111 Dryke Rd #73 · Carlsborg, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 83°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,950
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this brand new 2026 Cavco Pure Home at 111 Dryke Road #73 in the desirable Lazy Acres 55+ community of Sequim, Washington. This never-lived-in manufactured home offers 1,026 square feet of modern, comfortable living space with a neutral color palette. The thoughtfully designed split floor plan features two guest bedrooms and the main bathroom on one side, while the spacious primary suite with a large walk-in shower occupies the other, providing excellent privacy. The heart of the home is the open-concept kitchen and living area, highlighted by an island for seating - the perfect spot for casual dining and entertaining with friends. This move-in ready home comes complete with all-new stainless steel appliances including a range, built-in microwave, refrigerator, and dishwasher, along with brand new carpet and easy clean vinyl flooring throughout. Lazy Acres is a friendly, well-maintained, pet friendly 55+ park with a resident clubhouse and onsite management. The monthly space rent is just $570 and includes water, sewer, and trash utilities. Residents enjoy the convenient location near Robin Hill Park and easy access to Highway 101. Plenty of outdoor space to add a garden shed or greenhouse. This pristine, energy-efficient 2026 home is perfect for those seeking low-maintenance, worry-free living in a welcoming community. Don’t miss your chance to be the first to call this beautiful new home yours!
Key facts
- Open-concept kitchen
- Brand new
- Large walk-in shower
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Land lease: $570/month; Listing terms: Cash or Conventional
- HOA & community: Located in Lazy Acres mobile home park; Senior community; Park amenities: clubhouse, common area, high-speed internet available; Park approved for sale
Exterior
- Parking: Uncovered parking
- Utilities: Electric energy source; Private water (Solmar Water Company); Community septic; Electric water heater; Clallam County PUD power; Astound cable and internet available
- Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; One level; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Facing information not provided
- Construction: Wood construction; Composition (shingle) roof; Built as manufactured house
- Exterior features: Wood exterior products; Patio/porch/deck; Paved lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen with eating space; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove/Range
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Vinyl plank; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 three-quarter bath; 1 bathtub; 2 showers
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Water heater; Vaulted ceilings; Bath off primary
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $199 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $189k (14.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $189k (14.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 2.4% in Carlsborg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#493 in WA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, health & safety D, crime D-.
- Sequim School District (town): math 55% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #64 of 291 in WA (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 605 active listings in the ZIP; 166 units permitted in Clallam County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clallam County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $220k implies a 783% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.88%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $98,868
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111 Dryke Rd #75 | 0.04mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (0%) | 8mo | $60,000 | $65 | 88 |
| 111 Dryke Rd #22 | 0.04mi | 2/2.0 | 955 (+3%) | 3mo | $120,000 | $126 | 86 |
| 111 Dryke Rd #19 | 0.04mi | 2/1.0 | 924 (0%) | 16mo | $82,500 | $89 | 84 |
| 111 Dryke Rd #64 | 0.04mi | 2/1.0 | 920 (-0%) | 19mo | $95,000 | $103 | 81 |
| 111 Dryke Rd #9 | 0.04mi | 2/2.0 | 1,048 (+13%) | 6mo | $112,000 | $107 | 67 |
| 111 Dryke Rd | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 1,048 (+13%) | 6mo | $112,000 | $107 | 64 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-23,078
- Equity at exit
- $32,795
- IRR
- -1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.93×
- Total profit
- $-4,223
- Equity at exit
- $19,017
Cash invested: $61,586 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98382
- Active inventory
- 605
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,891 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,153
- Tax from tax record
- −$50 /mo · $598/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$397
- Net cashflow
- $199
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $323 | -5% $261 | +0% $199 | +5% $137 | +10% $74 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $50 | -5% $124 | +0% $199 | +5% $274 | +10% $348 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $310 | -0.5pp $255 | base $199 | +0.5pp $142 | +1.0pp $84 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,988
- Closing costs
- $6,598
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $219,950 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $219,950 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $219,950 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $219,950 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $219,950 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-12remarks 699-char remark
