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11747 Cascade Cir
B- Composite 69.25
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$49,900

11747 Cascade Cir · Bruce, MI 48065
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · Other · 139 Days on market
Built 2026 $43/sqft · 150% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This home will check all your boxes! Welcome to a charming three bedroom, two bathroom home that is waiting for YOU! This thoughtfully designed living space, you will find plenty of room to enjoy your surroundings and make yourself comfortable. Do you need a kitchen with cabinet space and sleek appliances? Do you enjoy cooking to bring joy to gatherings? This home provides a spacious ensuite featuring great storage and a walk in shower. Contact our location TODAY to schedule a tour! "Photographs may be digitally staged for illustration purposes. Actual property may differ. Prospective residents should verify information to their own satisfaction. "

Key facts

  • Built 2026
  • Listed 138 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $765 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Romeo Community Schools (suburban): math 43% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #102 of 540 in MI (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 139 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $43,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 139 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.82%
Cap rate
24.70%
Cash-on-cash
65.73%
DSCR
3.92
GRM
3.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$20,000
List price
$49,900
Delta
149.50%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
65.0%
Equity multiple
3.91×
Total profit
$40,681
Equity at exit
$7,440
10-year hold
IRR
69.3%
Equity multiple
8.03×
Total profit
$98,278
Equity at exit
$4,314

Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48065

Active inventory
87
Price-to-rent
3.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,405 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax est. 1.5%
$62 /mo · $748/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$295
Net cashflow
$765

Break-even live

Break-even rent $437
Max offer price $49,900
Occupancy floor 41%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $800 -5% $783 +0% $765 +5% $748 +10% $731
Rent -10% $654 -5% $710 +0% $765 +5% $821 +10% $876
Rate -1.0pp $790 -0.5pp $778 base $765 +0.5pp $752 +1.0pp $739

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,475
Closing costs
$1,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
11747 Cascade Cir Unit 92 Bruce Township, MI 3.0 2.0 1152 $1,379 $1.20 44d 1 0.00mi
11791 Cascade Cir Unit 76 Bruce Township, MI 4.0 2.0 1344 $1,409 $1.05 25d 1 0.03mi
11981 Springbrook Ct Unit 10 Bruce Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,269 $1.32 21d 1 0.07mi
71580 Penny Ct Unit 253 Bruce Township, MI 3.0 2.0 1216 $1,219 $1.00 15d 1 0.15mi
11827 Cascade Cir Unit 4 Bruce Township, MI 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,499 $1.42 0d 1 0.16mi
11975 Creekview Ave Unit 218 Bruce Township, MI 2.0 2.0 1120 $1,399 $1.25 0d 1 0.19mi
12556 Margaret Ct Unit 287 Bruce Township, MI 3.0 2.0 1152 $1,569 $1.36 5d 1 0.30mi
324 E Saint Clair St Romeo, MI 2.0 1.5 1200 $1,550 $1.29 44d 1 1.19mi
308 E Washington St Romeo, MI 2.0 2.0 1350 $2,400 $1.78 44d 1 1.32mi
145 Spring St Romeo, MI 2.0 2.5 1400 $1,800 $1.29 44d 1 1.35mi
149 Spring St Romeo, MI 2.0 2.5 1400 $1,800 $1.29 44d 1 1.35mi
153 Spring St Romeo, MI 2.0 2.5 1450 $1,800 $1.24 44d 1 1.37mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $49,900 Active 139 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $49,900 Active 138 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $49,900 Active 137 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $49,900 Active 136 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $49,900 Active 134 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $49,900 Active 130 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $49,900 Active 129 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $49,900 Active 128 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $49,900 Active 125 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $49,900 Active 124 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $49,900 Active 123 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $49,900 Active 122 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $49,900 Active 121 DOM
  14. 2026-01-30
    listed $49,900 Active 667-char remark
    Show marketing remark (667 chars)

    This home will check all your boxes! Welcome to a charming three bedroom, two bathroom home that is waiting for YOU! This thoughtfully designed living space, you will find plenty of room to enjoy your surroundings and make yourself comfortable. Do you need a kitchen with cabinet space and sleek appliances? Do you enjoy cooking to bring joy to gatherings? This home provides a spacious ensuite featuring great storage and a walk in shower. Contact our location TODAY to schedule a tour! "Photographs may be digitally staged for illustration purposes. Actual property may differ. Prospective residents should verify information to their own satisfaction. "

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,864
− Mortgage interest
−$2,795
− Property taxes
−$748
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,349
− Management
−$1,349
− Depreciation
−$1,452
Taxable income
$8,921
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,141
After-tax cash flow
$7,043/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Romeo Community Schools
NCES district ID
2630090
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$73,121
Composite
42.48/100
National rank
#3212
State rank
#102 of 540 in MI

Livability — Bruce

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
11,344

Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
925,296 people
By 2030
948,226 · +2.5%
By 2040
983,961 · +6.3%
By 2050
1,010,200 · +9.2%
By 2075
1,076,222 · +16.3%
By 2100
1,077,065 · +16.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 14% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Macomb

2024 margin
R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -252.70%
Current HPI
214.524
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-01-30 Listed $49,900 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…