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438 Celeste St 🏷️ Likely Rental
D Composite 44.44
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.6/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$5,000

438 Celeste St · Port Charlotte, FL 33954
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,438 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 2008

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

HONEY STOP THE CAR! WE NEED TO SEE THE HOME. Nicely updated 3 bedroom, 2 bath, 2 car garage home built in 2008, just minutes from down town Port Charlotte. NO HOA, NO DEED RESTRICTIONS, AND NOT IN A FLOOD ZONE! Eat-in kitchen has lots of cabinetry, granite countertops, stainless appliances, plant shelving and closet pantry. Combination living and dining area with tall cathedral ceilings. Large master suite has a walk-in closet, an ensuite with jetted garden tub, tiles walk-in shower, dual sinks and separate commode area. Nice size guest bedrooms have wall closets and ceiling fans. Guest bath has a combination tub/shower. FENCED BACKYARD is perfect for the kiddos and fido. ROOM FOR A POOL, pool company to determine the size of pool. This Southwest Florida location is ideal for year-round enjoyment of boating, fishing, golfing, Several Gulf beaches, beautiful natural resources, many restaurants, parks, public tennis courts and shopping. Cultural events are held throughout the year, multiple baseball parks are also located close by. Home is located just 10 minutes from Tampa Bay Rays Training Stadium, less than 2 miles from shopping mall & many Parks, 30 minutes from multiple Gulf Beaches, Punta Gorda regional Airport is located 10 miles away which is serviced by Allegiant air. Fisherman's Village and Historic District are about 10 miles away with multiple restaurants and shopping. PRICED FOR SALE SO DON'T DELAY, CALL TODAY!

Key facts

  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2008
  • Listed 8 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage
  • Home design: Residential property; 1 story
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.23 acres; Zoned RSF3

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Single-story layout

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $5,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$317,798) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $5k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $5k).
  • Cap rate 391.0% vs local median 4.4% in Port Charlotte — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#655 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D, amenities F.
  • Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.5%/yr); 689 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $35 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $150 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $1k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $5,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
41.46%
Cap rate
391.00%
Cash-on-cash
1373.94%
DSCR
62.13
GRM
0.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$317,798
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
19079 Willard Ave 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,437 (-0%) 13mo $315,000 $219 70
18455 Lansford Ave 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,393 (-3%) 19mo $313,000 $225 65
1073 Live Oak Cir #1 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,561 (+9%) 4mo $320,900 $206 55
1249 White Oak Trl 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,535 (+7%) 5mo $277,500 $181 53
1349 Old Oak Trl 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,535 (+7%) 9mo $385,000 $251 48
1013 Live Oak Cir #13 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,561 (+9%) 16mo $344,900 $221 40
18340 Laramie Ave 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,570 (+9%) 17mo $380,000 $242 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
69.03×
Total profit
$95,238
Equity at exit
$746
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
137.46×
Total profit
$191,043
Equity at exit
$432

Cash invested: $1,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33954

Home prices YoY
-13.3%
Rents YoY
-3.5%
Active inventory
689
Price-to-rent
0.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,073 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$26
Tax est. 1.5%
$6 /mo · $75/yr
Insurance
$2
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$435
Net cashflow
$1,603

Break-even live

Break-even rent $44
Max offer price $5,000
Occupancy floor 18%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$1,250
Closing costs
$150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18400 Tulane Ave Port Charlotte, FL 4.0 2.0 1636 $2,600 $1.59 13d 1 0.42mi
678 Rutland Cir Port Charlotte, FL 4.0 2.0 1833 $1,925 $1.05 13d 1 0.43mi
18412 Moonshadow Ave Port Charlotte, FL 4.0 2.0 1833 $1,895 $1.03 21d 1 0.52mi
18404 Moonshadow Ave Port Charlotte, FL 4.0 2.0 1833 $1,995 $1.09 21d 1 0.53mi
19335 Water Oak Dr #108 Port Charlotte, FL 3.0 2.0 1207 $1,950 $1.62 21d 1 0.60mi
375 Denver Dr Port Charlotte, FL 3.0 2.0 1534 $2,199 $1.43 21d 1 0.70mi
225 Overbrook St Unit NA Port Charlotte, FL 3.0 2.0 1698 $2,400 $1.41 13d 1 0.78mi
425 Ricold Ter Port Charlotte, FL 2.0 2.0 912 $1,400 $1.54 21d 1 0.89mi
18118 Sullivan Ave Port Charlotte, FL 4.0 2.0 1481 $1,860 $1.26 21d 1 0.96mi
20012 Goldcup Ct Port Charlotte, FL 2.0 2.0 923 $1,595 $1.73 21d 1 0.98mi
19505 Quesada Ave Port Charlotte, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 797 $2,800 $3.51 13d 8 1.07mi
1275 Price Cir NW Port Charlotte, FL 3.0 2.0 1810 $1,700 $0.94 21d 1 1.14mi
504 Vannell St Port Charlotte, FL 3.0 2.0 1698 $1,700 $1.00 21d 1 1.31mi
1261 Joplin Ave NW Port Charlotte, FL 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,950 $1.62 21d 1 1.39mi
1515 Forrest Nelson Blvd Port Charlotte, FL 2.0 2.0 899 $2,000 $2.22 21d 2 1.43mi
20217 Renwick Ave Port Charlotte, FL 4.0 2.0 1556 $2,050 $1.32 21d 1 1.44mi
2144 Pellam Blvd Port Charlotte, FL 4.0 2.5 1751 $2,106 $1.20 13d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    days on market $5,000 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $5,000 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $5,000 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $5,000 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $5,000 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-05-26
    listed $5,000 Active
  7. 2022-07-25
    soldstatus $349,900
  8. 2022-07-22
    soldstatus $349,900 Closed 1451-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1451 chars)

