7112 NW Mongolian Oak Dr · Aiken, SC
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +11.2/15.0
- Cash flow +9.6/30.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- DSCR +2.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$277,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to Portrait Hills in Aiken, SC! The Murray plan, presented by Hurricane Builders is a beautiful 5 bedroom, 3 full bathroom, 2 story home with 2273sqft of functional living space. The open concept is perfect for entertaining with a generous sized living room upon entering that adjoins the kitchen with large island and breakfast area. The home offers quartz counter tops in the kitchen and bathrooms, stainless steel appliances, LVP flooring throughout the main living areas, tankless gas water heater and more! Portrait Hills is centrally located just off of University Pkwy and Edgefield Hwy. Just minutes from I-20, Historic Downtown Aiken, USC Aiken campus, Aiken's medical district, restaurants, retail and more. Hurricane Builders Model Home agent on site, Wednesday - Saturday 12pm - 5pm and Sunday 1pm - 5pm. Come out to tour Portrait Hills today and experience all that the area has to offer!
Key facts
- Open concept
- Centrally located
- Lvp flooring
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $278k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-187 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $251k (9.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $226k (18.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $226k (18.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 4.0% in Aiken — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#93 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime F, commute F.
- Aiken 01 (suburban): math 31% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #36 of 80 in SC (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: North Aiken Elementary (math 12% / reading 19%, grade F, #539 of 597 statewide, top 91%, 466 students, 100% FRL); Schofield Middle (math 18% / reading 30%, grade F, #167 of 229 statewide, top 74%, 401 students, 100% FRL); Aiken High (math 19% / reading 84%, grade D+, #146 of 196 statewide, top 75%, 1,195 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 54% district-wide (46 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 610 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 73d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,500 units permitted in Aiken County in 2024 (1,023 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,260/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Aiken County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($261k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.88%
- DSCR
- 0.87
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $302,811
- List price
- $277,990
- Delta
- -8.20%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3499 NW Tanbark Oak Ln | 0.10mi | 5/3.0 | 2,273 (0%) | 0mo | $274,990 | $121 | 95 |
| 3690 NW Tanbark Oak Ln | 0.21mi | 5/3.0 | 2,273 (0%) | 0mo | $307,490 | $135 | 90 |
| 220 NW Shingle Oak Garden Gdn | 0.21mi | 5/3.0 | 2,273 (0%) | 3mo | $279,990 | $123 | 88 |
| 9131 NW Wafer Ash Bnd | 0.18mi | 5/3.0 | 2,433 (+7%) | 1mo | $274,990 | $113 | 79 |
| 210 NW Shingle Oak Garden Gdn | 0.20mi | 5/3.0 | 2,433 (+7%) | 8mo | $303,968 | $125 | 72 |
| 438 Narrow Bridge Ct | 0.44mi | 5/2.5 | 2,230 (-2%) | 4mo | $279,900 | $126 | 71 |
| 438 Narrow Bridge Ct | 0.44mi | 5/2.5 | 2,230 (-2%) | 4mo | $279,900 | $126 | 71 |
| 5938 Cobalt Fls Bnd | 0.50mi | 5/3.0 | 2,334 (+3%) | 9mo | $278,990 | $120 | 65 |
| 698 Shumard Oak Pl NW | 0.13mi | 5/2.5 | 2,576 (+13%) | 7mo | $319,900 | $124 | 64 |
| 5892 Cobalt Falls Bnd | 0.49mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,075 (-9%) | 4mo | $249,990 | $120 | 52 |
| 7146 Foggy River Dr | 0.52mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,459 (+8%) | 11mo | $311,400 | $127 | 46 |
| 7136 Foggy River Dr | 0.51mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 1,967 (-14%) | 7mo | $274,400 | $140 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.06% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.33×
- Total profit
- $-52,083
- Equity at exit
- $41,449
- IRR
- -7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-39,926
- Equity at exit
- $24,035
Cash invested: $77,837 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 51 active · 20 under contract
- Months of supply
- 38.2 mo (3%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $279,900 ($129/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 82 d
- This list price
- 49% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +3.4% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 29801
- Rents YoY
- 5.1%
- Active inventory
- 610
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,260 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,458
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$347 /mo · $4,170/yr
- Insurance
- −$116
- HOA
- −$51
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$475
- Net cashflow
- $-187
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $6 | -5% $-91 | +0% $-187 | +5% $-283 | +10% $-379 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-365 | -5% $-276 | +0% $-187 | +5% $-97 | +10% $-8 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-47 | -0.5pp $-116 | base $-187 | +0.5pp $-259 | +1.0pp $-332 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $69,498
- Closing costs
- $8,340
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7034 Foggy River Dr Aiken, SC | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2459 | $2,375 | $0.97 | 72d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 844 Silent Barge Cv Aiken, SC | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1763 | $1,899 | $1.08 | 72d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 7113 Foggy River Dr Aiken, SC | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2172 | $2,035 | $0.94 | 72d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 7259 Foggy River Dr Aiken, SC | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2157 | $2,045 | $0.95 | 63d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 755 Teague St NW Aiken, SC | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,200 | $1.10 | 63d | 1 | 1.27mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Zoning: R-1Subdivision: Portrait HillsDirections provided to property
- HOA & community
- Homeowners association with annual fee (approximately $607/year, about $50.58/month)Association provides grounds maintenance and managementCommunity features include street lights
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached 2-car garage with garage door opener
- Security
- Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerCable available
- Home design
