2500 W Route 66 #84 · Flagstaff, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 86°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.6/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 1998 2bd/1ba manufactured home (~850 sq ft) in Hidden Hollow MHC on historic Route 66. This solid home offers excellent sweat equity potential and can be sold fully furnished (negotiable) in a quiet, pine-surrounded, all-ages community with ~119 sites. Prime west Flagstaff location--minutes to downtown, NAU, shopping, dining, trails, skiing, and Sedona/Grand Canyon access. Priced for updates: modernize interiors/finishes and transform into your cozy mountain retreat or rental. Strong value-add opportunity. Similar park homes sell $70K-$110K based on condition. Lot rent $895/mo (confirm w/ mgmt; includes water/sewer/trash). Perfect for handy buyers, first-timers, or investors. Bring your vision to this Route 66 gem! Don't miss your chance to make this cozy home your summer retreat
Key facts
- 12.96 acre lot
- Built 1998
- Listed 40 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual tax amount reported
Exterior
- Utilities: Cable available; Phone available; Electricity available; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single wide manufactured home; Entry facing Route 66
- Construction: Year built (owner reported)
- Exterior features: Level topography; Cable available; Phone service available; Electricity available; Natural gas available
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Ceiling fan cooling
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen island
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 28.8% vs local median 2.1% in Flagstaff — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#167 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing B; Watch: schools C-, employment C-, crime D-.
- Flagstaff Unified District (4192) (urban): math 18% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #158 of 249 in AZ (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 280 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 698 units permitted in Coconino County in 2024 (354 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Coconino County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.6% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 28.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 80.55%
- DSCR
- 4.58
- GRM
- 2.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $83,020
- List price
- $69,900
- Delta
- -15.80%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2500 W Rte 66 #67 | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 | 728 (0%) | 15mo | $92,000 | $126 | 79 |
| 2500 W Route 66 #21 | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 | 791 (+9%) | 1mo | $69,900 | $88 | 76 |
| 2401 W Route 66 #104 | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 741 (+2%) | 16mo | $99,500 | $134 | 64 |
| 2500 W Route 66 #34 | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 | 644 (-12%) | 21mo | $86,500 | $134 | 59 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.55% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 78.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.42×
- Total profit
- $66,908
- Equity at exit
- $10,422
- IRR
- 80.9%
- Equity multiple
- 8.40×
- Total profit
- $144,763
- Equity at exit
- $6,044
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 86001
- Rents YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 280
- Price-to-rent
- 2.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,274 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$87 /mo · $1,048/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$478
- Net cashflow
- $1,314
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2800 S Highland Mesa Rd Flagstaff, AZ | 4.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 356 | $1,204 | $3.38 | 43d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 927 W Forest Meadows St Flagstaff, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 958 | $2,806 | $2.93 | 43d | 11 | 1.38mi |
| 1580 S Plaza Way Flagstaff, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 875 | $2,455 | $2.81 | 43d | 12 | 1.44mi |
| 923 W University Ave Flagstaff, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 877 | $2,304 | $2.63 | 43d | 36 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $69,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $69,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $69,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $69,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $69,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $69,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-09$69,900 Active 800-char remark
Show marketing remark (800 chars)
Charming 1998 2bd/1ba manufactured home (~850 sq ft) in Hidden Hollow MHC on historic Route 66. This solid home offers excellent sweat equity potential and can be sold fully furnished (negotiable) in a quiet, pine-surrounded, all-ages community with ~119 sites. Prime west Flagstaff location--minutes to downtown, NAU, shopping, dining, trails, skiing, and Sedona/Grand Canyon access. Priced for updates: modernize interiors/finishes and transform into your cozy mountain retreat or rental. Strong value-add opportunity. Similar park homes sell $70K-$110K based on condition. Lot rent $895/mo (confirm w/ mgmt; includes water/sewer/trash). Perfect for handy buyers, first-timers, or investors. Bring your vision to this Route 66 gem! Don't miss your chance to make this cozy home your summer retreat
-
2026-05-09$69,900 Active 798-char remark
Show marketing remark (800 chars)
Charming 1998 2bd/1ba manufactured home (~850 sq ft) in Hidden Hollow MHC on historic Route 66. This solid home offers excellent sweat equity potential and can be sold fully furnished (negotiable) in a quiet, pine-surrounded, all-ages community with ~119 sites. Prime west Flagstaff location--minutes to downtown, NAU, shopping, dining, trails, skiing, and Sedona/Grand Canyon access. Priced for updates: modernize interiors/finishes and transform into your cozy mountain retreat or rental. Strong value-add opportunity. Similar park homes sell $70K-$110K based on condition. Lot rent $895/mo (confirm w/ mgmt; includes water/sewer/trash). Perfect for handy buyers, first-timers, or investors. Bring your vision to this Route 66 gem! Don't miss your chance to make this cozy home your summer retreat
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 1/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥86°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,294
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$1,048
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,183
- − Management
- −$2,183
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $15,580
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,739
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,026/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 16 photos
This 1998 manufactured home in Hidden Hollow MHC requires moderate updates to its kitchen and bathroom, as well as exterior repairs. With some cosmetic improvements, it presents a strong value-add opportunity for investors looking to modernize and increase its appeal.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and worn
- Moderate bathroom fixtures — dated and worn
- Minor exterior siding — slight wear
Value-add opportunities
- Both modernize kitchen cabinets and fixtures — enhances both resale and rental appeal
- Both paint interior walls — enhances both resale and rental appeal
- Both repair and replace exterior siding — enhances both resale and rental appeal
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated and worn | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · dated and worn | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| exterior siding · slight wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $6,500–33,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both modernize kitchen cabinets and fixtures — enhances both resale and rental appeal ↑
- Both paint interior walls — enhances both resale and rental appeal ↑
- Both repair and replace exterior siding — enhances both resale and rental appeal ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Flagstaff Unified District (4192)
- NCES district ID
- 0402860
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,510
- Composite
- 21.11/100
- National rank
- #8437
- State rank
- #158 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Flagstaff
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #167
- US rank
- #18308
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Coconino County · 91,667 people
- City population
- 91,667
- Metro
- Flagstaff, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,312
- Household income
- $64,626
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3117.0
Population outlook (Coconino County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 150,645 people
- By 2030
- 156,857 · +4.1%
- By 2040
- 168,714 · +12.0%
- By 2050
- 181,082 · +20.2%
- By 2075
- 218,399 · +45.0%
- By 2100
- 238,853 · +58.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Hispanic / Latino 15% Native American 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 3% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Coconino
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.9) · D 59.2% · R 39.4% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.9pp toward D · 2008: 17.0pp · 2024: 19.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.9 2020: D+24.1 2016: D+19.4 2012: D+14.9 2008: D+17.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -488.37%
- Current HPI
- 393.2551
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.55%
- Metro
- Flagstaff, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Listed $69,900 NAZMLS
- 2026-05-09 Listed $69,900 ARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…