16927 County Road 400 · Hillsboro, AL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +4.7/30.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- 1% rule +0.6/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Step into opportunity with this beautifully unique property in Hillsboro, Alabama! Formerly a church and now used as an event venue, this building is full of charm, character, and potential. Zoned residential or commercial, the possibilities are wide open—continue hosting events, re-establish it as a place of worship, or transform it into a one-of-a-kind home. With its spacious layout, distinctive architecture, and rich history, this property offers a setting unlike anything else. Bring your imagination and make it yours!
Key facts
- Zoned residential
- Rich history
- Zoned commercial
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association; Gated community
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel driveway
- Security: Gated
- Utilities: Septic tank
- Home design: Single-family residence; Built in 1977
- Construction: Brick construction; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: 1 acre lot; Gated community access; Driveway with gravel
Interior
- Bathrooms: Two half bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
- Interior features: One-and-a-half story layout
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-447 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $115k (35.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $101k (44.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $101k (44.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#134 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Lawrence County (rural): math 14% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #85 of 129 in AL (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: East Lawrence Elementary School (math 17% / reading 47%, grade F, #331 of 627 statewide, top 57%, 546 students, 70% FRL); East Lawrence Middle School (math 15% / reading 39%, grade F, #147 of 257 statewide, top 58%, 419 students, 78% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 52% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Lawrence County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 44% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.56% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- -10.64%
- DSCR
- 0.53
- GRM
- 14.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $352,511
- List price
- $179,900
- Delta
- -48.97%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.38×
- Total profit
- $69,541
- Equity at exit
- $162,068
- IRR
- 16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.51×
- Total profit
- $227,192
- Equity at exit
- $349,506
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35643
- Home prices YoY
- 25.4%
- Active inventory
- 13
- Price-to-rent
- 14.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,008 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$225 /mo · $2,698/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$212
- Net cashflow
- $-447
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
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2026-06-19days on market $179,900 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $179,900 Active 50 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $179,900 Active 49 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $179,900 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $179,900 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $179,900 Active 45 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $179,900 Active 44 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $179,900 Active 42 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $179,900 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $179,900 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $179,900 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $179,900 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $179,900 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $179,900 Active 33 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $179,900 Active 32 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $179,900 Active 31 DOM
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2026-04-29$179,900 Active 533-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,099
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$2,698
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$968
- − Management
- −$968
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable loss
- −$8,745
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,099
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,262/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lawrence County
- NCES district ID
- 0102040
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -25.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,669
- Composite
- 21.9/100
- National rank
- #8230
- State rank
- #85 of 129 in AL
Livability — Hillsboro
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #134
- US rank
- #13236
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,088
Population outlook (Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 30,827 people
- By 2030
- 29,343 · -4.8%
- By 2040
- 26,268 · -14.8%
- By 2050
- 23,052 · -25.2%
- By 2075
- 17,414 · -43.5%
- By 2100
- 13,600 · -55.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 26% Native American 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Lawrence
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+62.3) · D 18.5% · R 80.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.3pp toward R · 2008: -28.0pp · 2024: -62.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+62.3 2020: R+54.6 2016: R+48.7 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+28.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 40.35%
- Current HPI
- 199.33
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Listed $179,900 VMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…