4127 Heron Way Unit E-111 · South Bradenton, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 32 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.5/30.0
- ARV discount +12.7/15.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Super price reduction! * * Ground floor convenience with parking right in front for this UPDATED 2 bedroom/2 bath, unfurnished condo. * * Several very nice kitchen updates: stainless appliances, new cabinets/counters, deep stainless sink. * * Freshly painted & a new laminate flooring that blends in with the ceramic areas (replaced all carpeting!) = easy care. * * New remote control ceiling fans w/ lights. * * Washer/dryer hookups are in place although there is also a coin laundry in E-bldg. Whether you want a winter place or a year-round home, check out this one. Active, very popular 55+ condo association. Alongside the lake is an updated (heated) pool/spa, the clubhouse, shuffleboard, picnic tables, grills & even a fishing pier extending onto lake - pretty location. Head west on Cortez Rd and be at Bradenton Beach in fewer than 10 miles. Lots to do in this area. .. Come check it out!
Key facts
- Newer cabinetry
- Updated kitchen
- Fresh interior paint
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $100k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $526 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 3.7% in South Bradenton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in FL, #3,092 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime D+, commute F.
- Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Robert H. Prine Elementary School (math 46% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,560 of 2,144 statewide, top 73%, 744 students, 75% FRL); W. D. Sugg Middle School (math 34% / reading 28%, grade F, #462 of 571 statewide, top 81%, 1,010 students, 72% FRL); Southeast High School (math 25% / reading 34%, grade F, #447 of 667 statewide, top 68%, 1,716 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 51% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 33% at this address vs 52% district-wide (-19 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Manatee average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.4%/yr); 444 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 42d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $80k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→32/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.54% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.55%
- DSCR
- 2.00
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $113,085
- List price
- $99,900
- Delta
- -11.66%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3807 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit H-416 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,144 (0%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $105 | 98 |
| 4127 Heron Way Unit E-111 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,144 (0%) | 2mo | $80,000 | $70 | 98 |
| 4111 Heron Way Unit E-103 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,144 (0%) | 3mo | $70,200 | $61 | 98 |
| 4157 Heron Way #302 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,144 (0%) | 6mo | $70,000 | $61 | 95 |
| 3446 Lake Bayshore Dr #416 | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 | 1,144 (0%) | 2mo | $180,000 | $157 | 87 |
| 3424 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit 405 BUILDING P | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 | 1,144 (0%) | 5mo | $132,500 | $116 | 84 |
| 3276 Lake Bayshore Dr N Unit O-517 | 0.39mi | 2/2.0 | 1,144 (0%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $135 | 81 |
| 3500 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit K 101 | 0.39mi | 2/2.0 | 1,144 (0%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $79 | 80 |
| 3502 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit K102 | 0.39mi | 2/2.0 | 1,144 (0%) | 3mo | $73,000 | $64 | 79 |
| 3176 Lake Bayshore Dr #319 | 0.39mi | 2/2.0 | 1,144 (0%) | 6mo | $180,000 | $157 | 77 |
| 3756 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit K-509 | 0.39mi | 2/2.0 | 1,144 (0%) | 6mo | $109,000 | $95 | 77 |
| 3311 39th Pl W | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 | 1,068 (-7%) | 6mo | $215,000 | $201 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.46×
- Total profit
- $12,797
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.32×
- Total profit
- $36,908
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 65 active · 22 under contract
- Months of supply
- 19.5 mo (5%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $119,000 ($122/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 119 d
- This list price
- 28% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -19.2% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 34205
- Rents YoY
- -2.4%
- Active inventory
- 444
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,539 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$125 /mo · $1,498/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$323
- Net cashflow
- $526
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $595 | -5% $560 | +0% $526 | +5% $491 | +10% $457 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $404 | -5% $465 | +0% $526 | +5% $586 | +10% $647 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $576 | -0.5pp $551 | base $526 | +0.5pp $500 | +1.0pp $473 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4127 Heron Way Unit E-111 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,450 | $1.27 | 55d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 4109 Lake Bayshore Dr Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,250 | $1.63 | 164d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 3737 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit 213 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,150 | $1.26 | 162d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 4143 Heron Way Unit 207 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,500 | $1.31 | 10d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 3963 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit F-414 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,200 | $1.15 | 155d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 3635 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit J410 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,700 | $1.49 | 164d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 4121 Heron Way #108 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,340 | $1.17 | 164d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 4111 Heron Way Unit E103 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,450 | $1.27 | 10d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 4129 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit C501 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,500 | $1.31 | 10d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 4121 Heron Way #108 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,340 | $1.17 | 133d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 3561 Lake Bayshore Dr Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $2,000 | $1.92 | 2d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 3693 Lake Bayshore Dr Bldg H Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $1,295 | $1.70 | 110d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 4242 Heron Way Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1196 