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401 Maple St
D+ Composite 46.9
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0

$23,750

401 Maple St · Zeigler, IL 62999
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,188 sqft · SingleFamily · 45 Days on market
Built 1945 7,230 sqft lot $20/sqft · 64% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This home is located on a nice corner lot. It is a 2 bedroom, 1 bath with a parital basement. Come take a look today!

Key facts

  • Corner lot
  • 7,230 sq ft lot
  • Parking

Tags

CORNER LOT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $24k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $641 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $24k).
  • Recommended offer: $23k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,012 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Zeigler-Royalton CUSD 188 (rural): math 10% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #524 of 620 in IL (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 17 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $232 of equity ($164 loan paydown + $68 appreciation (0.3% local appreciation)).
  • Franklin County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (0.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($23k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $23,037 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.35%
Cap rate
38.70%
Cash-on-cash
115.74%
DSCR
6.15
GRM
1.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$66,299
List price
$23,750
Delta
-64.18%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
211 Maple St 0.08mi 2/1.0 1,200 (+1%) 18mo $59,900 $50 79
211 Maple St 0.08mi 2/1.0 1,200 (+1%) 18mo $59,900 $50 79
208 Baggott St 0.14mi 2/1.5 1,300 (+9%) 10mo $80,000 $62 67
208 Baggott St 0.14mi 2/1.5 1,300 (+9%) 10mo $80,000 $62 67
402 Baggott St 0.10mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,300 (+9%) 16mo $30,000 $23 61
402 Baggott St 0.10mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,300 (+9%) 16mo $30,000 $23 61
706 S Pine St 0.22mi 2/1.0 1,050 (-12%) 11mo $82,000 $78 61
706 S Pine St 0.22mi 2/1.0 1,050 (-12%) 11mo $82,000 $78 61
208 N Main St 0.53mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,175 (-1%) 21mo $100,000 $85 51
208 N Main St 0.53mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,175 (-1%) 21mo $100,000 $85 51
115 Walnut St 0.47mi 2/— 1,350 (+14%) 7mo $89,000 $66 49
115 Walnut St 0.47mi 2/— 1,350 (+14%) 7mo $89,000 $66 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.29% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.09×
Total profit
$40,497
Equity at exit
$7,237
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
14.75×
Total profit
$91,435
Equity at exit
$8,976

Cash invested: $6,650 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62999

Home prices YoY
0.3%
Active inventory
6
Price-to-rent
1.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,033 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$125
Tax from tax record
$40 /mo · $486/yr
Insurance
$10
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$217
Net cashflow
$641

Break-even live

Break-even rent $221
Max offer price $23,750
Occupancy floor 33%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $655 -5% $648 +0% $641 +5% $635 +10% $628
Rent -10% $560 -5% $601 +0% $641 +5% $682 +10% $723
Rate -1.0pp $653 -0.5pp $647 base $641 +0.5pp $635 +1.0pp $629

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$5,938
Closing costs
$712
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $23,750 Pending 45 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $23,750 Active 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $23,750 Active 41 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $23,750 Active 40 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $23,750 Active 39 DOM
  6. 2026-04-20
    listed $25,000 Active 118-char remark
    Show marketing remark (118 chars)

    This home is located on a nice corner lot. It is a 2 bedroom, 1 bath with a parital basement. Come take a look today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$486 · $40/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$513 · $43/mo
Expected delta
+$27/yr (+$2/mo · 5.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,400
− Mortgage interest
−$1,330
− Property taxes
−$486
− Insurance
−$119
− Repairs & maintenance
−$992
− Management
−$992
− Depreciation
−$691
Taxable income
$7,790
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,870
After-tax cash flow
$5,827/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Zeigler-Royalton CUSD 188
NCES district ID
1743800
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$37,645
Composite
12.55/100
National rank
#9621
State rank
#524 of 620 in IL

Livability — Zeigler

Score
60/100
State rank
#1012
US rank
#19423

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Zeigler, IL
Population (ZIP)
1,345

Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,954 people
By 2030
36,828 · -3.0%
By 2040
34,452 · -9.2%
By 2050
31,855 · -16.1%
By 2075
25,171 · -33.7%
By 2100
18,462 · -51.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (98%)
Race & ethnicity
White 98% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Franklin

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.6) · D 24.1% · R 74.6% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-47.8pp toward R · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -50.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.6 2020: R+47.5 2016: R+45.3 2012: R+16.8 2008: R+2.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.29%
Current HPI
81.042
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $25,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+6.0%/yr

Latest (2017): $486 · +16.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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