2461 Delaware St · Gary, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.5/10.0
$9,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2 Bedroom, 1 Bathroom ranch style home in need of restoration. Cash offers only. Hard money is not cash!
Key facts
- 3,006 sq ft lot
- Built 1926
- Listed 64 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $10k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $823 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $10k).
- Recommended offer: $9k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 106.1% vs local median 9.1% in Gary — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#105 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Gary Community School Corporation (urban): math 3% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #299 of 301 in IN (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 121 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,129/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($29k/yr) (locally 392% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $165 of equity ($68 loan paydown + $97 appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
- Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (1.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $3k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($9k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (34%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 11.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 106.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 356.34%
- DSCR
- 16.86
- GRM
- 0.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $20,016
- List price
- $9,900
- Delta
- -50.54%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2379 Industrial Blvd | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 | 600 (0%) | 7mo | $13,000 | $22 | 81 |
| 2290 Maryland St | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (+12%) | 6mo | $9,000 | $13 | 66 |
| 2259 Delaware St | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (+12%) | 4mo | $17,000 | $25 | 65 |
| 2339 Delaware St | 0.13mi | 2/1.5 | 672 (+12%) | 14mo | $17,900 | $27 | 60 |
| 2244 Kentucky St | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (+12%) | 4mo | $16,000 | $24 | 54 |
| 2254 Tennessee St | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (+12%) | 11mo | $17,500 | $26 | 46 |
| 2636 Jackson St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 648 (+8%) | 15mo | $30,000 | $46 | 44 |
| 2379 Jackson St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (+12%) | 11mo | $12,000 | $18 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.98% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 19.98×
- Total profit
- $52,619
- Equity at exit
- $3,369
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 42.57×
- Total profit
- $115,243
- Equity at exit
- $4,469
Cash invested: $2,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46407
- Home prices YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 121
- Price-to-rent
- 0.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,129 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$52
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$12 /mo · $148/yr
- Insurance
- −$4
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$237
- Net cashflow
- $823
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $2,475
- Closing costs
- $297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2453 Prospect St Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $1,095 | $1.56 | 1d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 2355 Rhode Island St Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 701 | $1,095 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 2378 Jackson St Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,050 | $1.56 | 1d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2572-76 Van Buren Pl Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,025 | $1.46 | 1d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 837 W 27th Ave Unit A Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,150 | $1.53 | 1d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 837 W 27th Ave Unit B Gary, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 1d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1843 Illinois St Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,200 | $1.66 | 17d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1316 Delaware St Unit 2 Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 20d | 1 | 1.07mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $9,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $9,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $9,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $9,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $9,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $9,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $10,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $10,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $10,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $10,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $10,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $10,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $10,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $10,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-04-29price $10,000 104-char remark
Show marketing remark (104 chars)
2 Bedroom, 1 Bathroom ranch style home in need of restoration. Cash offers only. Hard money is not cash!
-
2026-04-15$15,000 Active 104-char remark
Show marketing remark (104 chars)
2 Bedroom, 1 Bathroom ranch style home in need of restoration. Cash offers only. Hard money is not cash!
-
2009-12-30historical
-
2009-07-13$3,000
-
2009-05-01historical
-
2009-01-06$4,900
-
2009-01-01historical
-
2008-10-21$5,900
-
2008-08-01historical
-
2008-02-04$8,900
-
2004-12-14historical
-
2004-07-01$25,000
-
2004-02-24historical
-
2003-10-23$33,000
-
2003-09-28historical
-
2003-08-27$33,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,543
- − Mortgage interest
- −$555
- − Property taxes
- −$148
- − Insurance
- −$50
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,083
- − Management
- −$1,083
- − Depreciation
- −$288
- Taxable income
- $10,335
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,480
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,397/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gary Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1803870
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 11% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,739
- Composite
- 4.98/100
- National rank
- #10039
- State rank
- #299 of 301 in IN
Livability — Gary
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #105
- US rank
- #5592
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gary, IN
- County
- Lake County · 422,878 people
- City population
- 63,701
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,577
- Household income
- $28,526
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 392.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 484,026 people
- By 2030
- 478,091 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 462,974 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 449,894 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 436,169 · -9.9%
- By 2100
- 426,607 · -11.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 91% Hispanic / Latino 3% White 2% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.98%
- Current HPI
- 253.2856
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
||
Price history
-69.7% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $10,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-15 Listed $15,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-12-30 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-07-13 Listed $3,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-05-01 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-01-06 Listed $4,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-01-01 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-10-21 Listed $5,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-08-01 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-02-04 Listed $8,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-12-14 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-07-01 Listed $25,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-02-24 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-10-23 Listed $33,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-09-28 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-08-27 Listed $33,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-6.4%/yrLatest (2024): $544 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…