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1505/1507 NW Rustic Dr Duplex
C Composite 56.77
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.4/30.0
  • DSCR +8.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.7/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$234,900

1505/1507 NW Rustic Dr · Cleveland, TN 37312
4 bd · 4.0 ba · 1,590 sqft · MultiFamily · 759 Days on market
Built 1984 9,147 sqft lot Est $226k · at est. ↓ 2% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Great Investment opportunity! Great NW city location. Duplex with 2 bedrooms & 1 1/2 baths, kitchen, living room, washer/dryer hookups. Live in one side & rent the other or build your own 401K. Tenants pay electric, water, & sewer. Get out of the Stock Market & create wealth today. Drive by showings only. No inside showings until acceptable offer is obtained.

Key facts

  • 9,147 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1984

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No community features

Exterior

  • Parking: Has garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Duplex residential income property; Two levels; Entry at kitchen level
  • Construction: Built with other construction materials; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Electric range
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 2 half bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Refrigerator; Electric range

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $235k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $540 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $270/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $235k).
  • Recommended offer: $207k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 3.5% in Cleveland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#55 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Cleveland (urban): math 23% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #85 of 139 in TN (top 61%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Candy'S Creek Cherokee Elementary School (math 43% / reading 47%, grade D-, #158 of 952 statewide, top 17%, 471 students, 0% FRL); Cleveland Middle (math 25% / reading 26%, grade F, #147 of 333 statewide, top 45%, 1,271 students, 0% FRL); Cleveland High (math 8% / reading 29%, grade F, #208 of 332 statewide, top 63%, 1,842 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 53% district-wide (53 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 549 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 768 units permitted in Bradley County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bradley County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 759 days — a 12% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $206,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 759 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
9.05%
Cash-on-cash
9.85%
DSCR
1.44
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$225,780
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4801/4803 Frontage Road Rd 0.09mi 4/3.0 1,760 (+11%) 5mo $250,000 $142 70
1034 NW Hamilton Cir 0.66mi 4/2.0 1,800 (+13%) 22mo $250,000 $139 21

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.15% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.7%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-11,284
Equity at exit
$35,024
10-year hold
IRR
1.2%
Equity multiple
1.08×
Total profit
$5,012
Equity at exit
$20,310

Cash invested: $65,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37312

Rents YoY
0.1%
Active inventory
549
Price-to-rent
14.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,738 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,232
Tax est. 1.5%
$294 /mo · $3,524/yr
Insurance
$98
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$575
Net cashflow
$540

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,055
Max offer price $234,900
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $702 -5% $621 +0% $540 +5% $459 +10% $377
Rent -10% $323 -5% $432 +0% $540 +5% $648 +10% $756
Rate -1.0pp $658 -0.5pp $599 base $540 +0.5pp $479 +1.0pp $417

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,738

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$58,725
Closing costs
$7,047
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-05-07
    historical Active Under Contract 384-char remark
    Show marketing remark (384 chars)

    Great Investment opportunity! Great NW city location. Duplex with 2 bedrooms & 1 1/2 baths, kitchen, living room, washer/dryer hookups. Live in one side & rent the other or build your own 401K. Tenants pay electric, water, & sewer. Get out of the Stock Market & create wealth today. Drive by showings only. No inside showings until acceptable offer is obtained.

  2. 2026-05-07
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (384 chars)

    Great Investment opportunity! Great NW city location. Duplex with 2 bedrooms & 1 1/2 baths, kitchen, living room, washer/dryer hookups. Live in one side & rent the other or build your own 401K. Tenants pay electric, water, & sewer. Get out of the Stock Market & create wealth today. Drive by showings only. No inside showings until acceptable offer is obtained.

  3. 2026-04-28
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (384 chars)

    Great Investment opportunity! Great NW city location. Duplex with 2 bedrooms & 1 1/2 baths, kitchen, living room, washer/dryer hookups. Live in one side & rent the other or build your own 401K. Tenants pay electric, water, & sewer. Get out of the Stock Market & create wealth today. Drive by showings only. No inside showings until acceptable offer is obtained.

  4. 2026-04-28
    status Active 384-char remark
    Show marketing remark (384 chars)

    Great Investment opportunity! Great NW city location. Duplex with 2 bedrooms & 1 1/2 baths, kitchen, living room, washer/dryer hookups. Live in one side & rent the other or build your own 401K. Tenants pay electric, water, & sewer. Get out of the Stock Market & create wealth today. Drive by showings only. No inside showings until acceptable offer is obtained.

  5. 2026-04-15
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (384 chars)

    Great Investment opportunity! Great NW city location. Duplex with 2 bedrooms & 1 1/2 baths, kitchen, living room, washer/dryer hookups. Live in one side & rent the other or build your own 401K. Tenants pay electric, water, & sewer. Get out of the Stock Market & create wealth today. Drive by showings only. No inside showings until acceptable offer is obtained.

  6. 2026-04-15
    historical Active Under Contract 384-char remark
    Show marketing remark (384 chars)

    Great Investment opportunity! Great NW city location. Duplex with 2 bedrooms & 1 1/2 baths, kitchen, living room, washer/dryer hookups. Live in one side & rent the other or build your own 401K. Tenants pay electric, water, & sewer. Get out of the Stock Market & create wealth today. Drive by showings only. No inside showings until acceptable offer is obtained.

