2655 Stoneyridge Dr · Madison, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$48,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 2655 Stoneyridge Drive in Madison 44057 — a warm and inviting home that has been lovingly cared for by the same family for over 20 years. This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2 full bathroom mobile home offers comfortable living with a bright, open feel throughout. Large windows fill the space with natural light, creating a cheerful atmosphere in every room. The spacious kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space, making meal prep and gatherings easy and enjoyable. Just off the kitchen, a dedicated dining area offers the perfect spot for family dinners or entertaining guests. The primary suite features a private ensuite bathroom complete with both a soaking tub and separat
Key facts
- Large windows
- Soaking tub
- Spacious kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Monthly land lease payment: $364
- HOA & community: Property has a land lease with a monthly amount
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home; Vinyl-sided exterior; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Construction: Built (year per public records); Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Patio
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms, both on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Ceiling-fan cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $49k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $959 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $49k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 29.8% vs local median 5.5% in Madison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#250 in OH, #3,982 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- Madison Local (suburban): math 58% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #308 of 656 in OH (top 47%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 96 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 448 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $338 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 29.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 84.03%
- DSCR
- 4.74
- GRM
- 2.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 84.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.88×
- Total profit
- $53,163
- Equity at exit
- $7,291
- IRR
- 87.6%
- Equity multiple
- 10.13×
- Total profit
- $125,022
- Equity at exit
- $4,228
Cash invested: $13,692 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44057
- Active inventory
- 96
- Price-to-rent
- 2.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,641 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$256
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$61 /mo · $734/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$345
- Net cashflow
- $959
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,225
- Closing costs
- $1,467
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1942 Clyde Rd Madison, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,250 | $1.74 | 43d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 6724 Georgetown Ln Madison, OH | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $1,995 | $1.58 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $48,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $48,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $48,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $48,900 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $48,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-12pricedays on market $48,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $50,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $50,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $50,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $50,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $50,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $50,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $50,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $50,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-05-15historical Contingent
-
2026-05-08price $50,000
-
2026-02-27$55,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,696
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,739
- − Property taxes
- −$734
- − Insurance
- −$244
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,576
- − Management
- −$1,576
- − Depreciation
- −$1,423
- Taxable income
- $11,405
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,737
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,768/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904788
- Math proficiency
- 58% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,608
- Composite
- 49.99/100
- National rank
- #1924
- State rank
- #308 of 656 in OH
Livability — Madison
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #250
- US rank
- #3982
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Lake · 224,932 people
- City population
- 19,491
- Metro
- Cleveland, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,491
- Household income
- $70,212
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 8.5
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 230,022 people
- By 2030
- 228,151 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 221,018 · -3.9%
- By 2050
- 212,754 · -7.5%
- By 2075
- 200,309 · -12.9%
- By 2100
- 183,315 · -20.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Scotch-Irish 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.3) · D 42.4% · R 56.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.2pp toward R · 2008: 0.8pp · 2024: -14.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.3 2020: R+13.6 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+1.7 2008: D+0.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -241.42%
- Current HPI
- 187.8978
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
-9.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $50,000 MLSNOW
- 2026-02-27 Listed $55,000 MLSNOW
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…