3395 Jog Park Dr · Greenacres, FL 33467

$149,900

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,396 sqft · Condo public records · 30 Days on market

Built 1988 $656/mo HOA · 27% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +25.7/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +8.6/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.3/10.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.4/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Discover this beautifully maintained condominium in the heart of Greenacres, FL. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath residence gives a spacious layout with abundant natural light and scenic long lake views from both the living area and primary bedroom. Enjoy an open-concept living space, a well-appointed kitchen, and a private patio overlooking the water great for relaxing or entertaining. The home also features updated bathrooms and generously sized bedrooms. Residents have access to community amenities including a pool, clubhouse, and more. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and everyday conveniences. This property is located in an an HOA with residence qualifications

Key facts

• Clubhouse
• Community amenities
• Natural light

Tags

• OPEN-CONCEPT LIVING AREA
• WELL-APPOINTED KITCHEN
• COMMUNITY AMENITIES
• POOL
• CLUBHOUSE
• NATURAL LIGHT

Property features AI

Finance

• HOA & community: Community fitness center; Community pool; Trash chute; Community room; HOA fee $656 monthly (includes trash); Has association

Exterior

• Parking: 1 parking space; No carport
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Sewer connected; Water available
• Home design: Condominium; Resale condition; 2 stories; Faces west
• Construction: Block construction
• Exterior features: Waterfront property; Other roof type

Interior

• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
• Flooring: Tile
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Tile flooring

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $150k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $361 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
• Recommended offer: $148k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 69/100 on livability (#490 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
• Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Liberty Park Elementary School (math 25% / reading 38%, grade F, #1,841 of 2,144 statewide, top 86%, 845 students, 76% FRL); Okeeheelee Middle School (math 34% / reading 40%, grade F, #399 of 571 statewide, top 71%, 1,377 students, 68% FRL); John I. Leonard High School (math 17% / reading 35%, grade F, #494 of 667 statewide, top 75%, 3,549 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 52% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 32% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Palm Beach average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 666 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($96k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Current owner paid $80k; list at $150k implies a 87% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: HOA is 27% of rent.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $147,651 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
2. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.64% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.18%
• Cash-on-cash: 10.32%
• DSCR: 1.46
• GRM: 5.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -5.4%
• Equity multiple: 0.81×
• Total profit: $-8,134
• Equity at exit: $22,351

10-year hold

• IRR: -1.6%
• Equity multiple: 0.91×
• Total profit: $-3,801
• Equity at exit: $12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 33467

• Rents YoY: -0.4%
• Active inventory: 666
• Price-to-rent: 5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,456 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$786
• Tax from tax record: −$75 /mo · $902/yr
• Insurance: −$62
• HOA: −$656
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$516
• Net cashflow: $361

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,000

Max offer price $149,900

Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $446	-5% $403	+0% $361	+5% $318	+10% $276
Rent	-10% $167	-5% $264	+0% $361	+5% $458	+10% $555
Rate	-1.0pp $436	-0.5pp $399	base $361	+0.5pp $322	+1.0pp $283