  7. 2025-06-16
    status Active
  8. 2025-04-24
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (384 chars)

    Great Investment opportunity! Great NW city location. Duplex with 2 bedrooms & 1 1/2 baths, kitchen, living room, washer/dryer hookups. Live in one side & rent the other or build your own 401K. Tenants pay electric, water, & sewer. Get out of the Stock Market & create wealth today. Drive by showings only. No inside showings until acceptable offer is obtained.

  9. 2025-04-24
    status Active 384-char remark
    Show marketing remark (384 chars)

    Great Investment opportunity! Great NW city location. Duplex with 2 bedrooms & 1 1/2 baths, kitchen, living room, washer/dryer hookups. Live in one side & rent the other or build your own 401K. Tenants pay electric, water, & sewer. Get out of the Stock Market & create wealth today. Drive by showings only. No inside showings until acceptable offer is obtained.

  10. 2025-04-21
    historical Active Under Contract 384-char remark
    Show marketing remark (384 chars)

    Great Investment opportunity! Great NW city location. Duplex with 2 bedrooms & 1 1/2 baths, kitchen, living room, washer/dryer hookups. Live in one side & rent the other or build your own 401K. Tenants pay electric, water, & sewer. Get out of the Stock Market & create wealth today. Drive by showings only. No inside showings until acceptable offer is obtained.

  11. 2025-04-21
    historical Active Under Contract
    Show marketing remark (384 chars)

    Great Investment opportunity! Great NW city location. Duplex with 2 bedrooms & 1 1/2 baths, kitchen, living room, washer/dryer hookups. Live in one side & rent the other or build your own 401K. Tenants pay electric, water, & sewer. Get out of the Stock Market & create wealth today. Drive by showings only. No inside showings until acceptable offer is obtained.

  12. 2024-07-12
    price $234,900
    Show marketing remark (384 chars)

    Great Investment opportunity! Great NW city location. Duplex with 2 bedrooms & 1 1/2 baths, kitchen, living room, washer/dryer hookups. Live in one side & rent the other or build your own 401K. Tenants pay electric, water, & sewer. Get out of the Stock Market & create wealth today. Drive by showings only. No inside showings until acceptable offer is obtained.

  13. 2024-07-12
    price $234,900 384-char remark
    Show marketing remark (384 chars)

    Great Investment opportunity! Great NW city location. Duplex with 2 bedrooms & 1 1/2 baths, kitchen, living room, washer/dryer hookups. Live in one side & rent the other or build your own 401K. Tenants pay electric, water, & sewer. Get out of the Stock Market & create wealth today. Drive by showings only. No inside showings until acceptable offer is obtained.

  14. 2024-01-30
    listed $239,900 Active
  15. 2024-01-23
    listed $239,900 Active 384-char remark
    Show marketing remark (384 chars)

    Great Investment opportunity! Great NW city location. Duplex with 2 bedrooms & 1 1/2 baths, kitchen, living room, washer/dryer hookups. Live in one side & rent the other or build your own 401K. Tenants pay electric, water, & sewer. Get out of the Stock Market & create wealth today. Drive by showings only. No inside showings until acceptable offer is obtained.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,856
− Mortgage interest
−$13,158
− Property taxes
−$3,524
− Insurance
−$1,174
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,628
− Management
−$2,628
− Depreciation
−$6,833
Taxable income
$2,910
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$698
After-tax cash flow
$5,778/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cleveland
NCES district ID
4700690
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$37,612
Composite
21.28/100
National rank
#8394
State rank
#85 of 139 in TN

Livability — Cleveland

Score
70/100
State rank
#55
US rank
#7689

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cleveland, TN
County
Bradley County · 99,337 people
City population
99,337
Metro
Cleveland, TN
Population (ZIP)
36,669
Household income
$78,261
Rent vs Own
33.1% rent · 66.9% own
Severe rent burden
908.0

Population outlook (Bradley County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
114,901 people
By 2030
120,137 · +4.6%
By 2040
130,125 · +13.2%
By 2050
139,257 · +21.2%
By 2075
161,664 · +40.7%
By 2100
179,767 · +56.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 4% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bradley

2024 margin
Solid R (+58.9) · D 20.0% · R 78.9% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-9.2pp toward R · 2008: -49.7pp · 2024: -58.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+58.9 2020: R+55.3 2016: R+59.1 2012: R+53.9 2008: R+49.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -206.27%
Current HPI
260.8746
Rent YoY
▲ 0.15%
Metro
Cleveland, TN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-2.1% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Contingent RCAOR
  • 2026-05-07 Pending GCAR
  • 2026-04-28 Relisted GCAR
  • 2026-04-28 Relisted RCAOR
  • 2026-04-15 Pending GCAR
  • 2026-04-15 Contingent RCAOR
  • 2025-06-16 Relisted GCAR
  • 2025-04-24 Relisted GCAR
  • 2025-04-24 Relisted RCAOR
  • 2025-04-21 Contingent RCAOR
  • 2025-04-21 Contingent GCAR
  • 2024-07-12 Price Changed $234,900 GCAR
  • 2024-07-12 Price Changed $234,900 RCAOR
  • 2024-01-30 Listed $239,900 GCAR
  • 2024-01-23 Listed $239,900 RCAOR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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