1557 S 6th St · Fernandina Beach, FL
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.34%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.5/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.6/15.0
- Schools +6.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$399,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This house sits on an extra-large 100' x 200' lot. Lots of room for expansion. A few minutes from beautiful Atlantic Ocean beach, Historic Downtown Fernandina Beach. Few minutes' drives to Jacksonville International Airport and city shopping; close to schools and places of worship. Enjoy breathtaking view of evening sunsets. Need a little TLC.
Key facts
- 0.46 acre lot
- Parking
- Built 1972
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank
- Home design: Single-story; Resale property; Zoned RS-2
- Construction: Frame construction; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Fruit trees; Front porch; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Stove
- Bedrooms: One bedroom on the lower level with laminate flooring
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric, heat pump); Central cooling (electric, heat pump)
- Interior features: Aluminum window frames; Ceiling fan(s)
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $400k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $15 ($178/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $325k (18.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $325k (18.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 1.0% in Fernandina Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#369 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living D, amenities F, commute F.
- Nassau (town): math 74% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #4 of 73 in FL (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 206 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 953 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $43k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $40k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Nassau County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $112k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$69k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 148 days — a 12% lower offer ($352k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 148 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.16%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $410,112
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1116 S 10th St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,180 (+2%) | 11mo | $499,000 | $423 | 62 |
| 929 S 9th St | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,252 (+9%) | 3mo | $452,400 | $361 | 52 |
| 728 9th St | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 | 1,276 (+11%) | 2mo | $220,000 | $172 | 47 |
| 728 9th St #A&B | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 | 1,276 (+11%) | 2mo | $220,000 | $172 | 47 |
| 902 S 11th St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,213 (+5%) | 12mo | $399,000 | $329 | 47 |
| 1028 S 9th St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,024 (-11%) | 5mo | $350,000 | $342 | 47 |
| 848 S 11th St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,213 (+5%) | 12mo | $399,000 | $329 | 46 |
| 905 S 12th St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,180 (+2%) | 18mo | $420,000 | $356 | 44 |
| 1893 Palm Dr | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,250 (+8%) | 7mo | $515,000 | $412 | 43 |
| 1010 S 10th St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,224 (+6%) | 23mo | $341,000 | $279 | 41 |
| 914 Jasmine St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,025 (-11%) | 22mo | $368,000 | $359 | 30 |
| 819 S 12th St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,027 (-11%) | 18mo | $393,000 | $383 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.95×
- Total profit
- $218,662
- Equity at exit
- $360,262
- IRR
- 21.6%
- Equity multiple
- 6.74×
- Total profit
- $643,019
- Equity at exit
- $776,918
Cash invested: $111,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32024
- Home prices YoY
- 7.6%
- Active inventory
- 206
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,250 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,097
- Tax from tax record
- −$289 /mo · $3,467/yr
- Insurance
- −$167
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$682
- Net cashflow
- $15
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $241 | -5% $128 | +0% $15 | +5% $-98 | +10% $-212 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-242 | -5% $-114 | +0% $15 | +5% $143 | +10% $272 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $216 | -0.5pp $117 | base $15 | +0.5pp $-89 | +1.0pp $-194 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $99,975
- Closing costs
- $11,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1973 Palm Dr Fernandina Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1400 | $3,250 | $2.32 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-16statusdays on market $399,900 Pending 148 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $399,900 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $399,900 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $399,900 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $399,900 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $399,900 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $399,900 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $399,900 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $399,900 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $399,900 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $399,900 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $399,900 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-01-20price $399,900
-
2026-01-20status Active
-
2025-12-24status Pending
-
2025-12-23$415,000 Active
-
2025-04-16status Active
-
2024-10-16$415,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,467 · $289/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,467 · $289/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 34% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $39,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,401
- − Property taxes
- −$3,467
- − Insurance
- −$2,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,120
- − Management
- −$3,120
- − Depreciation
- −$11,633
- Taxable loss
- −$6,740
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,618
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,796/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Nassau
- NCES district ID
- 1201350
- Math proficiency
- 74% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,267
- Composite
- 59.79/100
- National rank
- #899
- State rank
- #4 of 73 in FL
Livability — Fernandina Beach
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #369
- US rank
- #6484
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 41,029
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,644
Population outlook (Nassau County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 88,419 people
- By 2030
- 92,679 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 99,257 · +12.3%
- By 2050
- 103,378 · +16.9%
- By 2075
- 109,726 · +24.1%
- By 2100
- 107,006 · +21.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Black 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Portuguese 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 8% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Nassau
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.9) · D 26.1% · R 73.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.1pp toward R · 2008: -43.8pp · 2024: -46.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.9 2020: R+45.9 2016: R+50.2 2012: R+48.6 2008: R+43.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 19.05%
- Current HPI
- 269.4659
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-3.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-20 Price Changed $399,900 AINCAR
- 2026-01-20 Relisted — AINCAR
- 2025-12-24 Pending — AINCAR
- 2025-12-23 Listed $415,000 AINCAR
- 2025-04-16 Relisted — AINCAR
- 2024-10-16 Listed $415,000 AINCAR
Property tax history
+8.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,467 · +11.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…