809 N Mason St · Bicknell, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.0/30.0
- ARV discount +12.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.3/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$114,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great curb appeal! This cozy 2 bedroom home boasts with character. Covered front porch, eat-in kitchen with pantry, living room, arched doorways and hardwood floors. Laundry room, mud room. Shed, and large back yard. Off Street parking. Nicely landscaped.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Pantry
- Laundry room
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence, site-built; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric oven
- Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms (includes bedrooms and living areas)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Main-level laundry; Crawl space basement; One fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $114k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $77 ($922/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $101k (11.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $101k (11.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#373 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- North Knox School Corporation (rural): math 28% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #186 of 301 in IN (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: North Knox Intermediate (math 33% / reading 41%, grade F, #550 of 994 statewide, top 57%, 388 students, 58% FRL); North Knox Jr-Sr High School (math 22% / reading 50%, grade F, #261 of 369 statewide, top 71%, 543 students, 56% FRL).
- Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 36 units permitted in Knox County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $792 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Knox County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1919 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1919 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.88%
- DSCR
- 1.13
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $127,368
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 221 W 11th St | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,055 (+1%) | 7mo | $46,000 | $44 | 80 |
| 316 W 8th St | 0.10mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,117 (+7%) | 1mo | $103,000 | $92 | 76 |
| 508 W 5th St | 0.21mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,064 (+2%) | 7mo | $144,000 | $135 | 74 |
| 418 W 7th St | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,140 (+9%) | 5mo | $99,900 | $88 | 68 |
| 312 E 4th St | 0.33mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,058 (+1%) | 10mo | $170,000 | $161 | 65 |
| 750 W Oak St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,065 (+2%) | 7mo | $144,000 | $135 | 62 |
| 1008 Miami St | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,180 (+13%) | 5mo | $125,000 | $106 | 57 |
| 312 E 2nd St. St | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,121 (+7%) | 10mo | $130,000 | $116 | 54 |
| 7625 N ST RD 159 | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,144 (+10%) | 2mo | $148,900 | $130 | 51 |
| 721 N Dant Blvd | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,112 (+6%) | 4mo | $153,000 | $138 | 49 |
| 119 Lemon St | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,120 (+7%) | 7mo | $105,500 | $94 | 47 |
| 813 N Charles St | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 984 (-6%) | 8mo | $120,000 | $122 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-13,686
- Equity at exit
- $17,072
- IRR
- -2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-5,724
- Equity at exit
- $9,900
Cash invested: $32,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47512
- Home prices YoY
- -32.1%
- Active inventory
- 34
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,013 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$600
- Tax from tax record
- −$75 /mo · $900/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$213
- Net cashflow
- $77
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $142 | -5% $109 | +0% $77 | +5% $44 | +10% $12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-3 | -5% $37 | +0% $77 | +5% $117 | +10% $157 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $135 | -0.5pp $106 | base $77 | +0.5pp $47 | +1.0pp $17 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,625
- Closing costs
- $3,435
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $114,500 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $114,500 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $114,500 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $114,500 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $114,500 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $114,500 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $114,500 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $114,500 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 257-char remark
-
2026-06-09$114,500 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $900 · $75/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $937 · $78/mo
- Expected delta
- +$37/yr (+$3/mo · 4.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,152
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,414
- − Property taxes
- −$900
- − Insurance
- −$572
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$972
- − Management
- −$972
- − Depreciation
- −$3,331
- Taxable loss
- −$1,010
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$242
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,164/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Knox School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1807830
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,553
- Composite
- 30.82/100
- National rank
- #6139
- State rank
- #186 of 301 in IN
Livability — Bicknell
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #373
- US rank
- #13970
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bicknell, IN
- City population
- 4,216
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,216
Population outlook (Knox County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,092 people
- By 2030
- 36,271 · -2.2%
- By 2040
- 34,196 · -7.8%
- By 2050
- 32,405 · -12.6%
- By 2075
- 28,754 · -22.5%
- By 2100
- 24,110 · -35.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Tagalog/Filipino 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Knox
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.4) · D 24.0% · R 74.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -43.9pp toward R · 2008: -6.5pp · 2024: -50.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.4 2020: R+47.4 2016: R+47.2 2012: R+28.9 2008: R+6.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -90.85%
- Current HPI
- 191.8851
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $114,500 IRMLS
Property tax history
-0.2%/yrLatest (2024): $900 · +18.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…