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16927 County Road 400
D Composite 40.76
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +4.7/30.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +0.6/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$179,900

16927 County Road 400 · Hillsboro, AL 35643
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,667 sqft · SingleFamily · 51 Days on market
Built 1977 1.00 ac lot $67/sqft · 49% below area Est $353k · 49% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Step into opportunity with this beautifully unique property in Hillsboro, Alabama! Formerly a church and now used as an event venue, this building is full of charm, character, and potential. Zoned residential or commercial, the possibilities are wide open—continue hosting events, re-establish it as a place of worship, or transform it into a one-of-a-kind home. With its spacious layout, distinctive architecture, and rich history, this property offers a setting unlike anything else. Bring your imagination and make it yours!

Key facts

  • Zoned residential
  • Rich history
  • Zoned commercial

Tags

ZONED RESIDENTIALZONED COMMERCIALDISTINCTIVE ARCHITECTURERICH HISTORY

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No association; Gated community

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel driveway
  • Security: Gated
  • Utilities: Septic tank
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Built in 1977
  • Construction: Brick construction; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: 1 acre lot; Gated community access; Driveway with gravel

Interior

  • Bathrooms: Two half bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
  • Interior features: One-and-a-half story layout

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-447 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $115k (35.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $101k (44.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $101k (44.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#134 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Lawrence County (rural): math 14% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #85 of 129 in AL (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: East Lawrence Elementary School (math 17% / reading 47%, grade F, #331 of 627 statewide, top 57%, 546 students, 70% FRL); East Lawrence Middle School (math 15% / reading 39%, grade F, #147 of 257 statewide, top 58%, 419 students, 78% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 52% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lawrence County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $100,825 (44.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 44% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.56%
Cap rate
3.31%
Cash-on-cash
-10.64%
DSCR
0.53
GRM
14.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$352,511
List price
$179,900
Delta
-48.97%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.8%
Equity multiple
2.38×
Total profit
$69,541
Equity at exit
$162,068
10-year hold
IRR
16.0%
Equity multiple
5.51×
Total profit
$227,192
Equity at exit
$349,506

Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35643

Home prices YoY
25.4%
Active inventory
13
Price-to-rent
14.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,008 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$943
Tax est. 1.5%
$225 /mo · $2,698/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$212
Net cashflow
$-447

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,574
Max offer price $115,257
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,975
Closing costs
$5,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $179,900 Active 51 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $179,900 Active 50 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $179,900 Active 49 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $179,900 Active 48 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $179,900 Active 47 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $179,900 Active 45 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $179,900 Active 44 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $179,900 Active 42 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $179,900 Active 41 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $179,900 Active 40 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $179,900 Active 39 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $179,900 Active 36 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $179,900 Active 34 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $179,900 Active 33 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $179,900 Active 32 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $179,900 Active 31 DOM
  17. 2026-04-29
    listed $179,900 Active 533-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,099
− Mortgage interest
−$10,077
− Property taxes
−$2,698
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$968
− Management
−$968
− Depreciation
−$5,233
Taxable loss
−$8,745
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,099
After-tax cash flow
$-3,262/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lawrence County
NCES district ID
0102040
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -25.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$40,669
Composite
21.9/100
National rank
#8230
State rank
#85 of 129 in AL

Livability — Hillsboro

Score
65/100
State rank
#134
US rank
#13236

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,088

Population outlook (Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
30,827 people
By 2030
29,343 · -4.8%
By 2040
26,268 · -14.8%
By 2050
23,052 · -25.2%
By 2075
17,414 · -43.5%
By 2100
13,600 · -55.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Black 26% Native American 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Lawrence

2024 margin
Solid R (+62.3) · D 18.5% · R 80.8%
2008→2024 swing
-34.3pp toward R · 2008: -28.0pp · 2024: -62.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+62.3 2020: R+54.6 2016: R+48.7 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+28.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 40.35%
Current HPI
199.33
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $179,900 VMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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