2149 Logan St · Harrisburg, PA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.1/30.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- ARV discount +3.6/15.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Built 1900
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking; Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer (public septic); Natural gas for heating and hot water
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Brick construction; Stone foundation; Year built (source: Assessor)
- Exterior features: Above-grade and below-grade other structures
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas hot water
- Interior features: Full, unfinished basement; Not in a federal flood zone; Accessibility features including 2+ access exits and 36"+ wide halls
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $243 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 6.7% in Harrisburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#107 in PA, #826 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
- Harrisburg City SD (urban): math 6% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #535 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Harrisburg Hs (math 24% / reading 10%, grade F, #399 of 437 statewide, top 92%, 1,230 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 82% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 170 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $9k; list at $135k implies a 1400% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.48%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $124,110
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2105 Penn St | 0.17mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,136 (-4%) | 5mo | $125,000 | $110 | 74 |
| 612 Oxford St | 0.45mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,175 (-1%) | 6mo | $120,000 | $102 | 68 |
| 616 Oxford St | 0.45mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,195 (+1%) | 6mo | $120,000 | $100 | 67 |
| 619 Oxford St | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 | 1,138 (-4%) | 6mo | $120,000 | $105 | 66 |
| 2636 Reel St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,232 (+4%) | 3mo | $36,000 | $29 | 62 |
| 1326 N 4th St | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,180 (-0%) | 3mo | $205,000 | $174 | 58 |
| 613 Oxford St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,300 (+10%) | 6mo | $127,000 | $98 | 58 |
| 2309-1/2 N 2nd St | 0.28mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,307 (+11%) | 6mo | $217,000 | $166 | 57 |
| 622 Woodbine St | 0.30mi | 3/1.5 | 1,344 (+14%) | 5mo | $143,500 | $107 | 57 |
| 622 Ross St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,320 (+12%) | 6mo | $100,000 | $76 | 56 |
| 625 Oxford St | 0.45mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,332 (+13%) | 1mo | $94,000 | $71 | 52 |
| 1412 N 6th St | 0.70mi | 3/2.5 | 1,280 (+8%) | 4mo | $210,000 | $164 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.55% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-8,549
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.10×
- Total profit
- $3,931
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17110
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 170
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,517 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$136 /mo · $1,633/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$319
- Net cashflow
- $243
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $319 | -5% $281 | +0% $243 | +5% $205 | +10% $167 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $123 | -5% $183 | +0% $243 | +5% $303 | +10% $363 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $311 | -0.5pp $277 | base $243 | +0.5pp $208 | +1.0pp $172 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2118 N 4th St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1383 | $1,595 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 2042 N 4th St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1090 | $1,400 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 2210 N 3rd St Unit 4 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1330 | $1,395 | $1.05 | 15d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 2235 Logan St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1406 | $1,495 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 339 Emerald St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1420 | $1,650 | $1.16 | 15d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 269 Peffer St Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,195 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 1909 N 4th St Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,240 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 2312 Orange St Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 754 | $1,230 | $1.63 | 44d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 1841 N 4th St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1376 | $1,399 | $1.02 | 24d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1841 N 3rd St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1376 | $1,399 | $1.02 | 15d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 2301 N 2nd St Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1325 | $1,595 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1839 Green St Harrisburg, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 815 | $1,595 | $1.96 | 15d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1821 N 2nd St Unit 2 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,299 | $1.30 | 15d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 2406 Reel St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,395 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 640 Kelker St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1294 | $1,650 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 644 Kelker St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1294 | $1,295 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1700 N 2nd St Apt 28 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,095 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1700 N 2nd St Apt 6 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,145 | $1.58 | 15d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 352 Harris St Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $1,350 | $1.67 | 22d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 514 Radnor St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1498 | $1,600 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2609 N 5th St Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 809 | $1,525 | $1.89 | 24d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2615 Waldo St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,095 | $0.78 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1320 Penn St Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1193 | $1,495 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2801 N 2nd St Apt A2 Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,495 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1211 Green St Apt 2 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,095 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 273 Cumberland St Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 865 | $1,595 | $1.84 | 15d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1122 Green St #14 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 918 | $1,895 | $2.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1116 N 3rd St Unit 3 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,375 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 660 Boas St Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $1,574 | $1.97 | 15d | 21 | 0.93mi |
| 1008 N 2nd St Unit 2 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1410 | $1,295 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 923 N 3rd St Unit 1 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 853 | $1,495 | $1.75 | 24d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 918 Grand St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 890 | $1,450 | $1.63 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 919 Grand St Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1116 | $1,695 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 919 Penn St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1458 | $1,795 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 920 N 2nd St Unit 1 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,475 | $1.64 | 15d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3003 Pennwood Rd Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,395 | $1.55 | 15d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 719 N 2nd St Apt 6 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 15d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 711 N 2nd St Apt 2 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,595 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 618 N 2nd St Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,050 | $1.05 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 612 N 2nd St Apt 2 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,445 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-06-17$135,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,633 · $136/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,883 · $157/mo
- Expected delta
- +$250/yr (+$21/mo · 15.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,208
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$1,633
- − Insurance
- −$1,342
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,457
- − Management
- −$1,457
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $832
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$200
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,716/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harrisburg City SD
- NCES district ID
- 4211580
- Math proficiency
- 6% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,432
- Composite
- 7.6/100
- National rank
- #9945
- State rank
- #535 of 539 in PA
Livability — Harrisburg
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #107
- US rank
- #826
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Harrisburg, PA
- County
- Dauphin County · 247,857 people
- City population
- 184,296
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,364
- Household income
- $80,699
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1037.0
Population outlook (Dauphin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 281,628 people
- By 2030
- 283,549 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 285,385 · +1.3%
- By 2050
- 286,188 · +1.6%
- By 2075
- 291,053 · +3.3%
- By 2100
- 282,374 · +0.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 32% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 7% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, India, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 2% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dauphin
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.1pp · 2024: 5.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.9 2020: D+8.5 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+9.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -144.07%
- Current HPI
- 257.826
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+1400.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $135,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1987-10-13 Sold (Public Records) $9,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2026): $1,633 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…