🏷️ Likely Rental
4 Wendel St · Depew, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +8.0/30.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$198,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment opportunity or owner occupy at 4 Wendel in Depew! This spacious 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath single-family home sits on an impressive . 75-acre lot, offering plenty of yard space and privacy rarely found in this area. Currently tenant occupied and generating $1,750/month in rental income, this property makes for an excellent turnkey addition to any investment portfolio. Can be purchased as a package with the duplex in the front, the duplex in the back, and the vacant lot as soon as you pull into the cul-de-sac, creating a rare opportunity for investors looking to acquire multiple neighboring properties. Whether purchased individually or as part of the package, this property offers immediate income and long-term upside!
Key facts
- 0.75 acre lot
- Built 1929
- Listed 66 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $198k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-201 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $162k (18.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $168k (15.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $162k (18.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 3.7% in Depew — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#408 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Depew Union Free School District (suburban): math 39% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #461 of 590 in NY (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 124 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($186k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $115k; list at $198k implies a 72% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.36%
- DSCR
- 0.81
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $306,108
- List price
- $198,000
- Delta
- -35.32%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70 Irwinwood Rd | 0.39mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,116 (-2%) | 1mo | $240,000 | $215 | 73 |
| 149 Irwinwood Rd | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (+6%) | 8mo | $305,000 | $254 | 68 |
| 27 S Irwinwood Rd | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,236 (+9%) | 5mo | $265,000 | $214 | 60 |
| 61 Southwest Pkwy | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,174 (+3%) | 5mo | $300,000 | $256 | 60 |
| 27 Wilma Dr | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,068 (-6%) | 8mo | $325,000 | $304 | 60 |
| 143 West Ave | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (-11%) | 8mo | $290,000 | $288 | 58 |
| 84 Kurtz Ave | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 | 1,171 (+3%) | 9mo | $330,000 | $282 | 58 |
| 15 Wilkshire Pl | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,160 (+2%) | 7mo | $350,000 | $302 | 58 |
| 50 Hawro Pl | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (+6%) | 8mo | $197,000 | $164 | 57 |
| 62 Benson Dr | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 | 1,215 (+7%) | 5mo | $250,000 | $206 | 55 |
| 64 Gordon Ave | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,212 (+7%) | 6mo | $290,000 | $239 | 52 |
| 101 Kurtz Ave | 0.56mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 975 (-14%) | 9mo | $305,000 | $313 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.75% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.28×
- Total profit
- $-40,008
- Equity at exit
- $29,522
- IRR
- -7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-30,128
- Equity at exit
- $17,119
Cash invested: $55,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14043
- Home prices YoY
- -34.2%
- Rents YoY
- 5.8%
- Active inventory
- 124
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,678 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,038
- Tax from tax record
- −$406 /mo · $4,876/yr
- Insurance
- −$82
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$352
- Net cashflow
- $-201
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-89 | -5% $-145 | +0% $-201 | +5% $-257 | +10% $-313 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-334 | -5% $-268 | +0% $-201 | +5% $-135 | +10% $-69 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-102 | -0.5pp $-151 | base $-201 | +0.5pp $-253 | +1.0pp $-305 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,500
- Closing costs
- $5,940
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5050 Transit Rd Apt 306 Depew, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1195 | $1,999 | $1.67 | 3d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| Cowing St Lancaster, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1450 | $1,400 | $0.97 | 45d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 136 Sawyer Ave Unit 2 Depew, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 45d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1331 Borden Rd Unit R Depew, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1175 | $1,595 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 5841 Transit Rd Unit 3 Depew, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,335 | $1.78 | 4d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $198,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $198,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $198,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $198,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $198,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $198,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $198,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $198,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $198,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $198,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $198,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $198,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $198,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $198,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-04-15$198,000 Active 736-char remark
Show marketing remark (736 chars)
Great investment opportunity or owner occupy at 4 Wendel in Depew! This spacious 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath single-family home sits on an impressive . 75-acre lot, offering plenty of yard space and privacy rarely found in this area. Currently tenant occupied and generating $1,750/month in rental income, this property makes for an excellent turnkey addition to any investment portfolio. Can be purchased as a package with the duplex in the front, the duplex in the back, and the vacant lot as soon as you pull into the cul-de-sac, creating a rare opportunity for investors looking to acquire multiple neighboring properties. Whether purchased individually or as part of the package, this property offers immediate income and long-term upside!
-
2026-04-06historical
-
2025-10-06$899,000 Active
-
2013-11-08soldstatus $115,000
-
2013-11-08soldstatus $115,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,876 · $406/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,876 · $406/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥92°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,140
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,091
- − Property taxes
- −$4,876
- − Insurance
- −$990
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,611
- − Management
- −$1,611
- − Depreciation
- −$5,760
- Taxable loss
- −$5,799
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,392
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,023/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Depew Union Free School District
- NCES district ID
- 3609030
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,488
- Composite
- 38.33/100
- National rank
- #4224
- State rank
- #461 of 590 in NY
Livability — Depew
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #408
- US rank
- #7016
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Depew, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 25,098
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,098
- Household income
- $74,112
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 854.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 30% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Arabic 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -152.13%
- Current HPI
- 292.1082
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.75%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+72.2% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Listed $198,000 WNYREIS
- 2026-04-06 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2025-10-06 Listed $899,000 WNYREIS
- 2013-11-08 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 2013-11-08 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $4,876 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…