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152 W 15th Ave
B+ Composite 77.96
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$39,900

152 W 15th Ave · Homestead, PA 15120
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,184 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 134 Days on market
Built 1920 2,199 sqft lot $34/sqft · 49% below area Est $79k · 49% under ↓ 33% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investment opportunity! Located on a pleasant street not far from 8th Avenue and close to the Homestead Grey's Bridge, the home is convenient to the Waterfront and to main driving routes to the city and the suburbs. Owner is in process of renovating. This is your chance to complete the renovations and turn this into a rental or owner occupied home.

Key facts

  • Main driving routes
  • 2,199 sq ft lot
  • Parking

Tags

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYCLOSE TO THE WATERFRONTMAIN DRIVING ROUTES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $679 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
  • Recommended offer: $35k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#366 in PA, #3,204 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Steel Valley SD (suburban): math 29% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #403 of 539 in PA (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 92 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 134 days — a 12% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $35,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 134 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.15%
Cap rate
26.72%
Cash-on-cash
72.95%
DSCR
4.25
GRM
2.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$78,686
List price
$39,900
Delta
-49.29%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
366 W 13th Ave 0.19mi 2/1.0 1,168 (-1%) 10mo $70,000 $60 81
609 E 18th Ave 0.43mi 2/1.0 1,156 (-2%) 1mo $36,000 $31 76
700 E 19th Ave 0.47mi 2/1.0 1,167 (-1%) 5mo $100,000 $86 72
215 E 15th Ave 0.23mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,122 (-5%) 8mo $56,000 $50 69
2441 Dewey St 0.70mi 2/1.5 1,180 (-0%) 2mo $239,900 $203 64
1714 Maple St 0.24mi 2/2.0 1,024 (-14%) 4mo $73,250 $72 59
208 E 19th Ave 0.32mi 2/1.0 1,050 (-11%) 10mo $140,007 $133 58
233 E 21st Ave 0.41mi 2/1.5 1,276 (+8%) 10mo $179,400 $141 58
2444 Dewey St 0.70mi 2/1.0 1,060 (-10%) 0mo $61,000 $58 50
135 Marham Rd 0.66mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,222 (+3%) 10mo $269,900 $221 44
3430 Lynnwood Dr 0.56mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,357 (+15%) 2mo $295,000 $217 39
293 W Schwab 0.70mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,308 (+10%) 4mo $105,000 $80 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.06% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
74.0%
Equity multiple
4.42×
Total profit
$38,186
Equity at exit
$5,949
10-year hold
IRR
78.1%
Equity multiple
9.49×
Total profit
$94,805
Equity at exit
$3,450

Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15120

Home prices YoY
-16.9%
Rents YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
92
Price-to-rent
2.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,258 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$209
Tax from tax record
$89 /mo · $1,062/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$264
Net cashflow
$679

Break-even live

Break-even rent $398
Max offer price $39,900
Occupancy floor 41%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,975
Closing costs
$1,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
300 W 13th Ave Unit 302 Homestead, PA 2.0 1.0 1088 $1,150 $1.06 16d 1 0.11mi
300 W 13th Ave Homestead, PA 2.0 1.0 1088 $1,125 $1.03 16d 1 0.12mi
1900 Maple St Unit 4 Homestead, PA 1.0 1.0 1200 $1,400 $1.17 23d 1 0.28mi
2104 West St Unit 2R Munhall, PA 1.0 1.0 825 $950 $1.15 14d 1 0.33mi
2104 West St Unit 2F Munhall, PA 1.0 1.0 800 $940 $1.18 14d 1 0.33mi
811 West St Apt 1B Homestead, PA 1.0 1.0 750 $1,250 $1.67 43d 1 0.38mi
810 Amity St Unit 2 Homestead, PA 2.0 1.0 800 $995 $1.24 12d 1 0.41mi
623 E 18th Ave Homestead, PA 2.0 1.0 1156 $1,600 $1.38 43d 1 0.43mi
519 E 9th Ave Fl 1 Homestead, PA 1.0 1.0 900 $995 $1.11 10d 1 0.53mi
1254 Edgewood Dr Homestead, PA 3.0 1.0 1144 $1,725 $1.51 43d 1 0.56mi
621 E 9th Ave Homestead, PA 2.0 2.0 1400 $1,425 $1.02 23d 1 0.61mi
214 Vine St Homestead, PA 2.0 1.0 1034 $1,150 $1.11 43d 1 0.85mi
3305 W Run Rd Munhall, PA 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,365 $1.24 23d 1 0.85mi
931 Hilltop St Homestead, PA 3.0 1.5 1312 $1,500 $1.14 14d 1 0.90mi
3705 Botsford St Apt 2 Munhall, PA 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,195 $1.20 43d 1 1.17mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $39,900 Active 134 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $39,900 Active 133 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $39,900 Active 132 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $39,900 Active 131 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $39,900 Active 129 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $39,900 Active 125 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $39,900 Active 124 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $39,900 Active 123 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $39,900 Active 120 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $39,900 Active 119 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $39,900 Active 118 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $39,900 Active 117 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $39,900 Active 116 DOM
  14. 2026-04-13
    price $39,900 350-char remark
    Show marketing remark (350 chars)

    Investment opportunity! Located on a pleasant street not far from 8th Avenue and close to the Homestead Grey's Bridge, the home is convenient to the Waterfront and to main driving routes to the city and the suburbs. Owner is in process of renovating. This is your chance to complete the renovations and turn this into a rental or owner occupied home.

  15. 2026-04-09
    price $49,900 350-char remark
    Show marketing remark (350 chars)

    Investment opportunity! Located on a pleasant street not far from 8th Avenue and close to the Homestead Grey's Bridge, the home is convenient to the Waterfront and to main driving routes to the city and the suburbs. Owner is in process of renovating. This is your chance to complete the renovations and turn this into a rental or owner occupied home.

  16. 2026-02-04
    listed $59,900 Active 350-char remark
    Show marketing remark (350 chars)

    Investment opportunity! Located on a pleasant street not far from 8th Avenue and close to the Homestead Grey's Bridge, the home is convenient to the Waterfront and to main driving routes to the city and the suburbs. Owner is in process of renovating. This is your chance to complete the renovations and turn this into a rental or owner occupied home.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,062 · $89/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,062 · $89/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,091
− Mortgage interest
−$2,235
− Property taxes
−$1,062
− Insurance
−$200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,207
− Management
−$1,207
− Depreciation
−$1,161
Taxable income
$8,019
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,925
After-tax cash flow
$6,225/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Steel Valley SD
NCES district ID
4222790
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$39,505
Composite
30.94/100
National rank
#6111
State rank
#403 of 539 in PA

Livability — Homestead

Score
77/100
State rank
#366
US rank
#3204

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Homestead, PA
County
Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
Population (ZIP)
18,029
Household income
$55,714
Rent vs Own
36.8% rent · 63.2% own
Severe rent burden
669.0

Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,250,282 people
By 2030
1,256,482 · +0.5%
By 2040
1,256,318 · +0.5%
By 2050
1,244,169 · -0.5%
By 2075
1,197,693 · -4.2%
By 2100
1,093,187 · -12.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Black 20% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
3% · South Korea, Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
2008→2024 swing
+4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -59.52%
Current HPI
292.5607
Rent YoY
▲ 4.06%
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-33.4% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $39,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $49,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2026-02-04 Listed $59,900 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,062 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…