3120 Live Oak Blvd #2 · Yuba City, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 28 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 32 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.2/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.7/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -6.4
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Step into your ideal home at Del Wayne Estates, a highly desirable park! This spacious 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home welcomes you with soaring cathedral ceilings and large windows that flood the living room with natural light. The kitchen is ready for your culinary creations, and the master bedroom offers a peaceful retreat with its own bath. Stay cool this summer with the newer HVAC, just about 3 years old. Exterior work and paint completed this year along with some interior painting making this home move in ready. Unwind on your shaded front porch and soak in the community's charm. Don't miss out, schedule your tour today and make this your next home!
Key facts
- 3,877 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1989
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $513 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $100k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 3.5% in Yuba City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#111 in CA, #3,863 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, cost of living F.
- Yuba City Unified (urban): math 20% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #263 of 517 in CA (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: April Lane Elementary (464 students, 81% FRL); Gray Avenue Middle (688 students, 89% FRL); River Valley High (math 23% / reading 53%, grade F, #571 of 1,170 statewide, top 49%, 1,771 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 58% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 270 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 117d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 77% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 73 units permitted in Sutter County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sutter County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.47% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.00%
- DSCR
- 1.89
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $125,878
- List price
- $110,000
- Delta
- -0.70%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1155 Pease Rd #408 | 0.27mi | 2/2.0 | 1,404 (+4%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $110 | 78 |
| 3120 Live Oak Blvd #167 | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,338 (-0%) | 11mo | $140,000 | $105 | 78 |
| 1155 Pease Rd #224 | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 | 1,320 (-2%) | 7mo | $100,000 | $76 | 75 |
| 3120 Live Oak Blvd #20 | 0.04mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 14mo | $202,000 | $140 | 75 |
| 1155 Pease Rd #304 | 0.37mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 1mo | $129,000 | $90 | 70 |
| 3120 Live Oak #44 | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (+7%) | 16mo | $177,500 | $123 | 59 |
| 1155 Pease Rd #109 | 0.40mi | 2/2.0 | 1,224 (-9%) | 9mo | $127,150 | $104 | 59 |
| 1155 Pease Rd #59 | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,512 (+12%) | 3mo | $125,000 | $83 | 56 |
| 1155 Pease Rd #502 | 0.25mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (-14%) | 12mo | $67,000 | $58 | 55 |
| 1155 Pease Rd #118 | 0.38mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (-11%) | 12mo | $51,000 | $43 | 55 |
| 1155 Pease Rd #514 | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,536 (+14%) | 3mo | $115,000 | $75 | 51 |
| 1155 Pease Rd #517 | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,536 (+14%) | 8mo | $95,000 | $62 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.79% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.42×
- Total profit
- $12,950
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 18.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.48×
- Total profit
- $45,702
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 11 active · 7 under contract
- Months of supply
- 13.2 mo (8%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $119,999 ($114/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 79 d
- This list price
- 18% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -17.6% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 95991
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 270
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,612 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$138 /mo · $1,650/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$339
- Net cashflow
- $513
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $589 | -5% $551 | +0% $513 | +5% $475 | +10% $437 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $386 | -5% $450 | +0% $513 | +5% $577 | +10% $641 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $569 | -0.5pp $541 | base $513 | +0.5pp $485 | +1.0pp $456 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1031 Beymer Loop Yuba City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1689 | $2,800 | $1.66 | 0d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 1101 Northgate Dr Yuba City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1817 | $2,300 | $1.27 | 139d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1335 Meadowlark Way Yuba City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1710 | $2,500 | $1.46 | 139d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1722 Clark Ave Yuba City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1479 | $2,500 | $1.69 | 116d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1290 Northgate Dr Unit 81 Yuba City, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 941 | $1,500 | $1.59 | 139d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1138 Forestwood Dr Yuba City, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 964 | $2,025 | $2.10 | 116d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1199 Casita Dr #1 Yuba City, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 116d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1171 Kenny Dr Yuba City, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 139d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1171 Kenny Dr Unit 10 Yuba City, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,375 | $1.53 | 139d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1171 Kenny Dr Unit 3 Yuba City, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 6d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1518 Upland Dr Unit 1518 Yuba City, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1084 | $1,900 | $1.75 | 139d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 345 Grant Way Unit 22 Yuba City, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,395 | $1.55 | 108d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1456 Live Oak Blvd Yuba City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1522 | $2,295 | $1.51 | 6d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community
- No homeowners associationLocated in a senior communityLand lease: No (listed land lease amount present but property indicated as not land lease)
Exterior
- Parking
- Covered parking for 2 vehicles
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewer220V outlet in laundryCable connectedInternet availableNatural gas connected
- Home design
- Manufactured in park (double wide)Fleetwood Sandal Wood modelBuilt in 1989
- Construction
- Wood skirting
- Exterior features
- Composition roofShed(s) on propertyLot features: Other
Interior
- Kitchen
- Free standing gas rangeRange hoodDishwasher
- Bedrooms
- 2 bedrooms (includes master bedroom)
- Flooring
- CarpetLaminateTile
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathroomsBathtub and tub/shower over combination
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatingCentral coolingCeiling fan(s)
- Interior features
- Cathedral/vaulted living room ceiling with open beam detailSkylight in kitchenCovered deckPets allowed
- Laundry & utility
- Laundry hookups inside (inside room/area)
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $110,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $110,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $110,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-09-20pricedays on market $110,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $125,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $125,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $125,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $125,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $125,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $125,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $125,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $125,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $125,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $125,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $125,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $125,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $125,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $125,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $125,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $125,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-08-26days on market $125,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $125,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $125,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $125,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-08-22pricedays on market $125,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $135,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $135,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $135,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $135,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $135,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $135,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $135,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-08-14days on market $135,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $135,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $135,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $135,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $135,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $135,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $135,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $135,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $135,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $135,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $135,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $135,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $135,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $135,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $135,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $135,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-07-25remarks 667-char remark
-
2026-07-25days on market $135,000 Active 40 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 28 unhealthy d/yr today · 32 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,343
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,650
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,547
- − Management
- −$1,547
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $4,687
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,125
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,034/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This manufactured home is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. Painting the exterior and replacing the carpet would significantly enhance its resale and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both Replace carpet — Improves comfort and aesthetics ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Yuba City Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0643470
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,923
- Composite
- 31.55/100
- National rank
- #5956
- State rank
- #263 of 517 in CA
Livability — Yuba City
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #111
- US rank
- #3863
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Yuba City, CA
- County
- Sutter County · 97,244 people
- City population
- 81,625
- Metro
- Yuba City, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,579
- Household income
- $70,590
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 16% of renters
Population outlook (Sutter County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 97,244 people
- By 2030
- 97,170 · -0.1%
- By 2040
- 96,137 · -1.1%
- By 2050
- 93,604 · -3.7%
- By 2075
- 85,008 · -12.6%
- By 2100
- 71,584 · -26.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 41% White 37% Two or more races 19% Asian 12% Black 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 36% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Russian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 24% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 60% English-only · Spanish 28% Other Indo-European 10% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sutter
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.1% · R 64.5% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.7pp toward R · 2008: -16.7pp · 2024: -31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+16.4 2016: R+16.3 2012: R+21.8 2008: R+16.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -343.11%
- Current HPI
- 240.3835
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.79%
- Metro
- Yuba City, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…