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1392 | $1,000 | $0.72 | 45d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $125,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $125,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $125,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $125,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-05remarks 213-char remark
-
2026-06-05$125,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,050 · $88/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,506 · $126/mo
- Expected delta
- +$456/yr (+$38/mo · 43.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,969
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,050
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$958
- − Management
- −$958
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable loss
- −$2,259
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$542
- After-tax cash flow
- $457/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Waterloo Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1930480
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,545
- Composite
- 43.72/100
- National rank
- #2950
- State rank
- #276 of 289 in IA
Livability — Waterloo
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #74
- US rank
- #1589
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Waterloo, IA
- County
- Black Hawk County · 112,933 people
- City population
- 69,066
- Metro
- Waterloo-Cedar Falls, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,952
- Household income
- $50,060
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 871.0
Population outlook (Black Hawk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 139,716 people
- By 2030
- 142,853 · +2.2%
- By 2040
- 147,843 · +5.8%
- By 2050
- 153,247 · +9.7%
- By 2075
- 167,977 · +20.2%
- By 2100
- 177,320 · +26.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1% Portuguese 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Philippines, China
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Black Hawk
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 48.8% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.3pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 1.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.2 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.3 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -117.18%
- Current HPI
- 132.9478
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.67%
- Metro
- Waterloo-Cedar Falls, IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+316.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $125,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2017-08-31 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,050 · +8.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…