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414 Hazle St
D+ Composite 49.74
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.8/30.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,900

414 Hazle St · Wilkes-Barre, PA 18702
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,896 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1864 3,471 sqft lot Est $207k · 18% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Historic Hazle St homestead oozing with charm and versatility! Off street parking, front and rear entry, plenty of space and tons of storage! This well loved home has space and zoning for a retail establishment & private entry. This space could also be a grand first floor bedroom. The possibilities are endless. Old world charm that makes this home special!

Key facts

  • Off street parking
  • Front and rear entry
  • Tons of storage

Tags

OFF STREET PARKINGFRONT AND REAR ENTRYTONS OF STORAGEPRIVATE ENTRYGRAND FIRST FLOOR BEDROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Cleared lot; Zoned Community Business

Exterior

  • Parking: Shared driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Wood siding
  • Exterior features: Screened porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric water heater
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heat; Window cooling units; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Partially finished basement; Two fireplaces

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $46 ($557/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $154k (9.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $154k (9.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Wilkes-Barre Area SD (urban): math 19% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #469 of 539 in PA (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Dodson El Sch (math 2% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,362 of 1,518 statewide, top 92%, 486 students, 100% FRL); G A R Ms (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #444 of 512 statewide, top 87%, 1,026 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 61% district-wide (39 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.8%/yr); 225 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 59% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1864 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $154,500 (9.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1864 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
6.62%
Cash-on-cash
1.17%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$206,664
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
133 Parrish St 0.41mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,908 (+1%) 5mo $279,000 $146 69
156 Andover St 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,932 (+2%) 1mo $130,000 $67 67
145 Stanton St 0.33mi 3/1.5 1,724 (-9%) 1mo $245,000 $142 66
154 Kent Ln 0.37mi 3/2.5 1,731 (-9%) 1mo $210,000 $121 66
62 Jones St 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,655 (-13%) 4mo $110,000 $66 63
143 Poplar St 0.56mi 3/2.5 1,995 (+5%) 2mo $230,000 $115 61
18 Hutson St 0.45mi 3/2.0 2,104 (+11%) 2mo $135,000 $64 59
114 Stanton St 0.40mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,701 (-10%) 5mo $245,000 $144 54
421 Andover St 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,616 (-15%) 1mo $175,000 $108 51
245 Hazle St 0.32mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,616 (-15%) 5mo $120,000 $74 50
551 Main St 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,686 (-11%) 2mo $50,000 $30 47
299 Ridge St 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,656 (-13%) 4mo $180,200 $109 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.84% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.2%
Equity multiple
0.61×
Total profit
$-18,352
Equity at exit
$25,333
10-year hold
IRR
3.8%
Equity multiple
1.32×
Total profit
$15,456
Equity at exit
$14,690

Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18702

Rents YoY
6.8%
Active inventory
225
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,545 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax est. 1.5%
$212 /mo · $2,548/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$324
Net cashflow
$46

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,486
Max offer price $169,900
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $164 -5% $105 +0% $46 +5% $-12 +10% $-71
Rent -10% $-76 -5% $-15 +0% $46 +5% $107 +10% $168
Rate -1.0pp $132 -0.5pp $90 base $46 +0.5pp $2 +1.0pp $-42

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,475
Closing costs
$5,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
243 Stanton St Wilkes Barre, PA 3.0 1.0 2024 $1,450 $0.72 45d 1 0.15mi
243 Stanton St Wilkes Barre, PA 3.0 1.0 2024 $1,395 $0.69 15d 1 0.15mi
407 McLean St Wilkes Barre, PA 3.0 1.0 1482 $1,400 $0.94 15d 1 0.37mi
56 Kent Ln Wilkes Barre, PA 3.0 2.0 1542 $1,800 $1.17 45d 1 0.46mi
233 Gilligan St Wilkes Barre, PA 3.0 1.0 1440 $1,600 $1.11 23d 1 0.52mi
96 McLean St Wilkes-Barre Township, PA 3.0 1.0 1535 $1,550 $1.01 45d 1 0.58mi
100 E Newport St Hanover Township, PA 2.0 1.5 1344 $1,250 $0.93 45d 1 0.77mi
131 Academy St Wilkes Barre, PA 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,500 $1.15 45d 1 0.89mi
6 Magnolia St Wilkes Barre, PA 3.0 2.5 1700 $1,450 $0.85 45d 1 0.91mi
51 S Welles St Wilkes Barre, PA 4.0 1.0 1344 $1,600 $1.19 45d 1 0.96mi
123 S Franklin St Wilkes-Barre, PA 3.0 2.0 2400 $3,450 $1.44 23d 1 1.07mi
216 Horton St Wilkes Barre, PA 3.0 1.5 1475 $1,575 $1.07 45d 1 1.16mi
104 Old River Rd Wilkes Barre, PA 3.0 1.5 1600 $1,800 $1.12 45d 1 1.19mi
38 W Market St Unit 3 Wilkes-Barre, PA 2.0 1.0 1388 $1,295 $0.93 15d 1 1.26mi
27 Oak St Wilkes Barre, PA 3.0 1.5 1500 $1,700 $1.13 45d 1 1.38mi
342 Horton St Wilkes Barre, PA 3.0 1.5 1472 $1,650 $1.12 15d 1 1.38mi
98 N Franklin St Unit 2 Wilkes-Barre, PA 2.0 2.0 1254 $1,650 $1.32 15d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $169,900 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $169,900 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $169,900 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $169,900 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $169,900 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $169,900 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $169,900 Active 8 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $169,900 Active 6 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $169,900 Active 5 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $169,900 Active 4 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    remarks 360-char remark
  12. 2026-06-07
    listed $169,900 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,540
− Mortgage interest
−$9,517
− Property taxes
−$2,548
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,483
− Management
−$1,483
− Depreciation
−$4,943
Taxable loss
−$2,284
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$548
After-tax cash flow
$1,105/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wilkes-Barre Area SD
NCES district ID
4226300
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$37,420
Composite
21.22/100
National rank
#8409
State rank
#469 of 539 in PA

Livability — Wilkes-Barre

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Wilkes-Barre, PA
County
Luzerne County · 118,885 people
City population
73,981
Metro
Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
Population (ZIP)
41,970
Household income
$56,378
Rent vs Own
40.5% rent · 59.5% own
Severe rent burden
1632.0

Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
319,505 people
By 2030
319,943 · +0.1%
By 2040
322,643 · +1.0%
By 2050
330,817 · +3.5%
By 2075
379,145 · +18.7%
By 2100
431,908 · +35.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Hispanic / Latino 25% Black 12% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 9%
Common ancestry
Romanian 14% Scotch-Irish 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne

2024 margin
R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
2008→2024 swing
-27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -156.99%
Current HPI
216.9373
Rent YoY
▲ 6.84%
Metro
Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $169,900 LCAR

Property tax history

+20.4%/yr

Latest (2026): $12,483 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…