Show marketing remark (1435 chars)
Welcome to this brand new 2026 Cavco Pure Home at 111 Dryke Road #73 in the desirable Lazy Acres 55+ community of Sequim, Washington. This never-lived-in manufactured home offers 1,026 square feet of modern, comfortable living space with a neutral color palette. The thoughtfully designed split floor plan features two guest bedrooms and the main bathroom on one side, while the spacious primary suite with a large walk-in shower occupies the other, providing excellent privacy. The heart of the home is the open-concept kitchen and living area, highlighted by an island for seating - the perfect spot for casual dining and entertaining with friends. This move-in ready home comes complete with all-new stainless steel appliances including a range, built-in microwave, refrigerator, and dishwasher, along with brand new carpet and easy clean vinyl flooring throughout. Lazy Acres is a friendly, well-maintained, pet friendly 55+ park with a resident clubhouse and onsite management. The monthly space rent is just $570 and includes water, sewer, and trash utilities. Residents enjoy the convenient location near Robin Hill Park and easy access to Highway 101. Plenty of outdoor space to add a garden shed or greenhouse. This pristine, energy-efficient 2026 home is perfect for those seeking low-maintenance, worry-free living in a welcoming community. Don’t miss your chance to be the first to call this beautiful new home yours!
-
2026-06-12$219,950 Active 1 DOM
Show marketing remark (1435 chars)
Welcome to this brand new 2026 Cavco Pure Home at 111 Dryke Road #73 in the desirable Lazy Acres 55+ community of Sequim, Washington. This never-lived-in manufactured home offers 1,026 square feet of modern, comfortable living space with a neutral color palette. The thoughtfully designed split floor plan features two guest bedrooms and the main bathroom on one side, while the spacious primary suite with a large walk-in shower occupies the other, providing excellent privacy. The heart of the home is the open-concept kitchen and living area, highlighted by an island for seating - the perfect spot for casual dining and entertaining with friends. This move-in ready home comes complete with all-new stainless steel appliances including a range, built-in microwave, refrigerator, and dishwasher, along with brand new carpet and easy clean vinyl flooring throughout. Lazy Acres is a friendly, well-maintained, pet friendly 55+ park with a resident clubhouse and onsite management. The monthly space rent is just $570 and includes water, sewer, and trash utilities. Residents enjoy the convenient location near Robin Hill Park and easy access to Highway 101. Plenty of outdoor space to add a garden shed or greenhouse. This pristine, energy-efficient 2026 home is perfect for those seeking low-maintenance, worry-free living in a welcoming community. Don’t miss your chance to be the first to call this beautiful new home yours!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $598 · $50/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,156 · $180/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,558/yr (+$130/mo · 260.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥83°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,692
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,321
- − Property taxes
- −$598
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,815
- − Management
- −$1,815
- − Depreciation
- −$6,399
- Taxable loss
- −$1,356
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$325
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,713/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sequim School District
- NCES district ID
- 5307830
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,969
- Composite
- 52.77/100
- National rank
- #3312
- State rank
- #64 of 291 in WA
Livability — Carlsborg
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #493
- US rank
- #20503
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Clallam County · 31,052 people
- Metro
- Port Angeles, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,052
- Household income
- $74,189
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 666.0
Population outlook (Clallam County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 76,817 people
- By 2030
- 78,177 · +1.8%
- By 2040
- 79,795 · +3.9%
- By 2050
- 80,890 · +5.3%
- By 2075
- 83,933 · +9.3%
- By 2100
- 82,141 · +6.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 5% Slovak 5% Italian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clallam
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+7.9) · D 52.6% · R 44.7% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.3pp · 2024: 7.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+7.9 2020: D+3.4 2016: R+1.6 2012: D+0.4 2008: D+3.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -225.89%
- Current HPI
- 181.4372
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Port Angeles, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
||
| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+783.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $219,950 OLS
- 2026-06-12 Listed $219,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-04-20 Sold (MLS) $24,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-04-03 Listed $24,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+13.9%/yrLatest (2023): $598 · +9.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…