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252 Lcr 421
D Composite 43.51
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

252 Lcr 421 · Groesbeck, TX 76642
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,232 sqft · Manufactured public records · 267 Days on market
Built 2010 4.00 ac lot ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Looking to escape the hustle and bustle of city life? Welcome to your own slice of country paradise in the quiet town of Groesbeck. This charming mobile home provides plenty of room to stretch out, start a garden, or even add additional structures. Enjoy your mornings or evenings on the large front porch, perfect for relaxing and taking in the peaceful sounds of nature. Whether you're looking for a weekend getaway, a homestead, or a place to slow down and enjoy rural life, this property has endless potential. With open skies, fresh air, and room to roam — it's time to enjoy the simple life in Groesbeck.

Key facts

  • Fresh air
  • Large front porch
  • 4 spacious acres

Tags

4 SPACIOUS ACRESLARGE FRONT PORCHPEACEFUL SOUNDS OF NATUREENDLESS POTENTIALOPEN SKIESFRESH AIR

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $90 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $122k (15.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $122k (15.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 1.6% in Groesbeck — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#777 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Groesbeck ISD (rural): math 28% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #634 of 826 in TX (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 122 active listings in the ZIP; 17 units permitted in Limestone County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Limestone County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 267 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $122,017 (15.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 267 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
7.04%
Cash-on-cash
2.65%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.2%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-17,840
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
-3.1%
Equity multiple
0.79×
Total profit
$-8,417
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76642

Home prices YoY
-18.0%
Active inventory
122
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,220 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$53 /mo · $640/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$256
Net cashflow
$90

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,107
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $145,000 Active 267 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $145,000 Active 266 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $145,000 Active 265 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $145,000 Active 264 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $145,000 Active 262 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $145,000 Active 261 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $145,000 Active 258 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $145,000 Active 257 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $145,000 Active 256 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $145,000 Active 255 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $145,000 Active 252 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $145,000 Active 251 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $145,000 Active 250 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active 249 DOM
  15. 2025-11-18
    price $145,000 616-char remark
    Show marketing remark (616 chars)

    Looking to escape the hustle and bustle of city life? Welcome to your own slice of country paradise in the quiet town of Groesbeck. This charming mobile home provides plenty of room to stretch out, start a garden, or even add additional structures. Enjoy your mornings or evenings on the large front porch, perfect for relaxing and taking in the peaceful sounds of nature. Whether you're looking for a weekend getaway, a homestead, or a place to slow down and enjoy rural life, this property has endless potential. With open skies, fresh air, and room to roam — it's time to enjoy the simple life in Groesbeck.

  16. 2025-11-17
    price $145,000 616-char remark
    Show marketing remark (616 chars)

    Looking to escape the hustle and bustle of city life? Welcome to your own slice of country paradise in the quiet town of Groesbeck. This charming mobile home provides plenty of room to stretch out, start a garden, or even add additional structures. Enjoy your mornings or evenings on the large front porch, perfect for relaxing and taking in the peaceful sounds of nature. Whether you're looking for a weekend getaway, a homestead, or a place to slow down and enjoy rural life, this property has endless potential. With open skies, fresh air, and room to roam — it's time to enjoy the simple life in Groesbeck.

  17. 2025-11-17
    price $145,000
    Show marketing remark (616 chars)

    Looking to escape the hustle and bustle of city life? Welcome to your own slice of country paradise in the quiet town of Groesbeck. This charming mobile home provides plenty of room to stretch out, start a garden, or even add additional structures. Enjoy your mornings or evenings on the large front porch, perfect for relaxing and taking in the peaceful sounds of nature. Whether you're looking for a weekend getaway, a homestead, or a place to slow down and enjoy rural life, this property has endless potential. With open skies, fresh air, and room to roam — it's time to enjoy the simple life in Groesbeck.

  18. 2025-09-24
    listed $150,000 Active 616-char remark
    Show marketing remark (616 chars)

    Looking to escape the hustle and bustle of city life? Welcome to your own slice of country paradise in the quiet town of Groesbeck. This charming mobile home provides plenty of room to stretch out, start a garden, or even add additional structures. Enjoy your mornings or evenings on the large front porch, perfect for relaxing and taking in the peaceful sounds of nature. Whether you're looking for a weekend getaway, a homestead, or a place to slow down and enjoy rural life, this property has endless potential. With open skies, fresh air, and room to roam — it's time to enjoy the simple life in Groesbeck.

  19. 2025-09-24
    listed $150,000 Active 616-char remark
    Show marketing remark (616 chars)

    Looking to escape the hustle and bustle of city life? Welcome to your own slice of country paradise in the quiet town of Groesbeck. This charming mobile home provides plenty of room to stretch out, start a garden, or even add additional structures. Enjoy your mornings or evenings on the large front porch, perfect for relaxing and taking in the peaceful sounds of nature. Whether you're looking for a weekend getaway, a homestead, or a place to slow down and enjoy rural life, this property has endless potential. With open skies, fresh air, and room to roam — it's time to enjoy the simple life in Groesbeck.

  20. 2025-09-24
    listed $150,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (616 chars)

    Looking to escape the hustle and bustle of city life? Welcome to your own slice of country paradise in the quiet town of Groesbeck. This charming mobile home provides plenty of room to stretch out, start a garden, or even add additional structures. Enjoy your mornings or evenings on the large front porch, perfect for relaxing and taking in the peaceful sounds of nature. Whether you're looking for a weekend getaway, a homestead, or a place to slow down and enjoy rural life, this property has endless potential. With open skies, fresh air, and room to roam — it's time to enjoy the simple life in Groesbeck.

  21. 2006-08-14
    soldstatus
  22. 1986-02-05
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$640 · $53/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,654 · $221/mo
Expected delta
+$2,013/yr (+$168/mo · 314.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,642
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$640
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,171
− Management
−$1,171
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable loss
−$1,406
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$338
After-tax cash flow
$1,415/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Groesbeck ISD
NCES district ID
4821810
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$44,929
Composite
25.3/100
National rank
#7487
State rank
#634 of 826 in TX

Livability — Groesbeck

Score
64/100
State rank
#777
US rank
#14137

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
6,226

Population outlook (Limestone County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
23,396 people
By 2030
23,214 · -0.8%
By 2040
22,829 · -2.4%
By 2050
22,516 · -3.8%
By 2075
22,088 · -5.6%
By 2100
20,354 · -13.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 13% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 10% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Limestone

2024 margin
Solid R (+56.9) · D 21.2% · R 78.1%
2008→2024 swing
-23.4pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -56.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+56.9 2020: R+50.3 2016: R+52.3 2012: R+40.7 2008: R+33.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -41.70%
Current HPI
190.097
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.3% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2025-11-18 Price Changed $145,000 Unlock MLS
  • 2025-11-17 Price Changed $145,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-11-17 Price Changed $145,000 CTXMLS
  • 2025-09-24 Listed $150,000 CTXMLS
  • 2025-09-24 Listed $150,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-09-24 Listed $150,000 Unlock MLS
  • 2006-08-14 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1986-02-05 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $640 · +8.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…