    HONEY STOP THE CAR! WE NEED TO SEE THE HOME. Nicely updated 3 bedroom, 2 bath, 2 car garage home built in 2008, just minutes from down town Port Charlotte. NO HOA, NO DEED RESTRICTIONS, AND NOT IN A FLOOD ZONE! Eat-in kitchen has lots of cabinetry, granite countertops, stainless appliances, plant shelving and closet pantry. Combination living and dining area with tall cathedral ceilings. Large master suite has a walk-in closet, an ensuite with jetted garden tub, tiles walk-in shower, dual sinks and separate commode area. Nice size guest bedrooms have wall closets and ceiling fans. Guest bath has a combination tub/shower. FENCED BACKYARD is perfect for the kiddos and fido. ROOM FOR A POOL, pool company to determine the size of pool. This Southwest Florida location is ideal for year-round enjoyment of boating, fishing, golfing, Several Gulf beaches, beautiful natural resources, many restaurants, parks, public tennis courts and shopping. Cultural events are held throughout the year, multiple baseball parks are also located close by. Home is located just 10 minutes from Tampa Bay Rays Training Stadium, less than 2 miles from shopping mall & many Parks, 30 minutes from multiple Gulf Beaches, Punta Gorda regional Airport is located 10 miles away which is serviced by Allegiant air. Fisherman's Village and Historic District are about 10 miles away with multiple restaurants and shopping. PRICED FOR SALE SO DON'T DELAY, CALL TODAY!

  9. 2022-05-29
    status Pending 1451-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1451 chars)

    HONEY STOP THE CAR! WE NEED TO SEE THE HOME. Nicely updated 3 bedroom, 2 bath, 2 car garage home built in 2008, just minutes from down town Port Charlotte. NO HOA, NO DEED RESTRICTIONS, AND NOT IN A FLOOD ZONE! Eat-in kitchen has lots of cabinetry, granite countertops, stainless appliances, plant shelving and closet pantry. Combination living and dining area with tall cathedral ceilings. Large master suite has a walk-in closet, an ensuite with jetted garden tub, tiles walk-in shower, dual sinks and separate commode area. Nice size guest bedrooms have wall closets and ceiling fans. Guest bath has a combination tub/shower. FENCED BACKYARD is perfect for the kiddos and fido. ROOM FOR A POOL, pool company to determine the size of pool. This Southwest Florida location is ideal for year-round enjoyment of boating, fishing, golfing, Several Gulf beaches, beautiful natural resources, many restaurants, parks, public tennis courts and shopping. Cultural events are held throughout the year, multiple baseball parks are also located close by. Home is located just 10 minutes from Tampa Bay Rays Training Stadium, less than 2 miles from shopping mall & many Parks, 30 minutes from multiple Gulf Beaches, Punta Gorda regional Airport is located 10 miles away which is serviced by Allegiant air. Fisherman's Village and Historic District are about 10 miles away with multiple restaurants and shopping. PRICED FOR SALE SO DON'T DELAY, CALL TODAY!

  10. 2022-05-26
    listed $349,900 Active 1451-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1451 chars)

    HONEY STOP THE CAR! WE NEED TO SEE THE HOME. Nicely updated 3 bedroom, 2 bath, 2 car garage home built in 2008, just minutes from down town Port Charlotte. NO HOA, NO DEED RESTRICTIONS, AND NOT IN A FLOOD ZONE! Eat-in kitchen has lots of cabinetry, granite countertops, stainless appliances, plant shelving and closet pantry. Combination living and dining area with tall cathedral ceilings. Large master suite has a walk-in closet, an ensuite with jetted garden tub, tiles walk-in shower, dual sinks and separate commode area. Nice size guest bedrooms have wall closets and ceiling fans. Guest bath has a combination tub/shower. FENCED BACKYARD is perfect for the kiddos and fido. ROOM FOR A POOL, pool company to determine the size of pool. This Southwest Florida location is ideal for year-round enjoyment of boating, fishing, golfing, Several Gulf beaches, beautiful natural resources, many restaurants, parks, public tennis courts and shopping. Cultural events are held throughout the year, multiple baseball parks are also located close by. Home is located just 10 minutes from Tampa Bay Rays Training Stadium, less than 2 miles from shopping mall & many Parks, 30 minutes from multiple Gulf Beaches, Punta Gorda regional Airport is located 10 miles away which is serviced by Allegiant air. Fisherman's Village and Historic District are about 10 miles away with multiple restaurants and shopping. PRICED FOR SALE SO DON'T DELAY, CALL TODAY!

