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15423 Navaho Trl 🌊 Lakefront
B- Composite 69.36
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$115,000

15423 Navaho Trl · Eustis, FL 32726
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,176 sqft · Manufactured public records · 61 Days on market
Built 1989 5,347 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Under contract-accepting backup offers. If you are a handyman that loves fishing, This is for you. No HOA waterfront single wide. The large waterfront deck needs replaced but the home is well cared for. Move in ready and furnished.

Key facts

  • Waterfront deck
  • Furnished
  • Move in ready

Tags

WATERFRONT DECKMOVE IN READYFURNISHED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Furnished; Homestead exempt; Lot about 0.12 acre (50 x 88), unimproved road
  • HOA & community: Pets allowed; No HOA/association indicated

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Manufactured single-wide home; Residential property; Fixer condition; East-facing; One story
  • Construction: Metal siding; Shingle roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built as a manufactured home
  • Exterior features: On waterfront (canal); Canal - brackish water access; Canal off Lake Yale

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Range hood; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Family room
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry closet

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $475 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $108k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 4.5% in Eustis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#309 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, amenities F.
  • Lake (suburban): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #37 of 73 in FL (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 305 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,799 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (814 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.2% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $108,100 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  6. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  7. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.32%
Cap rate
11.25%
Cash-on-cash
17.72%
DSCR
1.79
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$43,512
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
15415 Apache Pass 0.17mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (+14%) 6mo $49,990 $37 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.2% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.4%
Equity multiple
1.37×
Total profit
$11,935
Equity at exit
$17,147
10-year hold
IRR
18.7%
Equity multiple
2.57×
Total profit
$50,567
Equity at exit
$9,943

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32726

Home prices YoY
-21.3%
Rents YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
305
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,518 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$73 /mo · $876/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$319
Net cashflow
$475

Break-even live

Break-even rent $916
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 64%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $541 -5% $508 +0% $475 +5% $443 +10% $410
Rent -10% $356 -5% $416 +0% $475 +5% $535 +10% $595
Rate -1.0pp $533 -0.5pp $505 base $475 +0.5pp $446 +1.0pp $415

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1651 N Country Rd Eustis, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 785 $1,424 $1.81 24d 1 0.60mi
993 Foote St Eustis, FL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 24d 1 0.93mi
1799 N County Road 19A Eustis, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 950 $1,600 $1.68 2d 1 1.11mi
77 Wildwood Ln Eustis, FL 2.0 1.0 720 $1,197 $1.66 24d 1 1.32mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-24
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-14
    status Active
  3. 2026-05-03
    status Pending
  4. 2026-03-12
    listed $115,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$876 · $73/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$954 · $80/mo
Expected delta
+$79/yr (+$7/mo · 9.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,220
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$876
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,458
− Management
−$1,458
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable income
$4,067
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$976
After-tax cash flow
$4,730/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lake
NCES district ID
1201050
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$46,632
Composite
42.05/100
National rank
#3327
State rank
#37 of 73 in FL

Livability — Eustis

Score
73/100
State rank
#309
US rank
#5286

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Lake County · 364,602 people
City population
24,715
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
Population (ZIP)
24,715
Household income
$63,152
Rent vs Own
29.6% rent · 70.4% own
Severe rent burden
584.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
386,640 people
By 2030
417,107 · +7.9%
By 2040
476,676 · +23.3%
By 2050
531,296 · +37.4%
By 2075
648,303 · +67.7%
By 2100
698,530 · +80.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 19% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 12% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 7% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.7) · D 37.3% · R 62.0%
2008→2024 swing
-11.2pp toward R · 2008: -13.5pp · 2024: -24.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.7 2020: R+20.0 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+13.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -88.12%
Current HPI
325.4692
Rent YoY
▲ 3.20%
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-24 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-14 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-03 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-12 Listed $115,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+13.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $876 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…