- Single-family residenceTwo levels (2 stories)Entry level: 1New construction
- Construction
- Vinyl siding and frame constructionComposition roofSlab foundationBuilt as new constructionHome warranty included
- Exterior features
- PatioPorch with front porchLandscaped yardSprinklers in frontSprinklers in rearPaved road accessHas a view
Interior
- Kitchen
- RangeDishwasherDisposalMicrowaveGas water heaterTankless water heater
- Bedrooms
- 8 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Flooring
- Carpet
- Bathrooms
- 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Heat pumpNatural gas heatingCentral air conditioning
- Interior features
- Kitchen islandPantryEat-in kitchenInsulated windowsSmoke detector(s)
- Laundry & utility
- Washer hookup
HOA detail $51/mo · $612/yr
- Likely covers
- watergas
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $277,990 Active 89 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $277,990 Active 88 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $277,990 Active 87 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $277,990 Active 86 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $277,990 Active 85 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $277,990 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $277,990 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $277,990 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $277,990 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $277,990 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $277,990 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $277,990 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $277,990 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $277,990 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $277,990 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $277,990 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $277,990 Active 65 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $277,990 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $277,990 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $277,990 Active 62 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $277,990 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $277,990 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $277,990 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $277,990 Active 58 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $277,990 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $277,990 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $277,990 Active 55 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $277,990 Active 54 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $277,990 Active 53 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $277,990 Active 52 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $277,990 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $277,990 Active 50 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $277,990 Active 49 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $277,990 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $277,990 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $277,990 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-25days on market $277,990 Active 44 DOM
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2026-06-23days on market $277,990 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $277,990 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $277,990 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $277,990 Active 37 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $277,990 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $277,990 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $277,990 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $277,990 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $277,990 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $277,990 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $277,990 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $277,990 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $277,990 Active 23 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,122
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,572
- − Property taxes
- −$4,170
- − Insurance
- −$1,390
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,170
- − Management
- −$2,170
- − HOA
- −$612
- − Depreciation
- −$8,087
- Taxable loss
- −$7,048
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,691
- After-tax cash flow
- $-547/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a fresh paint job, quartz countertops, and LVP flooring, making it move-in ready and highly attractive for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint interior walls and trim — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Install smart home automation — Enhances home's appeal and can increase rental value ↑
- Both Add smart thermostat — Improves energy efficiency and comfort, enhancing both resale and rental value ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Aiken 01
- NCES district ID
- 4500720
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,081
- Composite
- 31.91/100
- National rank
- #5857
- State rank
- #36 of 80 in SC
Livability — Aiken
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #93
- US rank
- #10443
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Aiken, SC
- County
- Aiken County · 178,003 people
- City population
- 71,807
- Metro
- Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,108
- Household income
- $59,573
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 13% of renters
Population outlook (Aiken County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 178,003 people
- By 2030
- 182,876 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 189,970 · +6.7%
- By 2050
- 193,840 · +8.9%
- By 2075
- 199,453 · +12.1%
- By 2100
- 192,403 · +8.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 42% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Aiken
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.9) · D 36.4% · R 62.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.9pp toward R · 2008: -24.0pp · 2024: -25.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.9 2020: R+22.7 2016: R+27.5 2012: R+26.0 2008: R+24.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -278.52%
- Current HPI
- 173.7944
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.06%
- Metro
- Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
-4.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Price Changed $277,990 AMLS
- 2026-05-23 Price Changed $277,990 Hive MLS
- 2026-05-11 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2025-09-04 Listed $289,990 Hive MLS
- 2025-09-04 Listed $289,990 Hive MLS
- 2025-09-04 Listed $289,990 AMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…