3922 Highway 1 · Rena Lara, MS
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
$35,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Selling my family home, needs work. Started the remodeling. Right dead center of Rena Lara, MS. Great investment. It & acirc; & euro; & trade; s half mobile/built on. The number of rooms depends on how you want the layout. Send a text if interested, thank you.
Key facts
- Built 1969
- Listed 36 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $35k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $540 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($981 rent vs $35k).
- Recommended offer: $34k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Coahoma County School District (rural): math 16% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #103 of 130 in MS (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 97% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 26 units permitted in Coahoma County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $982 of equity ($242 loan paydown + $740 appreciation (2.1% local appreciation)).
- Coahoma County population projected at -36% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.80% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 66.17%
- DSCR
- 3.94
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.11% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 70.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.78×
- Total profit
- $37,031
- Equity at exit
- $14,024
- IRR
- 70.3%
- Equity multiple
- 9.74×
- Total profit
- $85,694
- Equity at exit
- $20,364
Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38720
- Home prices YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 4
- Price-to-rent
- 3.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $981 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$184
- Tax from tax record
- −$36 /mo · $436/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$206
- Net cashflow
- $540
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $560 | -5% $550 | +0% $540 | +5% $530 | +10% $521 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $463 | -5% $502 | +0% $540 | +5% $579 | +10% $618 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $558 | -0.5pp $549 | base $540 | +0.5pp $531 | +1.0pp $522 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,750
- Closing costs
- $1,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $35,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $35,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $35,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $35,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $35,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $35,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $35,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $35,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $35,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $35,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $35,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $35,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $35,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $35,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $35,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-16$35,000 Active 253-char remark
-
1965-01-11soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $436 · $36/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $436 · $36/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,769
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,961
- − Property taxes
- −$436
- − Insurance
- −$175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$942
- − Management
- −$942
- − Depreciation
- −$1,018
- Taxable income
- $6,297
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,511
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,973/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Coahoma County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801110
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,590
- Composite
- 13.28/100
- National rank
- #9544
- State rank
- #103 of 130 in MS
Livability — Rena Lara
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rena Lara, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 549
Population outlook (Coahoma County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,158 people
- By 2030
- 19,442 · -8.1%
- By 2040
- 16,248 · -23.2%
- By 2050
- 13,486 · -36.3%
- By 2075
- 8,777 · -58.5%
- By 2100
- 6,568 · -69.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 30% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 13% Lithuanian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Coahoma
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+39.8) · D 69.4% · R 29.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.5pp toward R · 2008: 44.3pp · 2024: 39.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+39.8 2020: D+42.9 2016: D+44.4 2012: D+50.3 2008: D+44.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.11%
- Current HPI
- 92.5453
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Listed $35,000 FSBO.com
- 1965-01-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $436 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…