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1223 Lake St
A- Composite 80.15
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

1223 Lake St · Kalamazoo, MI 49001
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,622 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 43 Days on market
Built 1906 6,970 sqft lot Est $182k · 45% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Looking for a 4 bedrooms home with 2 full bathrooms, enclosed front porch, 2 car detached garage, fenced in back yard corner lot. This home has what you are looking for.

Key facts

  • Fenced in back yard
  • Corner lot
  • Enclosed front porch

Tags

ENCLOSED FRONT PORCHFENCED IN BACK YARDCORNER LOT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Traditional single-family residence; Residential property; Built in 1906
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Full and crawlspace basement
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; Lot is approximately 0.16 acres; Public water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Total of 6 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Storm windows; Window screens
  • Laundry & utility: Basement access (full and crawl space)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $610 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.6% vs local median 4.1% in Kalamazoo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#141 in MI, #3,492 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Kalamazoo Public Schools (urban): math 43% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #71 of 540 in MI (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.4%/yr); 109 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 339 units permitted in Kalamazoo County in 2024 (22 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kalamazoo County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.4% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $96,903 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.75%
Cap rate
13.63%
Cash-on-cash
26.19%
DSCR
2.17
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$181,664
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1113 Egleston Ave 0.32mi 4/1.5 1,611 (-1%) 1mo $180,000 $112 83
1005 Washington Ave 0.22mi 4/1.5 1,600 (-1%) 6mo $109,900 $69 82
1324 Jackson St 0.13mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,630 (+0%) 8mo $200,000 $123 80
1006 Hays Park Ave 0.48mi 4/2.0 1,613 (-1%) 1mo $185,000 $115 74
1510 Egleston Ave 0.38mi 4/2.0 1,566 (-4%) 1mo $200,000 $128 74
901 Clarence St 0.17mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,494 (-8%) 3mo $174,900 $117 72
1116 March St 0.08mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,396 (-14%) 4mo $69,900 $50 63
1204 March St 0.13mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,390 (-14%) 1mo $192,000 $138 62
719 Millard Ct 0.52mi 4/1.0 1,522 (-6%) 2mo $165,000 $108 62
923 Stockbridge Ave 0.31mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,461 (-10%) 3mo $148,000 $101 60
1109 Hays Park Ave 0.44mi 4/2.0 1,760 (+8%) 7mo $75,000 $43 58
855 Lay Blvd 0.59mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,510 (-7%) 6mo $160,000 $106 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.41% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.0%
Equity multiple
2.04×
Total profit
$28,955
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
34.1%
Equity multiple
4.68×
Total profit
$102,832
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49001

Rents YoY
6.4%
Active inventory
109
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,745 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$203 /mo · $2,432/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$366
Net cashflow
$610

Break-even live

Break-even rent $972
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
807 Central Park Cir Kalamazoo, MI 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1089 $2,345 $2.15 13d 12 1.38mi

Listing history 36 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    status $99,900 Pending 43 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $99,900 Active 43 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,900 Active 42 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,900 Active 41 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,900 Active 40 DOM
  6. 2026-06-05
    days on market $99,900 Active 37 DOM
  7. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,900 Active 36 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    remarks 245-char remark
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,900 Active 35 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,900 Active 34 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 33 DOM
  12. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,900 Active 32 DOM
  13. 2026-05-20
    price $99,900 169-char remark
    Show marketing remark (170 chars)

    Looking for a 4 bedrooms home with 2 full bathrooms, enclosed front porch, 2 car detached garage, fenced in back yard corner lot. This home has what you are looking for.

  14. 2026-05-20
    price $99,900 170-char remark
    Show marketing remark (170 chars)

    Looking for a 4 bedrooms home with 2 full bathrooms, enclosed front porch, 2 car detached garage, fenced in back yard corner lot. This home has what you are looking for.