  11. 2018-09-19
    soldstatus $184,500 Sold 635-char remark
    Show marketing remark (635 chars)

    This move-in home is secluded yet only minutes from everything, and has been meticulously cared for. The beautifully landscaped exterior paves the way for the stunning interior! There is a perfect contrast from the cream-covered walls to the rich dark wood floors creating a truly inviting environment. The kitchen has all stainless steel appliances giving any homeowner freedom to cook or host with ease. The master suite is set up for luxury with a large (8x8)walk-in closet, jacuzzi bathtub, walk-in shower, dual sinks and custom paint finished vanities! Call us today to schedule a private showing, you don't want to miss this one!

  12. 2018-09-18
    soldstatus $184,500
  13. 2018-08-18
    status Pending 635-char remark
    Show marketing remark (635 chars)

    This move-in home is secluded yet only minutes from everything, and has been meticulously cared for. The beautifully landscaped exterior paves the way for the stunning interior! There is a perfect contrast from the cream-covered walls to the rich dark wood floors creating a truly inviting environment. The kitchen has all stainless steel appliances giving any homeowner freedom to cook or host with ease. The master suite is set up for luxury with a large (8x8)walk-in closet, jacuzzi bathtub, walk-in shower, dual sinks and custom paint finished vanities! Call us today to schedule a private showing, you don't want to miss this one!

  14. 2018-08-17
    listed $184,500 Active 635-char remark
    Show marketing remark (635 chars)

    This move-in home is secluded yet only minutes from everything, and has been meticulously cared for. The beautifully landscaped exterior paves the way for the stunning interior! There is a perfect contrast from the cream-covered walls to the rich dark wood floors creating a truly inviting environment. The kitchen has all stainless steel appliances giving any homeowner freedom to cook or host with ease. The master suite is set up for luxury with a large (8x8)walk-in closet, jacuzzi bathtub, walk-in shower, dual sinks and custom paint finished vanities! Call us today to schedule a private showing, you don't want to miss this one!

  15. 2015-08-03
    soldstatus $134,500
  16. 2015-07-31
    soldstatus $134,500 Sold
  17. 2015-06-18
    status Pending
  18. 2015-06-17
    listed $130,000 Active
  19. 2008-03-11
    soldstatus $142,500
  20. 2005-03-08
    soldstatus $27,800
  21. 2005-03-04
    soldstatus $27,800
  22. 2004-12-15
    listed $27,800

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,873
− Mortgage interest
−$280
− Property taxes
−$75
− Insurance
−$25
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,990
− Management
−$1,990
− Depreciation
−$145
Taxable income
$20,368
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,888
After-tax cash flow
$14,347/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Charlotte
NCES district ID
1200240
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,864
Composite
45.62/100
National rank
#2586
State rank
#22 of 73 in FL

Livability — Port Charlotte

Score
65/100
State rank
#655
US rank
#13081

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Charlotte County · 196,994 people
City population
102,180
Metro
Punta Gorda, FL
Population (ZIP)
11,193
Household income
$78,288
Rent vs Own
19.4% rent · 80.6% own
Severe rent burden
263.0

Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
198,646 people
By 2030
210,507 · +6.0%
By 2040
230,857 · +16.2%
By 2050
247,148 · +24.4%
By 2075
281,777 · +41.8%
By 2100
293,609 · +47.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 10% Black 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Romanian 3% Subsaharan African 2%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
2008→2024 swing
-26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -51.25%
Current HPI
335.3128
Rent YoY
▼ -3.48%
Metro
Punta Gorda, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-82.0% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $5,000 NFMLS
  • 2022-07-25 Sold (Public Records) $349,900 Public Records
  • 2022-07-22 Sold (MLS) $349,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-05-29 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-05-26 Listed $349,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-09-19 Sold (MLS) $184,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-09-18 Sold (Public Records) $184,500 Public Records
  • 2018-08-18 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-08-17 Listed $184,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-08-03 Sold (Public Records) $134,500 Public Records
  • 2015-07-31 Sold (MLS) $134,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-06-18 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-06-17 Listed $130,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-03-11 Sold (Public Records) $142,500 Public Records
  • 2005-03-08 Sold (Public Records) $27,800 Public Records
  • 2005-03-04 Sold (MLS) $27,800 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-12-15 Listed $27,800 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+7.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,012 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…