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265 South St
D Composite 41.17
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.2/30.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$239,900

265 South St · Thomaston, CT 06782
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,072 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 42 Days on market
Built 1966 8,276 sqft lot $224/sqft · 30% below area Est $341k · 30% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

A rare offering in this area, you can own a piece of the lakeside lifestyle! This charming one-level ranch is the ultimate "diamond in the rough" for a first-time buyer ready to build sweat equity. The bones are all there: a cozy fireplace for chilly nights, an open kitchen perfect for hosting your first housewarming, and a covered deck for all-weather entertaining. The real "bonus feature" is the massive walkout basement-with its high ceilings, it's a blank canvas just waiting to become your future game room, home office, or guest suite. Best of all? You're just a short walk away from the lake! Plus, its location on a main route means you'll have some of the best-mainta

Key facts

  • Covered deck
  • Cozy fireplace
  • High ceilings

Tags

COZY FIREPLACEOPEN KITCHENCOVERED DECKMASSIVE WALKOUT BASEMENTHIGH CEILINGSSHORT WALK TO THE LAKE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Paved driveway and off-street parking; Approximately 4 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Private well water; Public sewer connection; Oil tank located in basement; Electric service (standard)
  • Home design: Single-family home
  • Construction: Concrete foundation; Frame and brick construction; Clapboard and brick siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Red exterior color
  • Exterior features: Awnings; Covered deck; Level to rolling lot; Walkable to water and in a water community; Private paved asphalt driveway

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Hot air heating; Oil-fired heat; 30-gallon oil hot water tank
  • Interior features: One fireplace; Full walk-out basement; Full basement; Attic with hatch access; Total of 5 rooms; Central air conditioning
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement (lower level)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-222 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $201k (16.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $193k (19.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $193k (19.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 4.3% in Thomaston — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#127 in CT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A-, cost of living B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Plymouth School District (suburban): math 42% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #78 of 153 in CT (top 51%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Plymouth Center School (math 47% / reading 67%, grade C+, #177 of 553 statewide, top 34%, 342 students, 48% FRL); Eli Terry Jr. Middle School (math 44% / reading 63%, grade C+, #70 of 175 statewide, top 40%, 279 students, 48% FRL); Terryville High School (math 44% / reading 64%, grade C-, #63 of 194 statewide, top 39%, 367 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools average 46% FRL vs 22% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 502 units permitted in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region in 2024 (171 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $192,574 (19.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
5.18%
Cash-on-cash
-3.97%
DSCR
0.82
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$341,438
List price
$239,900
Delta
-29.74%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
105 Lake Plymouth Blvd 0.27mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,024 (-4%) 1mo $330,000 $322 74
349 Lake Plymouth Blvd 0.38mi 2/1.0 (-1) 950 (-11%) 4mo $75,000 $79 54
265 Lake Plymouth Blvd 0.50mi 3/1.0 1,232 (+15%) 3mo $300,000 $244 49
271 Lake Plymouth Blvd 0.49mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,120 (+4%) 21mo $275,000 $246 47
47 Hosier Rd 0.50mi 3/1.0 954 (-11%) 16mo $220,000 $231 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-22.9%
Equity multiple
0.21×
Total profit
$-52,959
Equity at exit
$35,770
10-year hold
IRR
-17.3%
Equity multiple
0.05×
Total profit
$-64,026
Equity at exit
$20,742

Cash invested: $67,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06782

Home prices YoY
-10.9%
Active inventory
18
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,926 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,258
Tax from tax record
$386 /mo · $4,629/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$404
Net cashflow
$-222

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,207
Max offer price $200,606
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-87 -5% $-155 +0% $-222 +5% $-290 +10% $-358
Rent -10% $-375 -5% $-299 +0% $-222 +5% $-146 +10% $-70
Rate -1.0pp $-102 -0.5pp $-161 base $-222 +0.5pp $-285 +1.0pp $-348

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$59,975
Closing costs
$7,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8 Maple Ave Plymouth, CT 2.0 1.0 834 $1,500 $1.80 45d 1 1.04mi
720 Main St Unit 1ST Plymouth, CT 4.0 1.0 1120 $2,300 $2.05 4d 1 1.12mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    status $239,900 Under Contract 42 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $239,900 Under Contract - Continue to Show 42 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $239,900 Under Contract - Continue to Show 41 DOM
  4. 2026-05-06
    historical Under Contract - Continue to Show 891-char remark
  5. 2026-04-20
    listed $239,900 Active 891-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,629 · $386/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,881 · $407/mo
Expected delta
+$252/yr (+$21/mo · 5.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,109
− Mortgage interest
−$13,438
− Property taxes
−$4,629
− Insurance
−$1,200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,849
− Management
−$1,849
− Depreciation
−$6,979
Taxable loss
−$6,834
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,640
After-tax cash flow
$-1,029/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Plymouth School District
NCES district ID
0903330
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$71,517
Composite
44.78/100
National rank
#2743
State rank
#78 of 153 in CT

Livability — Thomaston

Score
64/100
State rank
#127
US rank
#14400

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A- Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
7,493
Population (ZIP)
2,098

Population outlook (Naugatuck Valley County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
496,846

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 4% Two or more races 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 7% Slovak 3% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
8% · China, Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Chinese 2% Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Naugatuck Valley

2024 margin
Lean R (+7.4) · D 45.6% · R 53.0% · Other 1.4%
All cycles
2024: R+7.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -24.38%
Current HPI
199.1652
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2026-05-06 Contingent Smart MLS
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $239,900 Smart MLS

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2023): $4,629 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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