1019 Carver St · Iowa City, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.0/15.0
- Cash flow +5.8/30.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.6/10.0
- DSCR +0.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$239,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Come see this spacious ranch home that offers a comfortable 1st floor living. Including a full laundry room, eat-in kitchen, 3bdrms 1.5 baths, living and family rooms, LVP Flooring and Original oak floors. Large full walkout basement to a fenced yard. Convenient outdoor living areas off garage with brick patios and fire-pit area. 2 blocks to Lucas Elementary and S-East Junior High. One owner, licensed realtor, state of Iowa. Realtor related to owners.
Key facts
- Original oak floors
- Remodeled kitchen
- First floor laundry
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Annual association fee that includes trash, sewer, and water; Community park; Sidewalks
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; Off-street parking; Parking pad; 1 total parking space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; One story
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Brick; Frame construction; Basement with finished and unfinished areas, concrete floor, walk-out access, and bath stubbed
- Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Patio; Fenced yard
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet; Wood; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
- Interior features: Other
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room on lower level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $239k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-473 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $155k (35.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $157k (34.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $155k (35.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 3.9% vs local median 2.7% in Iowa City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#13 in IA, #450 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+.
- Iowa City Community School District (urban): math 65% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #174 of 289 in IA (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Robert Lucas Elementary School (math 52% / reading 57%, grade C, #462 of 616 statewide, top 79%, 285 students, 44% FRL); Southeast Junior High School (math 64% / reading 68%, grade A-, #152 of 246 statewide, top 62%, 812 students, 50% FRL); Iowa City High School (math 62% / reading 73%, grade B, #186 of 336 statewide, top 57%, 1,599 students, 40% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 261 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 714 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (158 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Johnson County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($232k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $136k; list at $239k implies a 76% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.66% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- -8.49%
- DSCR
- 0.62
- GRM
- 12.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $279,051
- List price
- $239,000
- Delta
- -14.35%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1242 Dover St | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,388 (-0%) | 5mo | $250,000 | $180 | 82 |
| 1222 Arthur St | 0.18mi | 2/1.5 | 1,288 (-8%) | 2mo | $255,000 | $198 | 76 |
| 3005 Parkview Ave | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,434 (+3%) | 4mo | $235,000 | $164 | 73 |
| 2723 E Court St | 0.54mi | 2/1.5 | 1,480 (+6%) | 1mo | $275,000 | $186 | 62 |
| 2406 Friendship St | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,559 (+12%) | 1mo | $313,000 | $201 | 55 |
| 1011 2nd Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,214 (-13%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $173 | 49 |
| 120 Washington Park Rd | 0.75mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,455 (+4%) | 2mo | $385,000 | $265 | 48 |
| 2125 F St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,264 (-9%) | 8mo | $236,000 | $187 | 48 |
| 1908 F St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,276 (-8%) | 6mo | $244,500 | $192 | 46 |
| 823 3rd Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,270 (-9%) | 8mo | $252,500 | $199 | 45 |
| 1850 Muscatine Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,278 (-8%) | 2mo | $236,000 | $185 | 43 |
| 310 Shrader Rd | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,208 (-13%) | 8mo | $315,000 | $261 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.32% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -27.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.05×
- Total profit
- $-63,414
- Equity at exit
- $35,636
- IRR
- -16.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.05×
- Total profit
- $-70,049
- Equity at exit
- $20,664
Cash invested: $66,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52240
- Rents YoY
- 6.3%
- Active inventory
- 261
- Price-to-rent
- 12.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,566 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,253
- Tax from tax record
- −$358 /mo · $4,294/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$329
- Net cashflow
- $-473
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-338 | -5% $-406 | +0% $-473 | +5% $-541 | +10% $-609 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-597 | -5% $-535 | +0% $-473 | +5% $-412 | +10% $-350 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-353 | -0.5pp $-413 | base $-473 | +0.5pp $-535 | +1.0pp $-598 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,750
- Closing costs
- $7,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2300 Catskill Ct Iowa City, IA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $1,850 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 3432 Eastbrook St Iowa City, IA | 3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1874 | $2,000 | $1.07 | 15d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 49 Arbor Hill Cir #23 Iowa City, IA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1128 | $1,215 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 2100 S Scott Blvd Unit 66 Iowa City, IA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $1,199 | $0.99 | 23d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 51 Gleason Dr Iowa City, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $2,200 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 1.25mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $239,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $239,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $239,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $239,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $239,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $239,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $239,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $239,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $239,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $239,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $239,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $239,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $239,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $239,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $239,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $239,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $239,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $239,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-08$239,000 Active 455-char remark
-
2025-08-01historical $1,590
-
2025-03-12$1,590
-
2023-03-16price $234,900
-
2023-03-02$235,000 Active
-
2023-02-22price $239,900
-
2023-01-26price $249,900
-
2023-01-20$250,000 Active
-
2022-02-01price $1,500
-
2021-01-22$225,000
-
2005-11-02soldstatus $135,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,294 · $358/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,294 · $358/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,795
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,388
- − Property taxes
- −$4,294
- − Insurance
- −$1,195
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,504
- − Management
- −$1,504
- − Depreciation
- −$6,953
- Taxable loss
- −$10,041
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,410
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,271/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Iowa City Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1914700
- Math proficiency
- 65% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,229
- Composite
- 57.3/100
- National rank
- #1088
- State rank
- #174 of 289 in IA
Livability — Iowa City
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #13
- US rank
- #450
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Iowa City, IA
- County
- Johnson County · 132,710 people
- City population
- 80,235
- Metro
- Iowa City, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,074
- Household income
- $52,960
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2852.0
Population outlook (Johnson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 180,405 people
- By 2030
- 200,014 · +10.9%
- By 2040
- 241,428 · +33.8%
- By 2050
- 288,144 · +59.7%
- By 2075
- 420,009 · +132.8%
- By 2100
- 546,596 · +203.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 9% Two or more races 8% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Romanian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 8% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Johnson
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.1) · D 68.4% · R 30.3% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.4pp toward R · 2008: 41.5pp · 2024: 38.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.1 2020: D+43.2 2016: D+38.3 2012: D+35.4 2008: D+41.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -202.53%
- Current HPI
- 170.7491
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.32%
- Metro
- Iowa City, IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+76.4% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Listed $239,000 ICAARMLS
- 2025-08-01 Rental Removed $1,590 APPFOLIO
- 2025-03-12 Listed for Rent $1,590 APPFOLIO
- 2023-03-16 Price Changed $234,900 ICAARMLS
- 2023-03-02 Listed $235,000 ICAARMLS
- 2023-02-22 Price Changed $239,900 ICAARMLS
- 2023-01-26 Price Changed $249,900 ICAARMLS
- 2023-01-20 Listed $250,000 ICAARMLS
- 2022-02-01 Price Changed $1,500 RENT.
- 2021-01-22 Listed $225,000 CRAAR, CDRMLS
- 2005-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $135,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $4,294 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…