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 10d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 4204 Heron Way Unit B304 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,400 | $1.54 | 144d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 3316 26th St W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1472 | $1,999 | $1.36 | 55d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 3525 19th St W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $1,600 | $1.84 | 55d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 2306 30th Ave W Unit 2306 Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 945 | $1,495 | $1.58 | 41d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2306 30th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 945 | $1,500 | $1.59 | 52d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 3122 Lake Bayshore Dr Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,450 | $1.27 | 10d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 3124 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit 219 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $2,300 | $2.01 | 10d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 3570 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit K-206 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,450 | $1.27 | 10d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 3064 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit 115 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,250 | $1.09 | 10d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 2914 24th St W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $1,695 | $2.24 | 41d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 3007 40th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1041 | $2,095 | $2.01 | 10d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 2901 26th St W #807 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 940 | $1,400 | $1.49 | 125d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 2901 26th St W #807 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 940 | $1,400 | $1.49 | 133d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 2901 26th St W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 955 | $1,725 | $1.81 | 0d | 2 | 0.48mi |
| 2901 26th St W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 940 | $1,650 | $1.76 | 55d | 2 | 0.48mi |
| 3506 14th St W Bradenton, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 993 | $1,650 | $1.66 | 0d | 4 | 0.49mi |
| 4540 19th Street Cir W Unit 4405-D Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 804 | $1,495 | $1.86 | 10d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 4515 26th St W Bradenton, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 687 | $1,390 | $2.02 | 0d | 31 | 0.52mi |
| 3617 32nd St W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $1,800 | $1.41 | 52d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2820 21st St W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 947 | $2,295 | $2.42 | 10d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2820 21st St W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 947 | $2,330 | $2.46 | 23d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 3512 32nd St W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 138d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2305 46th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1017 | $1,811 | $1.78 | 0d | 10 | 0.60mi |
| 4444 17th St W Unit B Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $2,200 | $2.59 | 10d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1308 36th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 715 | $1,125 | $1.57 | 0d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1308 36th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 715 | $1,175 | $1.64 | 15d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2105 46th Avenue Dr W Unit 2405 Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 884 | $2,100 | $2.38 | 119d | 1 | 0.66mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community
- HOA requiredMonthly association feeAssociation approval requiredAssociation amenities include a clubhouse, laundry, pool, shuffleboard court, and spa/hot tubAssociation fee includes cable TV, internet, pool, common area taxes, insurance, maintenance, management, trash, reserves, and fidelity bondSenior communityBuyer approval requiredCommunity mailboxNo pets allowedNo truck, RV, or motorcycle parkingPart-time managementLease restrictions apply
Exterior
- Parking
- Assigned parkingGuest parking
- Security
- Smoke detectors
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerPublic utilitiesCable connectedInternet available
- Home design
- CondominiumOne levelNorth-facingFirst-floor unit
- Construction
- Block and stucco constructionOther roofSlab foundation
- Exterior features
- Screened rear porchOutdoor grillHeated in-ground gunite poolFishing pierMature landscaping and treesLandscaped, level groundsPrivate paved road
Interior
- Kitchen
- MicrowaveRangeRefrigerator
- Bedrooms
- 2 bedrooms
- Flooring
- Ceramic tileLaminate
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Central electric heatingCentral air conditioning
- Interior features
- Ceiling fansEat-in kitchenCombined living and dining roomSplit-bedroom layoutThermostatWalk-in closetWindow treatmentsElevator
- Laundry & utility
- Laundry closetWasher hookupElectric dryer hookupElectric water heater
Listing history 50 events
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2026-11-08days on market $99,900 Active 13 DOM
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2026-11-07days on market $99,900 Active 12 DOM
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2026-11-06days on market $99,900 Active 11 DOM
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2026-11-05days on market $99,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-11-04days on market $99,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-11-02days on market $99,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-11-01days on market $99,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-11-01price $99,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-10-31days on market $109,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-10-30days on market $109,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-10-29days on market $109,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-10-28days on market $109,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-10-27remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-10-27pricestatusdays on market $109,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $84,900 Active Under Contract 126 DOM
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2026-09-04days on market $84,900 Active Under Contract 125 DOM
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2026-09-03days on market $84,900 Active Under Contract 124 DOM
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2026-08-31days on market $84,900 Active Under Contract 121 DOM
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2026-08-30days on market $84,900 Active Under Contract 120 DOM
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2026-08-29days on market $84,900 Active Under Contract 119 DOM
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2026-08-28days on market $84,900 Active Under Contract 118 DOM