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $37,475
• Closing costs: $4,497
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
3350 Perimeter Dr #1323 Greenacres, FL	2.0	2.0	1059	$1,975	$1.86	3d	1	0.03mi
3386 Lucerne Park Dr Greenacres, FL	2.0	2.0	1059	$1,950	$1.84	26d	1	0.03mi
3024 Lucerne Park Dr Greenacres, FL	3.0	2.0	1545	$3,100	$2.01	26d	1	0.03mi
3043 Grandiflora Dr Lake Worth, FL	3.0	2.0	1316	$2,700	$2.05	13d	1	0.11mi
3258 Jog Park Dr Greenacres, FL	2.0	2.0	1415	$2,300	$1.63	26d	1	0.17mi
720 Sunny Pine Way Unit G1 Greenacres, FL	2.0	2.0	1111	$2,000	$1.80	21d	1	0.27mi
718 Sunny Pine Way Unit H2 Greenacres, FL	2.0	2.0	1111	$2,000	$1.80	22d	1	0.29mi
718 Sunny Pine Way Unit H2 Greenacres, FL	2.0	2.0	1111	$2,000	$1.80	7d	1	0.29mi
3154 Via Poinciana #214 Lake Worth, FL	2.0	2.0	1092	$1,500	$1.37	26d	1	0.31mi
1600 Island Shores Dr Greenacres, FL	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	889	$1,925	$2.17	26d	2	0.33mi
3146 Via Poinciana #301 Lake Worth, FL	2.0	2.0	1080	$1,500	$1.39	22d	1	0.36mi
712 Sunny Pine Way Greenacres, FL	2.0	2.0	1068	$2,150	$2.01	26d	1	0.37mi
724 Sunny Pine Way Unit D2 Greenacres, FL	2.0	2.0	1111	$1,950	$1.76	26d	1	0.42mi
3178 Via Poinciana #303 Lake Worth, FL	2.0	2.0	1145	$1,600	$1.40	26d	1	0.44mi
726 Sunny Pine Way Unit B2 Greenacres, FL	3.0	2.0	1254	$2,200	$1.75	5d	1	0.44mi
703 Sunny Pine Way Greenacres, FL	2.0	2.0	1068	$1,900	$1.78	26d	2	0.45mi
6115 Seven Springs Blvd Greenacres, FL	2.0	2.5	1325	$2,475	$1.87	7d	1	0.46mi
6115 Seven Springs Blvd Greenacres, FL	2.0	2.5	1325	$2,500	$1.89	20d	1	0.46mi
812 Sky Pine Way Greenacres, FL	2.0	2.0	1064	$2,100	$1.97	26d	1	0.46mi
3356 Via Mancebo St Lake Worth, FL	3.0	2.5	1728	$2,650	$1.53	16d	1	0.46mi
6134 Seven Springs Blvd Unit 40d Greenacres, FL	3.0	3.0	1321	$2,400	$1.82	5d	1	0.47mi
811 Sky Pine Way Unit F2 Greenacres, FL	2.0	2.0	1064	$1,550	$1.46	21d	1	0.48mi
6285 Tall Cypress Cir Greenacres, FL	2.0	2.0	1556	$2,300	$1.48	14d	1	0.51mi
6273 Tall Cypress Cir Greenacres, FL	3.0	2.0	1360	$2,400	$1.76	26d	1	0.51mi
504 Shady Pine Way Unit 2 Greenacres, FL	2.0	2.0	1111	$2,000	$1.80	26d	1	0.51mi
703 Sunny Pine Way Unit G2 Greenacres, FL	2.0	2.0	1068	$2,000	$1.87	16d	1	0.51mi
802 Sky Pine Way Unit E2 Greenacres, FL	2.0	2.0	1111	$1,750	$1.58	9d	1	0.51mi
3212 Strawflower Way #207 Lake Worth, FL	2.0	2.0	1017	$1,850	$1.82	26d	1	0.52mi
3212 Strawflower Way Greenacres, FL	2.0	2.0	1017	$2,200	$2.16	12d	1	0.52mi
3212 Strawflower Way Lake Worth, FL	2.0	2.0	1017	$2,000	$1.97	19d	2	0.52mi
502 Shady Pine Way Unit D2 Greenacres, FL	2.0	1.0	991	$1,900	$1.92	1d	1	0.52mi
817 Sky Pine Way Unit H Greenacres, FL	2.0	2.0	1370	$2,300	$1.68	18d	1	0.54mi
6023 10th Ave N #114 Greenacres, FL	2.0	2.0	1050	$2,000	$1.90	0d	1	0.54mi
826 Sky Pine Way Greenacres, FL	2.0–3.0	2.0	1304	$2,400	$1.84	0d	2	0.55mi
813 Sky Pine Way Unit F2 Greenacres, FL	2.0	2.0	1111	$1,725	$1.55	4d	1	0.58mi
813 Sky Pine Way Unit F2 Greenacres, FL	2.0	2.0	1111	$1,725	$1.55	16d	1	0.58mi
6031 10th Ave N #219 Greenacres, FL	3.0	2.0	1078	$2,400	$2.23	5d	1	0.58mi
6049 Olivewood Cir Greenacres, FL	2.0	2.0	1377	$2,200	$1.60	25d	1	0.58mi
508 Shady Pine Way Unit D1 Greenacres, FL	2.0	2.0	1115	$1,850	$1.66	23d	1	0.60mi
3286 Arcara Way #413 Lake Worth, FL	2.0	2.0	1222	$1,800	$1.47	1d	1	0.60mi

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $656 · $7,872/yr
• Likely covers: waterpool
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 4 events

1. 2026-05-14
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-14
   listed $149,900 Active
3. 1998-06-11
   soldstatus $80,000
4. 1990-06-21
   soldstatus $94,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $902 · $75/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,244 · $104/mo
• Expected delta: +$342/yr (+$28/mo · 37.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $29,477
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,397
• − Property taxes: −$902
• − Insurance: −$750
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,358
• − Management: −$2,358
• − HOA: −$7,872
• − Depreciation: −$4,361
• Taxable income: $2,480
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$595
• After-tax cash flow: $3,735/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Palm Beach
• NCES district ID: 1201500
• Math proficiency: 46% ▼ -16.00%
• Reading proficiency: 53% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $53,943
• Composite: 42.72/100
• National rank: #3160
• State rank: #34 of 73 in FL

Livability — Greenacres

• Score: 69/100
• State rank: #490
• US rank: #9008

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Greenacres, FL
• County: Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
• City population: 65,478
• Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
• Population (ZIP): 58,411
• Household income: $95,739
• Rent vs Own: 13.6% rent · 86.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 960.0

Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,637,487 people
• By 2030: 1,743,255 · +6.5%
• By 2040: 1,948,712 · +19.0%
• By 2050: 2,132,979 · +30.3%
• By 2075: 2,530,027 · +54.5%
• By 2100: 2,706,979 · +65.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
• Race & ethnicity: White 59% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 13% Black 10% Asian 4%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 4% Dominican 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 4% Scotch-Irish 3% Hispanic 3%
• Foreign-born: 24% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 71% English-only · Spanish 17% French/Haitian/Cajun 5% Other Indo-European 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -288.94%
• Current HPI: 343.7738
• Rent YoY: ▼ -0.40%
• Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+59.5% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-14 Pending — Beaches MLS
• 2026-04-14 Listed $149,900 Beaches MLS
• 1998-06-11 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
• 1990-06-21 Sold (Public Records) $94,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $902 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.