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2022 Stuart Ave
B- Composite 68.93
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,900

2022 Stuart Ave · Albany, GA 31707
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,111 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1957 0.26 ac lot Est $148k · 39% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

~ EXCELLENT NORTHWEST ALBANY LOCATION ~ Great all brick, 3-bedroom 1 bath home with 1111 sqft! Spacious eat in kitchen with lots of cabinets, stainless appliances and tile floor! Large great room! Alley access driveway! Sold As-Is!

Key facts

  • Tile floor
  • Stainless appliances
  • All brick

Tags

ALL BRICKSPACIOUS EAT IN KITCHENSTAINLESS APPLIANCESTILE FLOORLARGE GREAT ROOMALLEY ACCESS DRIVEWAY

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence (detached); 1 story
  • Construction: Frame construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built on 0.26-acre lot
  • Exterior features: Covered patio

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Electric oven
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric central heating
  • Interior features: Pantry
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $242 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 5.0% in Albany — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#371 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, health & safety B+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Dougherty County (urban): math 12% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #163 of 174 in GA (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.4%/yr); 184 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45 units permitted in Dougherty County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Dougherty County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 97% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $89,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
9.52%
Cash-on-cash
11.53%
DSCR
1.51
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$147,763
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2011 Murray Hill Ln 0.50mi 3/1.5 1,135 (+2%) 1mo $151,000 $133 70

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.2%
Equity multiple
1.25×
Total profit
$6,373
Equity at exit
$13,404
10-year hold
IRR
19.5%
Equity multiple
3.01×
Total profit
$50,601
Equity at exit
$7,773

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31707

Rents YoY
9.4%
Active inventory
184
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,049 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$78 /mo · $940/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$220
Net cashflow
$242

Break-even live

Break-even rent $743
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $293 -5% $267 +0% $242 +5% $216 +10% $191
Rent -10% $159 -5% $200 +0% $242 +5% $283 +10% $325
Rate -1.0pp $287 -0.5pp $265 base $242 +0.5pp $219 +1.0pp $195

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3315 Sylvester Rd Unit 63 Albany, GA 3.0 2.0 1024 $900 $0.88 22d 1 0.22mi
1905 Elkhorn Ln Unit B Albany, GA 2.0 1.5 1100 $1,000 $0.91 22d 1 0.22mi
1900 Buck Ln Albany, GA 3.0 2.5 1280 $1,195 $0.93 22d 1 0.26mi
2510 Barnesdale Way Unit 4 Albany, GA 2.0 2.0 1081 $1,175 $1.09 22d 1 0.37mi
2502 Redwood Ct Albany, GA 2.0 1.5 1120 $900 $0.80 22d 1 0.64mi
2001 Dawson Rd Albany, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 952 $975 $1.02 22d 7 0.89mi
2415 Dawson Rd Albany, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 987 $975 $0.99 22d 1 0.95mi
1314 9th Ave Albany, GA 3.0 1.0 1090 $1,000 $0.92 22d 1 1.18mi
914 20th Ave Albany, GA 2.0 1.0 988 $815 $0.82 45d 1 1.23mi
2607 Cardinal St Albany, GA 2.0 1.0 900 $850 $0.94 22d 1 1.27mi
900 20th Ave Albany, GA 2.0 1.0 850 $800 $0.94 22d 1 1.29mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $89,900 Pending 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $89,900 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    remarks 232-char remark
  4. 2026-06-09
    listed $89,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$940 · $78/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$940 · $78/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 97% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,593
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$940
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,007
− Management
−$1,007
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$1,537
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$369
After-tax cash flow
$2,533/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dougherty County
NCES district ID
1301830
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$33,105
Composite
11.31/100
National rank
#9716
State rank
#163 of 174 in GA

Livability — Albany

Score
60/100
State rank
#371
US rank
#18903

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety B+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Albany, GA
County
Dougherty County · 89,040 people
City population
89,040
Metro
Albany, GA
Population (ZIP)
22,679
Household income
$50,862
Rent vs Own
57.3% rent · 42.7% own
Severe rent burden
1572.0

Population outlook (Dougherty County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
84,551 people
By 2030
80,637 · -4.6%
By 2040
72,090 · -14.7%
By 2050
64,056 · -24.2%
By 2075
46,332 · -45.2%
By 2100
33,127 · -60.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (63%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 63% White 31% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Iranian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dougherty

2024 margin
Solid D (+41.1) · D 70.4% · R 29.3%
2008→2024 swing
+6.2pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 41.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+41.1 2020: D+40.0 2016: D+38.3 2012: D+39.0 2008: D+35.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -130.86%
Current HPI
173.4443
Rent YoY
▲ 9.39%
Metro
Albany, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Listed $89,900 SWGABOR

Property tax history

-1.6%/yr

Latest (2016): $940 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…