  15. 2026-05-20
    price $99,900
    Show marketing remark (170 chars)

    Looking for a 4 bedrooms home with 2 full bathrooms, enclosed front porch, 2 car detached garage, fenced in back yard corner lot. This home has what you are looking for.

  16. 2026-04-27
    listed $109,900 Active 169-char remark
    Show marketing remark (170 chars)

    Looking for a 4 bedrooms home with 2 full bathrooms, enclosed front porch, 2 car detached garage, fenced in back yard corner lot. This home has what you are looking for.

  17. 2026-04-27
    listed $109,900 Active 170-char remark
    Show marketing remark (170 chars)

    Looking for a 4 bedrooms home with 2 full bathrooms, enclosed front porch, 2 car detached garage, fenced in back yard corner lot. This home has what you are looking for.

  18. 2026-04-27
    listed $109,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (170 chars)

    Looking for a 4 bedrooms home with 2 full bathrooms, enclosed front porch, 2 car detached garage, fenced in back yard corner lot. This home has what you are looking for.

  19. 2022-12-16
    soldstatus $92,000 Sold
  20. 2022-12-16
    soldstatus $92,000 Sold
  21. 2022-12-16
    soldstatus $92,000 Closed
  22. 2022-10-26
    status Pending
  23. 2022-10-26
    status Pending
  24. 2022-10-26
    status Pending
  25. 2022-10-12
    price $90,000
  26. 2022-10-11
    price $90,000
  27. 2022-10-11
    status Active
  28. 2022-10-11
    status Active
  29. 2022-10-11
    price $90,000
  30. 2022-10-11
    status Active
  31. 2022-10-03
    status Pending
  32. 2022-10-03
    status Pending
  33. 2022-10-02
    historical
  34. 2022-09-23
    listed $100,000 Active
  35. 2022-09-23
    listed $100,000 Active
  36. 2022-09-23
    listed $100,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,432 · $203/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,432 · $203/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,941
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$2,432
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,675
− Management
−$1,675
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$6,156
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,478
After-tax cash flow
$5,847/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kalamazoo Public Schools
NCES district ID
2619950
Math proficiency
43% ▲ 13.00%
Reading proficiency
72% ▲ 33.00%
Median HH income
$35,291
Composite
47.48/100
National rank
#2275
State rank
#71 of 540 in MI

Livability — Kalamazoo

Score
76/100
State rank
#141
US rank
#3492

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kalamazoo, MI
County
Kalamazoo County · 224,317 people
City population
121,397
Metro
Kalamazoo-Portage, MI
Population (ZIP)
20,946
Household income
$56,432
Rent vs Own
48.1% rent · 51.9% own
Severe rent burden
1184.0

Population outlook (Kalamazoo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
280,982 people
By 2030
292,068 · +3.9%
By 2040
312,191 · +11.1%
By 2050
331,196 · +17.9%
By 2075
379,021 · +34.9%
By 2100
396,579 · +41.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 5% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Iranian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 11% Arabic 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kalamazoo

2024 margin
D (+17.7) · D 58.0% · R 40.3% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-1.8pp toward R · 2008: 19.5pp · 2024: 17.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.7 2020: D+18.7 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+13.3 2008: D+19.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -264.90%
Current HPI
206.9355
Rent YoY
▲ 6.41%
Metro
Kalamazoo-Portage, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-0.1% since first listed
24 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $99,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $99,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $99,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $109,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $109,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $109,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-12-16 Sold (MLS) $92,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-12-16 Sold (MLS) $92,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2022-12-16 Sold (MLS) $92,000 REALCOMP
  • 2022-10-26 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-10-26 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2022-10-26 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2022-10-12 Price Changed $90,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-10-11 Price Changed $90,000 REALCOMP
  • 2022-10-11 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-10-11 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2022-10-11 Price Changed $90,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2022-10-11 Relisted SW Michigan MLS
  • 2022-10-03 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2022-10-03 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2022-10-02 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-09-23 Listed $100,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-09-23 Listed $100,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2022-09-23 Listed $100,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+14.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,432 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…