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2026-08-27days on market $84,900 Active Under Contract 117 DOM
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2026-08-26days on market $84,900 Active Under Contract 116 DOM
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2026-08-25days on market $84,900 Active Under Contract 115 DOM
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2026-08-24days on market $84,900 Active Under Contract 114 DOM
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2026-08-23days on market $84,900 Active Under Contract 113 DOM
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2026-08-22days on market $84,900 Active Under Contract 112 DOM
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2026-08-21days on market $84,900 Active Under Contract 111 DOM
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2026-08-20days on market $84,900 Active Under Contract 110 DOM
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2026-08-19days on market $84,900 Active Under Contract 109 DOM
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2026-08-18days on market $84,900 Active Under Contract 108 DOM
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2026-08-17days on market $84,900 Active Under Contract 107 DOM
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2026-08-16days on market $84,900 Active Under Contract 106 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $84,900 Active Under Contract 105 DOM
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2026-08-14days on market $84,900 Active Under Contract 104 DOM
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2026-08-13statusdays on market $84,900 Active Under Contract 103 DOM
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2026-08-12days on market $84,900 Active 102 DOM
Show marketing remark (922 chars)
Super price reduction! * * Ground floor convenience with parking right in front for this UPDATED 2 bedroom/2 bath, unfurnished condo. * * Several very nice kitchen updates: stainless appliances, new cabinets/counters, deep stainless sink. * * Freshly painted & a new laminate flooring that blends in with the ceramic areas (replaced all carpeting!) = easy care. * * New remote control ceiling fans w/ lights. * * Washer/dryer hookups are in place although there is also a coin laundry in E-bldg. Whether you want a winter place or a year-round home, check out this one. Active, very popular 55+ condo association. Alongside the lake is an updated (heated) pool/spa, the clubhouse, shuffleboard, picnic tables, grills & even a fishing pier extending onto lake - pretty location. Head west on Cortez Rd and be at Bradenton Beach in fewer than 10 miles. Lots to do in this area. .. Come check it out!
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2026-08-11days on market $84,900 Active 101 DOM
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2026-08-10days on market $84,900 Active 100 DOM
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2026-08-09days on market $84,900 Active 99 DOM
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2026-08-08days on market $84,900 Active 98 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $84,900 Active 97 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $84,900 Active 96 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $84,900 Active 95 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $84,900 Active 94 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $84,900 Active 93 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $84,900 Active 90 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $84,900 Active 88 DOM
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2026-07-28statusdays on market $84,900 Active 87 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $84,900 Active Under Contract 83 DOM
Show marketing remark (922 chars)
Super price reduction! * * Ground floor convenience with parking right in front for this UPDATED 2 bedroom/2 bath, unfurnished condo. * * Several very nice kitchen updates: stainless appliances, new cabinets/counters, deep stainless sink. * * Freshly painted & a new laminate flooring that blends in with the ceramic areas (replaced all carpeting!) = easy care. * * New remote control ceiling fans w/ lights. * * Washer/dryer hookups are in place although there is also a coin laundry in E-bldg. Whether you want a winter place or a year-round home, check out this one. Active, very popular 55+ condo association. Alongside the lake is an updated (heated) pool/spa, the clubhouse, shuffleboard, picnic tables, grills & even a fishing pier extending onto lake - pretty location. Head west on Cortez Rd and be at Bradenton Beach in fewer than 10 miles. Lots to do in this area. .. Come check it out!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 32 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,470
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$1,498
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,478
- − Management
- −$1,478
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $5,015
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,204
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,103/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This updated townhouse is move-in ready with fresh paint, new flooring, and modern appliances. It offers a good investment opportunity with potential for rental or resale appreciation.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both New flooring in bathrooms — Improves functionality and aesthetics ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Manatee
- NCES district ID
- 1201230
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,607
- Composite
- 44.43/100
- National rank
- #2806
- State rank
- #26 of 73 in FL
Livability — South Bradenton
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3092
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Bradenton, FL
- County
- Manatee County · 447,342 people
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,946
- Household income
- $52,525
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 18% of renters
Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 447,342 people
- By 2030
- 488,911 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 567,934 · +27.0%
- By 2050
- 637,995 · +42.6%
- By 2075
- 781,970 · +74.8%
- By 2100
- 848,272 · +89.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 18% Black 10% Two or more races 9% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 1%
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 14% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Manatee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -310.18%
- Current HPI
- 369.8239
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.43%
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+10.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-10-26 Listed $109,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-09-11 Listed for Rent $1,450 STELLARMLS
- 2026-09-08 Sold (MLS) $80,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-08-12 Contingent — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-07-24 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-07-23 Contingent — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-07-20 Price Changed $84,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-21 Price Changed $89,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-02 Listed $99,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…