115 S Holmes St · La Porte, TX
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.75%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This charming single-story home in La Porte offers a spacious layout with 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths, blending comfort and functionality in a convenient location. Inside, you'll find wood flooring, granite countertops, and a bright kitchen equipped with a gas cooktop, gas oven, dishwasher, and disposal. The primary bedroom provides generous space, while the overall floor plan allows flexibility for everyday living or entertaining. Situated on a large cleared lot, the property also features a durable metal roof, public utilities, and easy access to nearby schools, shopping, and major roadways. A great opportunity for buyers looking for space, character, and value in an established neighborhood.
Key facts
- Wood flooring
- Gas cooktop
- Durable metal roof
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $141 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
- Recommended offer: $160k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 3.4% in La Porte — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#360 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- La Porte ISD (suburban): math 41% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #260 of 826 in TX (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 340 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $24k; list at $165k implies a 602% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.39%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $209,288
- List price
- $165,000
- Delta
- -21.16%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 115 S Holmes St | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 1,521 (0%) | 0mo | $165,000 | $108 | 100 |
| 401 S Blackwell St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,575 (+4%) | 5mo | $265,000 | $168 | 71 |
| 712 S Blackwell St | 0.48mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,528 (+0%) | 2mo | $264,900 | $173 | 66 |
| 309 S Brownell St | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,358 (-11%) | 4mo | $209,500 | $154 | 64 |
| 211 San Jacinto St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,492 (-2%) | 11mo | $250,000 | $168 | 56 |
| 317 S Idaho St | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,726 (+14%) | 4mo | $300,000 | $174 | 55 |
| 601 S Carroll St | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,403 (-8%) | 11mo | $259,900 | $185 | 54 |
| 1711 Park Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,664 (+9%) | 10mo | $274,900 | $165 | 48 |
| 135 S Virginia Ave | 0.50mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,720 (+13%) | 3mo | $249,000 | $145 | 45 |
| 403 Arizona St | 0.68mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,650 (+8%) | 3mo | $320,000 | $194 | 44 |
| 722 S Utah St | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,650 (+8%) | 11mo | $315,000 | $191 | 42 |
| 127 S Virginia Ave | 0.50mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,720 (+13%) | 9mo | $258,900 | $151 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.81% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-17,893
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- -1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-4,620
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77571
- Home prices YoY
- -28.9%
- Rents YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 340
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,058 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$484 /mo · $5,805/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$432
- Net cashflow
- $141
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $235 | -5% $188 | +0% $141 | +5% $95 | +10% $48 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-21 | -5% $60 | +0% $141 | +5% $222 | +10% $304 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $224 | -0.5pp $183 | base $141 | +0.5pp $98 | +1.0pp $55 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 218 S 6th St La Porte, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,925 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 319 S 6th St La Porte, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1812 | $1,795 | $0.99 | 25d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 803 S 4th St La Porte, TX | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1688 | $1,700 | $1.01 | 6d | 1 | 1.18mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-05-13status Pending 703-char remark
Show marketing remark (703 chars)
This charming single-story home in La Porte offers a spacious layout with 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths, blending comfort and functionality in a convenient location. Inside, you'll find wood flooring, granite countertops, and a bright kitchen equipped with a gas cooktop, gas oven, dishwasher, and disposal. The primary bedroom provides generous space, while the overall floor plan allows flexibility for everyday living or entertaining. Situated on a large cleared lot, the property also features a durable metal roof, public utilities, and easy access to nearby schools, shopping, and major roadways. A great opportunity for buyers looking for space, character, and value in an established neighborhood.
-
2026-05-05status Pending 703-char remark
Show marketing remark (703 chars)
This charming single-story home in La Porte offers a spacious layout with 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths, blending comfort and functionality in a convenient location. Inside, you'll find wood flooring, granite countertops, and a bright kitchen equipped with a gas cooktop, gas oven, dishwasher, and disposal. The primary bedroom provides generous space, while the overall floor plan allows flexibility for everyday living or entertaining. Situated on a large cleared lot, the property also features a durable metal roof, public utilities, and easy access to nearby schools, shopping, and major roadways. A great opportunity for buyers looking for space, character, and value in an established neighborhood.
-
2026-04-21price $165,000 703-char remark
Show marketing remark (703 chars)
This charming single-story home in La Porte offers a spacious layout with 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths, blending comfort and functionality in a convenient location. Inside, you'll find wood flooring, granite countertops, and a bright kitchen equipped with a gas cooktop, gas oven, dishwasher, and disposal. The primary bedroom provides generous space, while the overall floor plan allows flexibility for everyday living or entertaining. Situated on a large cleared lot, the property also features a durable metal roof, public utilities, and easy access to nearby schools, shopping, and major roadways. A great opportunity for buyers looking for space, character, and value in an established neighborhood.
