955 Colfax Ave · Benton Harbor, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 8 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This charming and spacious home in Benton Harbor offers space and comfort in a great location! Just minutes from Benton Harbor High School, this 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath property boasts over 2,500 square feet of living space. Enjoy large, light-filled rooms, great flow for entertaining, and plenty of potential to make it your own. Main floor laundry. There's an 18x20 garage and 10x20 carport as well. Great opportunity to build instant sweat equity!
Key facts
- 6,149 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1930
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Natural gas for water heating
- Home design: Traditional single-family residence; Built in 1930; Living area approximately 2,688
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Paved road frontage; Sidewalk
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Seven total rooms; Partial Michigan-style basement
- Laundry & utility: Natural gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $102k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 24.1% vs local median 7.4% in Benton Harbor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#671 in MI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Benton Harbor Area Schools (urban): math 4% / reading 7% proficiency, ranked #732 of 760 in MI (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 89% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 179 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 397 units permitted in Berrien County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Berrien County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.70% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 63.45%
- DSCR
- 3.82
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $217,278
- List price
- $105,000
- Delta
- -51.67%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1118 Colfax Ave | 0.21mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,512 (-6%) | 10mo | $63,500 | $25 | 58 |
| 1132 Hannah Ct | 0.25mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,536 (-6%) | 19mo | $210,000 | $83 | 52 |
| 576 Colfax Ave | 0.48mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,470 (-8%) | 7mo | $295,000 | $119 | 47 |
| 152 Lake Ave | 0.72mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 3,041 (+13%) | 12mo | $102,500 | $34 | 28 |
| 749 Pipestone St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 2,288 (-15%) | 13mo | $237,114 | $104 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 62.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.79×
- Total profit
- $82,017
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- 67.0%
- Equity multiple
- 7.77×
- Total profit
- $198,982
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49022
- Active inventory
- 179
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,832 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$88 /mo · $1,059/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$595
- Net cashflow
- $1,555
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1319 Lewis Ave Saint Joseph, MI | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2280 | $2,970 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 916 Broad St St Joseph, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1900 | $2,650 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
Listing history 26 events
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2026-06-19days on market $105,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $105,000 Active 42 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $105,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $105,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $105,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $105,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $105,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $105,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $105,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $105,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $105,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $105,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $105,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $105,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $105,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $105,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-07historical
Show marketing remark (447 chars)
This charming and spacious home in Benton Harbor offers space and comfort in a great location! Just minutes from Benton Harbor High School, this 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath property boasts over 2,500 square feet of living space. Enjoy large, light-filled rooms, great flow for entertaining, and plenty of potential to make it your own. Main floor laundry. There's an 18x20 garage and 10x20 carport as well. Great opportunity to build instant sweat equity!
-
2026-05-07$105,000 Active 447-char remark
Show marketing remark (447 chars)
This charming and spacious home in Benton Harbor offers space and comfort in a great location! Just minutes from Benton Harbor High School, this 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath property boasts over 2,500 square feet of living space. Enjoy large, light-filled rooms, great flow for entertaining, and plenty of potential to make it your own. Main floor laundry. There's an 18x20 garage and 10x20 carport as well. Great opportunity to build instant sweat equity!
-
2026-05-07$105,000 Active
Show marketing remark (447 chars)
This charming and spacious home in Benton Harbor offers space and comfort in a great location! Just minutes from Benton Harbor High School, this 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath property boasts over 2,500 square feet of living space. Enjoy large, light-filled rooms, great flow for entertaining, and plenty of potential to make it your own. Main floor laundry. There's an 18x20 garage and 10x20 carport as well. Great opportunity to build instant sweat equity!
-
2026-05-07$105,000 Active
Show marketing remark (447 chars)
This charming and spacious home in Benton Harbor offers space and comfort in a great location! Just minutes from Benton Harbor High School, this 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath property boasts over 2,500 square feet of living space. Enjoy large, light-filled rooms, great flow for entertaining, and plenty of potential to make it your own. Main floor laundry. There's an 18x20 garage and 10x20 carport as well. Great opportunity to build instant sweat equity!
-
2026-04-08status Active
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2026-04-08status Active
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2026-02-20historical
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2026-02-20historical
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2025-11-06$105,000 Active
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2025-11-03$105,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,059 · $88/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,338 · $111/mo
- Expected delta
- +$279/yr (+$23/mo · 26.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,983
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$1,059
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,719
- − Management
- −$2,719
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $18,026
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,326
- After-tax cash flow
- $14,329/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Benton Harbor Area Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2604830
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,038
- Composite
- 7.53/100
- National rank
- #14787
- State rank
- #732 of 760 in MI
Livability — Benton Harbor
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #671
- US rank
- #23724
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Benton Harbor, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,796
Population outlook (Berrien County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 149,273 people
- By 2030
- 145,211 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 135,435 · -9.3%
- By 2050
- 125,543 · -15.9%
- By 2075
- 103,986 · -30.3%
- By 2100
- 82,256 · -44.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 50% White 37% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Berrien
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+7.9) · D 45.4% · R 53.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.3pp toward R · 2008: 5.5pp · 2024: -7.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+7.9 2020: R+7.4 2016: R+12.7 2012: R+6.6 2008: D+5.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -309.81%
- Current HPI
- 209.9723
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Listed $105,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-07 Listed $105,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $105,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-07 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-08 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-08 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-02-20 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-02-20 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-11-06 Listed $105,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-11-03 Listed $105,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2024): $1,059 · +6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…