-
2026-03-31price $169,000 703-char remark
Show marketing remark (703 chars)
This charming single-story home in La Porte offers a spacious layout with 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths, blending comfort and functionality in a convenient location. Inside, you'll find wood flooring, granite countertops, and a bright kitchen equipped with a gas cooktop, gas oven, dishwasher, and disposal. The primary bedroom provides generous space, while the overall floor plan allows flexibility for everyday living or entertaining. Situated on a large cleared lot, the property also features a durable metal roof, public utilities, and easy access to nearby schools, shopping, and major roadways. A great opportunity for buyers looking for space, character, and value in an established neighborhood.
-
2026-03-20$175,000 Active 703-char remark
Show marketing remark (703 chars)
This charming single-story home in La Porte offers a spacious layout with 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths, blending comfort and functionality in a convenient location. Inside, you'll find wood flooring, granite countertops, and a bright kitchen equipped with a gas cooktop, gas oven, dishwasher, and disposal. The primary bedroom provides generous space, while the overall floor plan allows flexibility for everyday living or entertaining. Situated on a large cleared lot, the property also features a durable metal roof, public utilities, and easy access to nearby schools, shopping, and major roadways. A great opportunity for buyers looking for space, character, and value in an established neighborhood.
-
2020-02-07soldstatus Sold 293-char remark
Show marketing remark (293 chars)
Welcome home! Beautifully remodeled 4/2 home sitting on a large open lot. No HOA!! Terrific location in La Porte perfect for work commute. Interiors have been fully upgraded and includes brand new flooring, bathrooms, appliances, paint A/C, front and back deck and much more! Come tour today!!
-
2020-02-07soldstatus
Show marketing remark (293 chars)
Welcome home! Beautifully remodeled 4/2 home sitting on a large open lot. No HOA!! Terrific location in La Porte perfect for work commute. Interiors have been fully upgraded and includes brand new flooring, bathrooms, appliances, paint A/C, front and back deck and much more! Come tour today!!
-
2019-12-25status Pending 293-char remark
Show marketing remark (293 chars)
Welcome home! Beautifully remodeled 4/2 home sitting on a large open lot. No HOA!! Terrific location in La Porte perfect for work commute. Interiors have been fully upgraded and includes brand new flooring, bathrooms, appliances, paint A/C, front and back deck and much more! Come tour today!!
-
2019-12-19status Option Pending 293-char remark
Show marketing remark (293 chars)
Welcome home! Beautifully remodeled 4/2 home sitting on a large open lot. No HOA!! Terrific location in La Porte perfect for work commute. Interiors have been fully upgraded and includes brand new flooring, bathrooms, appliances, paint A/C, front and back deck and much more! Come tour today!!
-
2019-11-15$150,300 Active 293-char remark
Show marketing remark (293 chars)
Welcome home! Beautifully remodeled 4/2 home sitting on a large open lot. No HOA!! Terrific location in La Porte perfect for work commute. Interiors have been fully upgraded and includes brand new flooring, bathrooms, appliances, paint A/C, front and back deck and much more! Come tour today!!
-
2019-09-20soldstatus
-
2019-08-19soldstatus
-
2011-04-25soldstatus
-
2011-04-21soldstatus
-
2011-04-12historical
-
2011-02-25$69,900
-
2011-01-14soldstatus
-
2010-12-07historical
-
2010-08-18$64,900
-
2004-09-03soldstatus
-
2004-09-03soldstatus
-
1994-07-24soldstatus
-
1991-09-01soldstatus $23,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,805 · $484/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,805 · $484/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,690
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$5,805
- − Insurance
- −$1,622
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,975
- − Management
- −$1,975
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable loss
- −$730
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$175
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,870/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- La Porte ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4826190
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,841
- Composite
- 38.65/100
- National rank
- #4151
- State rank
- #260 of 826 in TX
Livability — La Porte
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #360
- US rank
- #7754
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- La Porte, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 38,543
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,543
- Household income
- $81,850
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1176.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 20% Black 8% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 31%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 21% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -103.81%
- Current HPI
- 255.0768
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.81%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
+602.1% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-05-05 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $165,000 HARMLS
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $169,000 HARMLS
- 2026-03-20 Listed $175,000 HARMLS
- 2020-02-07 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2020-02-07 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2019-12-25 Pending — HARMLS
- 2019-12-19 Pending — HARMLS
- 2019-11-15 Listed $150,300 HARMLS
- 2019-09-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2019-08-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2011-04-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2011-04-21 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2011-04-12 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2011-02-25 Listed $69,900 HARMLS
- 2011-01-14 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2010-12-07 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2010-08-18 Listed $64,900 HARMLS
- 2004-09-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2004-09-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1994-07-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1991-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $23,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+12.9%/yrLatest (2025): $5,805 · +15.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…